Spot the Differential
17 June 2020 2800 comments
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It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Sailboats
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone going with Sterling in place of Aguero?

    1. Wag the Drog
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I have both and KDB

      1. FPL_DON
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        this

    2. Shark Team
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I was a big fan of Sterling till the press conference of Pep where I understood that he isnt going to play more than 90 mins

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        vs Arsenal or 90 overall minutes in both games?

        1. Shark Team
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Both

  2. Wag the Drog
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which 3 SHU players would you pick without budget concerns?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Henderson Baldcock Lund

      1. MGMT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Lund nailed?

        1. Team Cruel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          With injury news he should be

    2. Pinturicchio10
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The three I have. Stevens, Baldock, Lundstram.

    3. Shark Team
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Stevens Baldock (100% minutes)
      and Henderson

  3. Pedram
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Targett or Saiss?

    1. Wag the Drog
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saiss

    2. Railwayman
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saiss

  4. Azathoth
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play Saka or DCL?

    1. Shark Team
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saka ofc

  5. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pick a pair

    A- Nyland + Stevens
    B- Henderson + El Mohamady

    Currently on B

    1. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldn't be overly convinced about Nyland or Elmo but B from the two

      1. The Red Devil
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        i'm happy with 13-14 of my players, 5th defender has budget of 4.2 or i replace hendo with nyland & get stevens

  6. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) Ederson, Cantwell, Ozil, Aguero

    B) Dubravka, Mahrez, Sterling, Nketiah

  7. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which Twitter account said Aguero isn’t starting?

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      One set up this morning.

      1. JBG
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Can't fathom why people love trolling like that? How bored are their lives :/?

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ben Dinnery

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Uhhh, link? I can’t see anything...

        1. Team Cruel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          GW2 last season before Kun got 20 points.

          But seriously there hasn’t been anyone reputable who has said anything regarding City lineup tonight

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I would be shocked if Aguero doesn't start today. It doesn't make sense not to play him.

  8. Shark Team
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Fernandes Aarons or Saiss for next 3 gws?

    1. Railwayman
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saiss

  9. davies
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Leno or Henderson

    1. Shark Team
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It's simple: only for this gameweek Henderson ofc
      For long term Leno

    2. Dele
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Leno

    3. Boris Bodega
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lol I have both

  10. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys, pick two from these. One starter and one first sub:

    A Norwood
    B Targett
    C Lascelles
    D Duda
    E Cantwell

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A... and hope for a pen 🙂
      D or E first sub

    2. Wag the Drog
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C
      B

  11. The EJJ
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    anyone punting on Ozil? could be fun...

    1. Gol D Roger
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Soooooooooooo tempted , but would involve a bit of shifting that I’m not sure about

    2. Boris Bodega
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes I am 🙂

      Leno - Hendo
      Laporte - Lundy - Baldcock - Boly - Kelly
      Ozil - Traore - Fernandes - KDB - Grealish
      Auba - Aguero - Jimenez

      1. Boris Bodega
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Actually went for Lascelles and not Kelly

      2. The EJJ
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Nice team that! Assume that's BB?

    3. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, I fancy a cheeky punt on him

      1. The EJJ
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Only worry is him not starting twice, can handle 2 blanks but a no start would be annoying

  12. Marty McFly
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I need a strong argument to dissuade me from this BB team. Please, please, tear it apart for me!

    Ederson - Reina
    TAA - Enda Stevens - Lundstram- Egan - Targett
    KDB - Pepe - Grealish - Sako - Duda
    Aguero - Auba - Jimenez

    1. Moxon
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good mate

    2. SoShy
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That many Arsenal players? Brave lad

    3. kalshot
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I won't tear it up...However some comments...Rumours Reina might not play, wait for last min team news. also Target, Villa have the worst def record. Pepe pricey and he's Pepe

  13. Wish you were me
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Why is no one picking Calvert Lewin?

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Uhh? liverpool?

    2. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Because he plays against the best team in the league?

    3. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Too many other options, esp with dgw, but I'm interested in getting him back in depending on how he performs again Liverpool

  14. MartialMatas
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Fairly set on most of my bench boost team

    Still need 2 midfielders though, and i've got £11.2m for them

    The rest of the team

    Leno Henderson
    Doherty Luiz Egan Lundstram Cahill
    Sterling KDB Grealish
    Kun DCL Jiminez

  15. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A. Sterling and Mount or
    B. Mahrez and B.Fernandes?

  16. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Don't listen to anyone who isn't FPL Rockstar or a reputable journalist

  17. Bartowski
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Nice to see, however long its been, I'm still always 0.1 off my perfect team...

  18. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I am not considering Kun to Sterling

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ok

    2. The Red Devil
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lemme write it down in my notepad. thanks.

    3. kalshot
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      This will trend worldwide

  19. SoShy
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Boly or Saiss

    Ideal 3 city picks?
    Aguero
    Kdb
    Kun

    1. Bun Rab
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Boly.

      Laporte, Kdb, Kun.

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Forget de Bruyne smh

    3. SoShy
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ffs.. Kun, Raz and Kdb..

      Ahh good to be back.. rusty

      1. kalshot
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Those are my picks until i change it again

    4. kalshot
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You put Aguero and Kun lol

  20. Bun Rab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Won't the old addage of " blank on against tired legs" be more true then ever for the return?

    Doesn't this make Mahrez, Nketiah, Saka, Lordstrum and others that may be subs, worth picking to run rampant for the last 20/30 mins. If not starting the 2nd game against weaker oppoisition as well?

    Thoughts?

  21. Teror
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mane or Sterling?

  22. QUEN
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    So guys what we doing now no fleck

    Not sure how to adjust my team

    Bb wc 31

    Henderson Leno
    Taa lascelles saiss Targett baldock
    Sterling kdb grealish fleck saka
    Auba aguero samatta

  23. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Right, I ned to step away from tinkering now. Think Im settled on this. GTG?

    Leno*
    TAA Baldock* Lundstram*
    KDB* Mahrez* Grealish* Saka*
    Aguero* Aubameyang* Jimenez

    subs: Henderson* Targett* El Ghazi* Doherty

    BB in play, will either FH or WC for 31.

    GTG or changes needed before deadline?

  24. John wick
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Guys need ur help
    Rate my team

    Leno ederson
    Taa Alonso saiss egan lund
    Kdb Grealish mount tarore norwood
    Kun abua j.Ayew
    Bb this week

    1. kalshot
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Better than most BB i've seen. Some nice SGW players in there. Worth a punt

  25. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    23% ownership for Aguero 😮

  26. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of Lundstram starting?

  27. rohan
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Not sure what the rumours are but those with Kun (C), are you changing to KDB?

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling for me

  28. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? BB
    Henderson
    Trent • Stevens • Egan
    KDB • Mahrez • Grealish • El Ghazi
    Agüero • Auba • Jiminez
    (Leno / Targett / Saiss / Cantwell)

    Should I get saka over cantwell?

  29. Erdogan
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I don’t see David Silva much in the teams. However considering him as my 3rd city pick. Go/No Go?

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd avoid. He wont play more then 90 over 2 games I'd say

    2. MGMT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think pep said he was out for the season

  30. WorldCup82
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    BB Activated, with WC ready for Wk 31
    I'm up 10 pts in my H2H league

    Pretty much locked in:
    Reina Leno
    Stevens Lundstram Egan Targett
    Sterling KDB(c) Grealish Cantwell
    Kun(vc) Abraham

    Combinations I'm looking at for the rest:
    A. Doherty Mount Jimenez (25/27 possible total games)
    B. Boly Saka Aubameyang (27/27 possible total games)
    C. Doherty Pepe Nkeitah (27/27 possible total games)
    D. TAA Saka Jimenez (26/27 possible total games) and won't lose 0.3 in value

    Which would you pick and why? Am I missing someone that I should try to fit in? Thanks again for looking!