Spot the Differential
17 June 2020 2800 comments
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It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Totti
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    reposting guys
    pages are flying 🙂

    choose one

    A) ederson and bruno
    B) GK up to 4.9 and mehrez

    1. Champions League Varane
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. Totti
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        thanks mate

    2. Azathoth
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A A and again A

      1. Totti
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        thanks mate

  2. Mr. Mystic
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    BB team, thoughts?

    Leno Hendo
    TAA Lundy Egan Targett Doheryu
    Mane KDB Grealish Mcginn Mount
    Aguero Auba Nketiah

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Splendid

  3. gooner_112233445566
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    for this gameweek only..

    a) taa, mahrez
    b) lascelles, sterling

    1. Pickle juice
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      same dilemmea....which way you swaying

      1. gooner_112233445566
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        when i look at the question i think it looks obvious..A

        but i just dont trust pep with mahrez, i think sterling will get more minutes

        1. Pickle juice
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I'm thinking sterling gets more minutes and more potential of haul .......but then so could TAA.

          I'm probably swaying towards B

    2. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I have gone for B

  4. mccormibar
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    RMT:

    Ederson Leno

    Basham Egan Lundstram Targett Justin
    KDB Pepe Grealish El Ghazi Barnes
    Aguero Auba Wilson

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      don't like wilson

  5. Pickle juice
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    (1) lascelles

    or

    (2) Targett

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      2

  6. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one please for BB, got WC too:

    A) Leno, Sterling, Sammata

    B) Ederson, Bruno, Abraham

    1. gooner_112233445566
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  7. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    FOR THIS WEEK ONLY

    A) Barnes and Alonso/azpi

    B) Saka and TAA

    1. Brimble82
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B.
      Any option with TAA has to be the right option.

  8. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to start:

    A Norwood
    B Targett

  9. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    CAPTAIN?

    KDB
    Aguero

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KDB

    2. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Aguero

    3. Brimble82
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I've been on Kun, but considering Kev!
      It's Pep isn't it! Who knows.

  10. McGlynn8
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Right people what do u think any other suggestions?

    Leno Henderson

    Lundstram Stevens Laporte Lascelles Saiss

    Pépé Grealish DeBruyne McGinn Cantwell

    Auba Aguero Samatta

    BB activated so 12 DGW players
    WC next GW

  11. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Should I be worried about having Reina as my only keeper? Do we think his place is at risk?

  12. Tauruspt
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sane worth a punt?

    1. mattyb09
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nah, but Mahrez is.

  13. hammersp2000
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Having a rethink on my Captain Kun decision.

    Real possibility that he plays 60 v arsenal & 30 v Burnley.

    Anyone thinking KDB would be better as he has no real direct competition?

    1. mattyb09
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KDB will be by far the most captained this week. Consistency + more likely to play the most minutes of outfield players.

    2. Jones Town
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going KDB - think lots are over Aguero

    3. The Red Devil
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      pep can easily put a trio of gundogan Dilva/Foden & Fernandinho

    4. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm speculating as much as you are but I feel Pep will go Sterling - Aguero - Bernardo tonight and maybe Sane - Jesus - Mahrez for Burnley.

      Not sure about mdifield roration with Fernandinho, Gundogan, KDB, D-Silva, Rodri all available AFAIK but I'm going with KDB persoanlly.

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Oh jeez, Foden too.

  14. QUEN
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Fleck to Norwood? Or any other options

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nobody else in the Sheff Utd midfield. Cantwell, Duda, Douglas Luiz, Saka other options at that price

    2. JelliedSpark968
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cantwell/Duda are options too

  15. Pointless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Duda being talked up in Diferentials article. Is he a better punt than Cantwell as my 5th mid Fleck replacement?

    1. GoingUpUpUp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      NCFC fan and ST holder here. For me he passes the eye test; plays central, very calm on the ball and has a shot on him. 4 or 5 have taken the paintwork off already, the goals are coming and his assist play is good. It will come. he has some competition though and Farke' thinking may revert to Vrancic or Leitner in that spot.

      Cantwell is a kid on the crest of a wave though and confidence is sky high. If he got more shots away then I would go with him, and maybe after this break he will, but to date he hasn't. Certain starter though.

      Duda for my money

      1. Pointless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I'll go Duda over Cantwell - Thanks OTBCWill for great answer

      2. Pointless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        BTW do we know/rumour who the Norwich player is with Corona?! Is Duda ok?!

  16. JelliedSpark968
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Struggling to pick only 3 Sheffield united players. Currently on Stevens, Lord and McBurnie

  17. Dybala10
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I'm overthinking this aren't I, Lund over Stevens?

    1. FPL Scoop
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’ve got Stevens. More nailed than Lundstram surely?

      1. Dybala10
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Potentially LCB now and Lundstram seems guaranteed at least this start. I'm just thinking about all the times I've been hurt by him this season...

    2. JelliedSpark968
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      this week, Lund. Otherwise, Stevens

  18. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go on BB30+? Still got 0.1m itb after JOC --> Basham

    Leno [Reina]
    TAA | Lundstram | Egan [ Basham | Lascelles ]
    KDB (c) | Mahrez | Grealish | Fernandes | Cantwell
    Aguero | Aubameyang [ Nketiah ]

  19. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Laporte or Doherty? Why?

    1. Brimble82
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I've gone Doherty - because I wanted 3x City attacking assets.
      Though Laporte has the higher likelihood of minutes.
      Pros & Cons

  20. John wick
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bb any thoughts
    Leno ederson
    Taa egan Alonso saiss lund
    Kdb Grealish mount tarore norwood
    Kun abua j.Ayew

  21. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    McBurnie or Sharp? Yes really

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Mc

    2. Pointless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Mc

  22. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best Goalkeeper for this week only:

    a. Reina
    b. Nyland
    c. Ramsdale
    d. McCarthy

  23. finnish92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez or Fernandes just for this gw? I already have KDB and Aguero...

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Punt Mahrez.

    2. JelliedSpark968
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Riyad

  24. Pedram
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I think i'm finally set, any suggestions?

    Hendo - Leno
    TAA - Lord - Egan - Fernandez - Saiss
    KDB - Sterling - Grealish - Fernanes - Mount
    Aguero - Jimenez - Nketiah

  25. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Lund to start?

  26. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go? BC+WC31

    GK: Leno/Guaita
    DEF:Trent/Stevens/Baldock/Lundstram/Targett
    MID:KDB/Mahrez/ElGhazi/Grealish/Mount
    ATK:Auba/Aguero/Jota

    Cheers and have a great gameweek!

  27. Jones Town
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    My final decisions on BB team:

    A) El Ghazi
    B) McGinn

    A) Stevens
    B) Lundstram

    A) Lascelles
    B) Max Aarons

    Thanks! 🙂

  28. kamdaraji
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sane!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  29. gryffsonofarthur
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    WOW. 2000 comments!

    1. Brimble82
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Right! It's almost like FPL has been missed!
      I guess throwing everybody unlimited tfrs worked out well for FPL Towers.

  30. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pick 2 from Lundstram Stevens Egan

    Currently got the latter 2 for nailedness

    1. JelliedSpark968
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lund and Stevens

      1. Brimble82
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Concur

      2. Pickle juice
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        lund and stevens

    2. HNI
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lund and STevens