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FPL Gameweek 3 – Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

Out latest article analyses the Opta-driven expected goals (xG) data that is available to subscribers in the Members’ area.

As well as taking a look at the expected goals scored and conceded for all 20 Premier League teams after two Gameweeks of the season, we assess the highest-performing forwards, midfielders and defenders in terms of their own personal expected goal involvement (xGI).

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2,868 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    2 FTs and 0 ITB and no idea what to do:

    Foster Fabianksi
    Mendy Robertson PVA AWB Peltier
    Bilva Salah Mane Richarlison Stephens
    Aguero Arnie King

    Thoughts appreciated!

    1. AuFeld
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Arnie to Zaha. King to Wilson.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Nice. Stephens might be dropping so maybe switch so as not to lose 0.1. New Fulham 4.5 mid maybe?

      1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Annoying, just saw this. Looks like I'm keeping him for a long while!

    3. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I have basically same team... maybe foster to Hamer and Stephens to 5.0 like Kante?

  2. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Hazard in my midfield looks awesome. Everyone should try it!

    1. Bluth Banana
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Predicted points vs Newcastle?

      1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        10. He'll start, goal and assist

    2. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Salah as well or not?

      1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      maybe when he actually starts a match

      1. AriseSirGiggsy
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        This?

      2. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Why chase yesterdays points tho? Sometimes you need to take a punt.

  3. samaael
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    eriksen to hazard or mane?

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Maney

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Without a “y”

    2. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard

    3. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard. Look at those fixtures. Nom nom nom.

    4. Khark
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard if you have Salah.

      If not I’m really not sure haha

  4. Joyce1998
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    right any changes need to be made on my wc team I've been messing with it now for legit 5 hours hahahaha

    edersn, hamer
    alonso, mendy, taa, periera, wba
    mane, mki, rich, bsilva, 4.5
    aub, zaha, firmino
    1.2 itb should i go for robbo??
    im keeping firmino cos its hard making a team with salah in

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      no way would I go without Salah AND Aguero soz

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        And this.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Dilva for Bilva?

    3. Khark
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Think you need to forget Firmino mate. Just coz no aguero is dodger.

      Mitrovic and Aguero for Zaha and Firmino

    4. DGW Sane TC Fail....
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      After watching the Liverpool games and not too keen on were Firmino was playing Salah a lot of the time was playing up front while Firmino was deep.

    5. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Aub to Kun
      Needs Salah
      Firminho not firing. Downgrade him and get Salah in

    6. WoofWoofGrrrr
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      put salah in
      take firminio out

  5. Pinky Blinders
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Hey guys, can anyone point me in the right direction for match previews they like to read weekly? Thanks!

    1. A.T
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      What for each different club? What is it you're after?

    2. Salahlulijah
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      The guardian is good and very accurate I hear

  6. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Best City mid to bring in?
    Have none atm

    1. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Still think Bsilva, although a fair few are disagreeing with that lately

    2. F4L
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Silva

      1. Jonny HOW SON?
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        which?...

        1. F4L
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          David. His performance against Hudds was outstanding

    3. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Dilva

  7. kepaccino
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Sell or Keep Mahrez? Already taken a hit

    1. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Would keep if you have taken a hit already. Could easily start the weekend

  8. Paulie Walnuts
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Jimmy snuka superfly

    1. Paulie Walnuts
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      ...Sorry wrong text

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      You just made the list

    3. Costa Nostra
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Top turnbuckle post

    4. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      He's dead

    5. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I'll see your superfly and raise you a Brutas "The Barber" Beefcake

    6. George James
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Wow this name brings back some memories

  9. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    hamer vs CARD is a must for me this week,probably huddersfields easiest fixture all season ,I just gotta play him ,a week on the pine for you mr degea ,I want you to have a good talk with your shite defence and come back strong gw4...

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      If Hamer starts that is

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Lossl may start

      1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        May be wishful thinking, but is he really going to get dropped after taking an inevitable hammering from City. Doesn't do his confidence much good.

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I am playing him too. Hope he keeps his spot. Cardiff look toothless. Hope

  10. Goat
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Foster
    Van Dijk, Mendy, Tomkins
    Bilva, Salah, Mane, Richarlison, Fraser
    Aguero, Zaha

    King, WB, Bednarek

    2 FT’s. Nothing ITB

    Please help no idea what to do

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      King downgrade. Bednar upgrade.

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Ings and Holebas?

    2. WoofWoofGrrrr
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      King to Ings and hold the other

  11. Soapy
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Could anyone tell me what was the reason for Stankovic starting last week? Any chance he starts again this week?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Zanka injury, depends when big Z is back

      1. Soapy
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Hopefully Wagner gives some hint tomorrow. Cheers

  12. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    On wildcard, should i start with Hazard now or go Mané this GW and then transfer Hazard next GW?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Can you squeeze both in? Hazard could really set this place alight on Sunday. Good fixtures too

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        It's three from Salah, Mané, Hazard and Aguero

        1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Ok on Salah, Kun and Haz

    2. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Gamble on hazard I would. I have mane but if was on WC would probably go haz if I had salah

    3. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B.

    4. WoofWoofGrrrr
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane until Haz starts a couple

  13. Gashead9
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Any Mahrez owners remaining? Holding or selling?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Think he will be back for Wolves

      1. Gashead9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Do you own him? I can replace for free, but would want another City mid to replace him

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Think it's gonna be a lottery all season with City mids.

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I sold

      1. Gashead9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Who for?

        1. Buck The Trent
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Mikh

          1. Gashead9
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Really don't fancy Mkhi tbh, he has the odd good game but so inconsistent since being in the prem. Not sure that is gonna change

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Sold for Mkhitaryan. Extra cash gives me option to get hazard, Aubameyang or Alonso next week

    4. DGW Sane TC Fail....
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      i ended up getting rid of Mahez. reason i think David Silva is more nailed on why KDB is out. He can really break down the 10 men behind the ball which is what the next 9 opponents are going to do.Plus he's just retired from international duty so he's going to get plenty of rest. Early exit from the world cup too. i opted for D silva

      1. Gashead9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        This is along the lines of my kind of thinking, David Silva seems the best replacement. Not sure I want Haz until he starts starting games & Auba needs to start scoring.

    5. Costa Nostra
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Gone from my team. Too much of a worry and I can get 1 pointers easily without wasting a slot on a rotation risk. I did Mahrez/Doherty to Mikhi/Alonso before price rises. already a profitable move.

  14. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is anyone starting Kamara this week?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Don't have him mate

    2. F4L
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Slavisa might not.

    3. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      what does the B stand for?

      1. Jonny HOW SON?
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        ask Curtis Axel and Bo Dallas

  15. Iwobi
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Mane or Alli?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane

    2. WoofWoofGrrrr
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane

  16. Buck The Trent
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Start ?

    A DDG (TOT)
    B Hamer (CAR), only 1 shot on target over 2 GWs

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

    3. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A

    4. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Jeez, has it really come to this!

      DDG has a higher ceiling, I'd go with him.

    5. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B Utd and DVD look to be in bad form.

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        D D G

    6. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

    7. WoofWoofGrrrr
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      b

  17. n-doggg
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    My current team below and 2FTs.

    Patricio, Hamer
    Mendy, VVD, Luiz (WanB, bednarek)
    Salah, mane, richarlison, bsilva (Cairney)
    Aguero, arnie, king

    What would you do?

    A. Cairney to Kante (boring I know) and roll FT
    B. King, Cairney, Luiz to kamara, Mkhi and Periera (Mkhi to play as 5th mid)
    C. Other?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      King to Ings give you enough to get Alonso?

      1. n-doggg
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        0.1 away

    2. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      King > Zaha if you have the funds. Mitrovic another decent optio. Could also downgrade Luiz > Chillwell/Pereira and use the funds to do King > Zaha. No rush to get rid of Luiz but think there are better value elsewhere

  18. Champione
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    A) Play with this -8 team (transfers already done):

    Foster
    Alonso Mendy VVD
    Salah Mhki Richarlison Kante
    Aguero Auba Mitrovic

    Fabianski Peltier Stephens Wan-B

    B) Wildcard

    1. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      What would you WC to?!

      Keep it

      1. Champione
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers. Love the team but this is for -8. Could always take some hits later if wildcarding now

        1. n-doggg
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Or wc later when you really need it.

          What do you think of mine above?

          1. Champione
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            good point. Will have a look. Just a second

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Save the wc

      1. Champione
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        thanks

  19. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Any love for hazard?

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      very much

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Too hazardous

  20. No Professionals
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Just used 2FT (Ederson and mkhitaryan) 1.0m ITB

    Ederson
    Mendy Robertson Tomkins
    Salah(c) mane richarlison mkhi
    Aguero zaha king
    (Hamer stephens Peltier WB)

    Feel it looks strong, which normally means I'll have a shocker

  21. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Jota and shaw out for Bellerin and mikki for a minus 4??
    Yes or no??

    1. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mkhi yes. Bellerin no

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I’m glad you have said that that has reaffirmed what I’m thinking currenlty

  22. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Anybody with Bilva looking to get rid?

    1. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Might do a last minute switch to Mkhi but probably hold. Any word in the pressers or not happened yet?

      1. Garfield1001
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Not happened yet

      2. the axolotl
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        i think that's a reasonable move anyway, i'm thinking about it. i've been disappointed with Bilva. was awful i thought vs arsenal. didn't see huddersfield game but no points in 6 goals is pretty damning

    2. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I've begrudgingly taken him out for mkhi just to get some arsenal coverage and feel the rotation risk at city was too great. Felt I could look at the line ups and see all 3 of my players on their bench

    3. :
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Gone for me. Dilva playing doesn't do him any favours.

    4. Messsiaah
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Didn’t do it before the price rise not gonna do it now

  23. Pia06rc
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    A)TAA and Mitro
    B)Robertson and Ings

    Which is best long term?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Six of one, half a dozen of the other in my opinion

    2. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B.)

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B. Ings undervalued.

    4. WoofWoofGrrrr
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

  24. Joyce1998
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    g2g on this wc team??

    ederson, hamer
    alonso, mendy, taa, awb, bennet
    mane, mki, rich, salah, 4.5
    kun, zaha, wilson
    0.0itb

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Very similar to mine, have most of the form players covered off so looks good

      1. No Professionals
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Didn't need wildcard for mine though 😉

        1. Joyce1998
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          whats your team haha, i woudlnt of had to but not having kun and salah i realised i need to bring them in

          1. No Professionals
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            It's a few posts above

  25. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Coleman,: leaves or stays?

    1. A.T
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Coleman is one of the remaining myths of FFS. It's lazy and people will still be saying he has the best attacking threat 2 years from now. The reality is he's not and hasn't been since his injury. Sell him would be my advice.

    2. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Leaves

  26. BenDavies
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    How sure are we that Ings will start?

    1. A.T
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      His form

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Played well

    3. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Most attacking player in the side. Gets in the box. Scored last week.

    4. Salahlulijah
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      My brothers girlfriends sister knows Mark Hughes’ dry cleaner and she has it on good authority that not only does Ings start he is also on pens and will play in goal if the Saints concede a pen to get penalty save points as well

  27. The Royal Robin
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Did Emery say anything on the GK situation at Arsenal?

  28. Patch
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    RIP Hart. Welcome Heaton.

    1. A.T
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Why?

      1. Patch
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        He is on borrowed time, imagine first IB will see him wiped out

        1. A.T
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          How did Heaton get on tonight?

  29. Blue Moon Rising
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    King to:

    A) Wilson or

    B) Arnie?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Arnie

    2. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Arnie

    3. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      C. Keep

    4. Viper
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

    5. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Keep one more week

    6. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Personally, I'm giving him one more week

  30. Viper
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    B. Silva - > Mkhitaryan worth a hit?

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      No

    2. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Not for a bit

    3. Salahlulijah
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      How does someone who has been on here 8 years not know the answer to that

      1. Champione
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        to be fair Mhki has great fixtures coming up and it may pay off already this week