We delve into our Opta data now in our first members’ article of the week.
Scanning the first six days’ action over Double Gameweek 37, we check up on the contrasting numbers for Alexis Sanchez and Mesut Ozil in Arsenal’s new 3-4-2-1 formation.
Manchster City pair Leroy Sane and Gabriel Jesus are also assessed, as are Philippe Coutinho and Fernando Llorente with their transfers-in escalating ahead of Sunday’s deadline.
Blimey, TV must be sky high. Great effort.
Team looks GTG, no need to change anything there.
GTG - nothing worth a hit
Cheers both
Only if you're chasing your rival and you want to try a punt, Costa to Vardy can be a good choice. Otherwise, GTG!
John Terry may not start last Chelsea match as Antonio Conte targets record 30th win #CFC #FPL (link: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2017/05/18/john-terry-may-not-start-last-chelsea-match-antonio-conte-targets/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_tw) telegraph.co.uk/football/2017/… via @telefootball
I'm not a Chelsea fan. A bit disrespect IMO. Chelsea can't win if JT plays against woeful Sunderland??
Hazard (c)
Conte will play Terry as it is his last match playing for Chelsea and it is at Stamford Bridge.
It will be perfect way to say goodbye to their Legend by lifting Premier League trophy
Terry to come off the bench I reckon
So potentially full strength? It'd sum up Hazard this season if he starts this one and hauls after everyone has sold him for Coutinho.
It's quite possible. I don't know why everyone assumes he won't start.
The doubt was for last game, for this one, he's 90% certain to start.
It certainly would
Well he was terrible vs Watford
He had some great chances but he couldn't score.
On a different day he could have bagged a brace.
His job is to defend not score goals
Sorry, I was thinking of Hazard.
Reply fail 😉
Good link that.
Azpi nailed on for 90 minutes then
it s only talks i think
A he feels some his reserve players are strong enough to beat sunderland
B he d rather protect his players from injuries before the cup final
I know but my point is azpi will want that ever present record, makes sense why he played 90 other night now
The reserves are clearly good enough to beat Sun at home
Headline of that article is deceptive
It's based on what Conte said right after the Watford game.
There has always been a possibility Terry wouldn't start the last game, and it has always been very likely that Azpi would play the whole game. Nothing new here. Just the assumptions of one single journalist.
Only interesting thing is we learn the players are off until tomorrow - so Fabregas 'partying' in Barcelona yesterday is a non-event
Captains for GW 38?
currently on Kane
Sanchez
Kane.
Riyad Mahrez
😯
Sanchez - three weeks in a row.
Coutinho but wavering
Mahrez
Sanchez. At home. In form. Arsenal need to win. Alexis has a chance of the golden boot.
Out of interest, how do people score on this stat?
Captain score as % of your highest possible captain score 54.70%
https://www.gargatron.com/
56.11
55.14% for me.
63.51% Too much Aguero love 🙂
68.20%
Nice! You must be doing well?
Definitely propelled me. OR 15k to 1.5k in the last 6 GW
Good stuff mate 🙂
63.85%
59.10%
66.35%
55.84
66.49
Thanks all. Feel like it something I need to try improve next season. Never seem to get it right and I think it's cost me a little
I dont know about that Rafa having a high % with this stat might mean the rest of your team is not preforming
No1 OR in the world is 54.71% for instance which is broadly similar to ours
Hmm, very good point mate 🙂 You pushing for a top 10 finish? I'm 18 points of top 100 but not sure I'll make it now. Was there for 7 weeks in a row from GW28 too 🙁
No, surely what you mean is "Total Captain Points as % of Overall Score"? If that's really high then the rest of the team is not performing.
If the total captain points as % of highest possible captain points is high it just means you're nailing your captain choice consistently.
I am not to sure we should read too much in to this stat, or that a high score is particularly good ?
A low score may mean you have a very strong starting 11 and potentially your captain can be outscored. A rubbish team that had both Aguero or Zlatan as a captain's pick may have a high score.
Total captain score is the key stat probably ?
52.31%
70.04%
Nailed it 🙂
don't read too much into it as I have a tendency to decide my captain via a coin toss lol
Oh my ..
55.39%
Pretty low too given your OR mate.
Just 25.96%, one thing that would have made a big difference to my season.
Captain score as % of highest possible captain score: 57.44%
Next year mate 🙂
Ouch just go with the poll next season
61.22%
52.77%
43.48% very bad choices this seazon.. 🙁
52.78%
61.92%
Top captain: Lukaku (10) eek
62.8%... Captained Sanchez 12 times
I captained him 21 times....
52.55%
5 points off of top 100K, meesa happy!
58.96%
54.88
55.62
ML leader 69.94, which makes captaincy choice interesting this week with a 23 point defecit to make up.
67.63%
57.8
Ryan Sessegnon remains Liverpool's top left-back summer target as Alberto Moreno edges nearer exit
If they manage to offload the fella, that'd be spectacular business
Could be a fantasy beast as LWB/LW
Heard good things about the kid but would he oust Milner right away?
He's left footed (better than Milner) and tackles (better than Moreno)...But seriously, he's quick and attacking. FPL gold.
Pretty sure there would be some rotation there. Still very young and Milner will get some games.
I reckon Milner gets one more season as primary LB then Sess comes into XI.... hard to tell though
Who would take pens assuming Milner is benched?
Coutinho
Too early to say. Emre Can or Coutinho probably.
Sess!
Go on!
Price speculation? 4.5/5?
Also going for Robertson as the main LB
Sessegnon understoody/rotation back up
Liv Echo rubbished Roberston. Assuming we may want a stop gap LB, we should maybe look at Cresswell.
Hope we seal this Sessegnon kid, everyone thinks he'll be great.
Everyone thought the same about Moreno.
Moreno wasn't 16 when we signed him tbf. 😛
8.6 ITB. Who to spend on?
A) coutinho
B) Sane
C) Son..?
Retrospective diving bans isn't good news for Zaha and Rashford. Bless them.
Eriksen > Coutinho too sideways?
I'm considering it
How is it sideways?
In a vacuum, their average points is probably very similar. However, throwing in that Liverpool actually have something to play for and Middlesbrough are trash, Coutinho probably edges it. However, it's still a risk.
If it is for free then it's a no brainer for me. Home/away fixture + motivation.
Not if you already have Kane up top for Spurs coverage!
So Coutinho will only outscore Eriksen if you don't own Kane? 😕
This.
Coverage means nothing, unless you cover the whole Spurs offense.
Even then someone else could score (e.g. Davies->Wanyama combo).
This. Just pick the player you think will score more points. Personally, I'd be hesitant to give up Eriksen against a Hull side without Maguire and bummed about relegation.
Makes sense. Cheers, might go for it.
Yeah, I'm thinking about it as well, but I also think it's sideways.
May to Corbyn.
No hit.
He'll be dropped soon, avoid
Corbyn is -OOP, I wouldn't
Will he start though.
Red arrow for you.
He's always red-flagged
Could be an amazing differential though...
Origi llorente or Vokes as a Gabbidiani replacement?
Llorente - but I am copying a rival.
Im thinking of going Origi if Firmino is out.
Leaning that way pending firmino news
Sturridge
Not an option due to budget
Probably Origi as Liverpool the only ones with something to play for.
Feel like I need to do something a bit different in the final week. What do you think of going without any Spurs attack and doubling on Arsenal instead (I'm keeping Sanchez)?
A. Mustafi - Ozil
B. Monreal - Eriksen
B
Fancy them to destroy Everton?
Can only try right? Last day of the season anything can happen.
B.
- I think Arsenal will win, but see a Spurs thumping as more likely. I also think the atmosphere could be strange, if Liverpool and City are winning.
Thanks guys
Any chance Ake starts GW 38?
Looking doubtful
There is a chance. Conte might not bring in all those who were rested on Monday. But I'd say less than 50% - I'd predict Cahill playing alongside Terry, and Luiz returning if he is 100% fit.
Costa out for Vardy?
Nah good chance Costa will start
😯
I wouldn't. Given that Hazard played and Costa was rested, I'd expect the reverse to be true this Sunday. He has the capacity to be the highest scoring player of the GW.
Although there is a chance he might be rested, if Conte is pissed with him after the post-xmas events, and wants to give Batshuyai a shot through the middle again.
Possible scenarios, in order of highest probability:
A)costa starts, plays 60-70 min
B)costa starts, plays 90
C)batshuyai starts, plays 90
I think it'll be A, and will he get points? Probably, but it's within 60 minutes and he's usually a one goal guy.
Versus Vardy- who will get 90, Leicester clearly are better at home, against a Bournemouth defense that concede on average 2.06 goals away-2nd worst in the league, only Hull have a worse average conceding away.
Vardy has the higher upside is the point I'm trying to get at.
You say that, but Vardy is also primarily a one goal a game striker. He has had as many double digit hauls as Costa this season. I also think that Bournemouth's away form has improved following the 1-1 draw at Oldtrafford. They followed that up with a 0-0 at Southampton, a 2-2 at Anfield and a 0-1 win at Sunderland. That's 4 conceded in four games, including trips to Anfield and Old Trafford. Sunderland on the other hand are abject, and could easily let in 3, 4 or 5 goals. Arsenal could have had a hatful in mid-week - it was embarrassingly easy in the second half.
Arsenal had to win though, Chelsea are playing an exhibition game. It's close, but I could see Vardy with a hattrick easier than Costa.
Who are the best and worst divers in the league?
With retrospective bans next season for simulation i think we need to take the art of diving into consideration when picking our squads more than ever
I think Alli is a pro diver and i consider him one of the best in the world at it some of the Chelsea players have refined the art also Costa and Hazard stand out in my mind
Some players have a lot to learn when it comes to this skill like Sterling Rashford Sane but they are young and i am sure they will master the art in time
Ashley Young worst divers
He should retire or move to a different league on the back of this news
People getting way too carried away with this retrospective thing. Before the 15/16 season they were supposed to punish shirt pullers. Before 16/17 season they were supposed to punish all players surrounding the ref. Now they're supposed to punish divers. I won't give it a thought until they actually implement the things they are supposed to.
I feel this one may be different. All the others were trying to get the ref to make an on-the-spot decision - this one is just the opposite.
Exactly this.
Retrospective action is a bit different to referees not enforcing the laws on the pitch though. I would expect them to review cases the same way they review red cards.
FA should also punish referee for their poor decision which change the game. They should charge refree same way they are doing with player, manager and club
Na the ref are only human underneath it all and make mistakes like the rest of us and they should be protected
Bring in the video ref to help the fairness of the game more like
I agree with last senetence. Video technology should be installed in every league as soon as possible. Atleast there will be less poor decision made by referee
Assuming you are not one already, if you don't rate the quality of the current ref's, stand up and become one yourself.
If you are happy with quality of referee decision then imagine your team got defeated by poor referee decision. Then you will probably raging
It's happened to me, actually, as I manage a youth football team. Too much abuse towards referees by armchair managers, imo.
Ya good point TC
Seems odd to me to retrospectively ban yellow card offences - it makes no sense. Are you sure this is happening? Why not retrospectively take action against other yellow card offences too? Deliberate fouls are missed, and are cheating too.
As for divers, Vardy is quite strategic with it. Rooney has in the past. Ashley Young. Welbeck. I've even seen Phil Neville do a shocking one for Everton. It was amazing.
Because diving is disgusting and needs to be eradicated. It's the worst part of the game.
I'd personally say that high lunging tackles are the worse part of the game.
Diving is a form of cheating, like other aspects. It's a problem but the reaction to it is overhyped, in part because of some nationalistic politicisation that depicts it as a specifically foreign invention, whilst ignoring that some of its most frequent performers are English.
This will open up a can of worms, because managers will call for retrospective actions for other actions.
What it will do is great for FPL.
Those who transfer early will suffer, as their squad could subsequently be hit with banned players.
Gonna have to stay on top of all diving incidents before making moves. Also the suspensions will even out the jammy assist points for dives.
Then I would say that it's great for those who always transfer late - but I wouldn't go as far as saying it's good for FPL. If it makes everyone transfer late I'd say this will adversely effect diversity of tactics, resulting in less diverse teams - which I would say is ultimately not good for FPL.
Zaha is the worst. Best diver is Alli.
Vardy is pretty good at it as well.
Ditch Hazard or Eriksen for Coutinho?
Eriksen if anyone.
Eden
Best striker to replace Anichebe with for a 4.3 budget?
Preferably guaranteed double digit score and captaincy potential
Can you stretch to Kane?
Tried Aguero but sadly I was about 9 million short
There is nobody that is guaranteed to play in that play in that price bracket expect Victor and he is injured
Whoooooosh
Crouch?
What to do here..? Will Hazard start? If so, I suppose it has to be Gabbiandi out? Will be typical that he does well now in the final game!
Caballero
Davies - Alonso - Monreal - Yoshida
Hazard - Sanchez - Ozil - Sane
Costa - Jesus
Pickford - Gabbiandini - JWP - Holgate
1FT 0.2 ITB
Gabbiadini to Origi or Llorente
Cheers! Who would you bench in that defence if I get one of those in?
Hmm...don't know. Gabbi has to go, but for who?
Vokes or Origi, maybe.
Hopefully Origi starts!
Play Sane or King?
Both?
Sane
King, no one else you can drop?
Between those two for sure
King
Vardy at £9.0 could be a bargain next season
I reckon he would be overpriced at that
He would come into play @£8/8.5 and the game needs more forwards in this bracket
which combination will score the most points?
1) Cahill Hazard Redmond Capoue
2) Cahill Coutinho Fàbregas Capoue
3) Cahill Coutinho Redmond King
4) Aké Coutinho Hazard Capoue
5) others
my team with 2 FT, which others if you choose (5)
Caballero Cech
Yoshida Stephens Davies Vertonghen Cahill
Sánchez Özil Hazard Redmond Capoue
Jesus Costa Anichebe
2
thanks, how many mins do you think Aké will play?
Interesting spot I'm in. Leading my mini-league by a narrow margin (21 points). 1 FT. 1.6 ITB.
Does this make sense?
Alonso > Clyne
King > Coutinho (-4)
Gabbi > Llorente (-4)
Caballero - Jaku
Alonso - Cahill - Baines - Olsson - Love
King - Sanchez - Alli - Sane - Carroll
Kane - Gabbi - Jesus
Rival has a backline of Blind, Yoshida, Holding, Huth (Maguire).
My backline is Alonso, Cahill, Baines, (Olsson and Love).
He has KDB and Llorente differentials where I have Carroll and Kane. We share all other MFs and FWs.
Thoughts on this??
What would u do with ageuro this week?
Captain him
I'd go all 50 Shades of Grey on him
Eriksen -> Coutinho?
Yes
For free? Then yes.
ouch I have spent 120 points on transfers this season 🙁
That's the difference between an OR of 100k and 10k
You are a real hit junky Boris i spent 56 myself
I went a bit mental on the transfer front early doors - I'll try better next season.
Ouch. 52 pts here.
80 here but really happy with my OR (23k) so I'm not bothered.
Nice, sometimes hits pay off. I'm at 40K rank currently and feel I should have taken a few more hits this season. It's a slippery slope though...
I've only really had one successful hit all season
120 is verging on insanity!
52 here
Willy
Monreal / Alonso / Yoshida / Gibbs*
KDB / Sanchez / King / Eriksen
Jesus / Kane
Jaku / Gabbi* / JWP* / Maguire*
What would you do with 1FT & 0.9 ITB?
A) Gabbi > Llorente/Origi
B) Maguire > Matip
C) JWP > Albrighton
D) Something else?
A. Llorente and possibly Eriksen > Coutinho
Who wins here tonight.
Rival 1
Me:Davies,Ericksen,Kane
Him: Davies,Ndidi,Son (33 behind me)
Rival 2
Me:Davies,Ericksen,Kane
Him: Son,Albrighton,Vardy. (35 behind me.
You do! COYS!
Oh my... you x2 I think!
Here's me for the overall best week score (we do a £20 prize for highest score of the season)
Rival 1
Me: Kane, Eriksen
Him: Kane +1 point
Rival 2
Me: Eriksen +10 points
Him: Bavies, Alli, Albrighton
Oh man it's going to be so close lol, need Eriksen to perform basically!
Hey guys, quick RP from earlier:
So I own Kompany, Jesus and Sane. Am tempted to go get Siggy in for Sane. Worth a go?
Thinking that Sterling might come in for the last game with Sane rotated out if Pep is doing Kun-Jesus up top!
Would be for a -4... also doing Cout in for Eriksen (mid will be (C)outinho Sanchez Haz King Sane/Siggy)
Thanks!
Can work but for -4pts its risky... If you feel Sane will be benched, then go for it.
Cheers Holmes. I'm not overly worried, but I have no bench basically apart from Holgate (other 2 are Bailly and Anichebe). Will see what Pep says - if anything - about possible rotation. Want to get away with no hit ideally but the no bench thing is a bit worrying, especially with a potential "fight for 2nd" on the final day in my ML 😀
Who to bench out of these?
Sanchez - Sané - King - Zaha - Fabregas
Costa - Kane - G. Jesus
Zaha
Zaha, but it doesn't matter because who ever you bench will score big
Zaha I think
thanks guys
If Kelechi Iheanacho moves to West Ham United then anyone considering him as third striker?
Of course
Definitely.
Highest PL (striker) output last season.
Yep. Knows where the goal is. Not sure why he's not being kept on at City to be honest, especially if Kun is on his way, though admittedly I've not studied how he's played on the rare occasions he's started/played in the team.
Will their tactic suit him? Maybe wait and watch
He could be a template player if he starts to perform there and he should not be overpriced either
Depends if he's there before prices are released. May just be 6.5 if still at City.
They're also linked to Sandro Wagner, as are Swansea (Bild).
Not the best of strikers but has had good back-to-back seasons now and has been given a call-up to the national team by Jogi Löw.
What are the chances Alonso and Cahill play?
and Aké too?
will select him if 0 or more than 60 mins
6 years, 12 months ago£2.8m going to waste in the bank as it stands. Anything worth a hit? If I sell King or Zaha I have £8.6m to spend. Fabregas/Pedro/Son/Pogba/Mata/Firmino if fit? Such a waste of money but apart from Firmino I don't see any profit 😕
Willy
Alonso // Monreal // Bertrand
Sanchez // Coutinho // Sané // King
Kane // Jesus // Costa
Jaku // Zaha // Mawson // Holgate