Spot the Differential
17 June 2020 2800 comments
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It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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  1. nadman89
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    opinion piece , how many minutes does everyone think aguero , kdb , sterling get respectively?

    1. mattyb09
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Kun - 110
      KDB - 160
      Sterling - 90

      1. mattyb09
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Actually, very likely Aguero doesn't play at all vs Burnley

        1. nadman89
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          its risky i wanna tc aguero and not kdb but the mins are always a prob with baldiola

    2. Jones Town
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      90, 120, 90

    3. KingRichud
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      120, 150, 90

    4. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      90
      130
      100

  2. Budgies
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Any suggested tweaks for gameweek? only £0.1m left

    Leno,
    TAA, Lundy, Egan,
    KDB (VC), Pepe, Mount, Fernandes
    Aguero (C), Aubm Jiminez

    (Patricio, Saiss, Lascelles, Leitner)

  3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Final decision
    Only for this week :
    A) Cantwell/Duda+Samatta
    B)Douglas Luiz+Jota

    1. Crump
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A

  4. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Which team is better for a BB GW30 and WC in GW31?

    A)
    leno - henderson
    alonso - doherty - egan - LUNDSTRAM - BELLERIN
    kdb - mount - barnes - STERLING - GREALISH
    aguero(c) - jimenez - PUKKI

    B)
    leno - henderson
    alonso - doherty - egan - BASHAM - TARGETT
    kdb - mount - barnes - MAHREZ - TRAORE
    aguero(c) - jimenez - AUBAMEYANG

    1. MidTableFantasy
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      B, maybe with Saka and Grealish instead of Barnes and Traore?

  5. LIARS POKER
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Which option for one week only

    A) Pepe + Abraham
    B) Mount + Jimenez

    Currently on A

  6. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Which one?

    A. Tammy & Barnes
    B. Jimi & Mount

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Nice name lad, A for me

  7. Mattador
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    fill in the blanks on my BB team below

    Pope Ederson
    TAA Lund Saiss Egan XXXX
    Mane KDB Grealish Saka XXXX
    Auba Aguero Nketiah

    8.7 for two spots. Any help greatly appreciated

    1. Crump
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Robinson
      Duda

  8. oispakaljaa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Just for this GW. (Free Hit)

    A) Salah
    B) Mane

    1. Railwayman
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Mane

    2. FPL_DON
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      b

  9. Jones Town
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    My final decisions on BB team :

    A) El Ghazi
    B) McGinn

    A) Stevens
    B) Lundstram

    A) Lascelles
    B) Max Aarons

    Thanks! 🙂

    1. abaalan
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A, B, A

    2. KingRichud
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      ABA

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      AAB

    4. Tempestic
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Aarons is injured i'm pretty sure

  10. KingRichud
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Abraham 100% nailed?
    If not, swap for McBurnie or Samatta

  11. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    So who replaces O'Connell?

  12. John wick
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Bb any thoughts

    Leno ederson
    Taa Alonso saiss egan lund
    Kdb Grealish mount tarore norwood
    Kin auba j.Ayew

  13. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Will Brandon Williams start this weekend?
    Thoughts.

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Experienced Shaw probably be favoured.

  14. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Football isn’t back until FPL Rockstar tweets his GIF.

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      It'd be chaos if he does it around 4:54pm haha!

  15. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    McGinn or El Ghazi?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Going El Ghazi for secure starts

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Tbh I'm ok with McGinn starting one and coming off the bench in the other, I'm merely asking from an attacking perspective

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      EG

    3. Tempestic
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      I'd probably say El Ghazi

  16. Catsandhats
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Hi all! Finally back on FPL and Havnt was bought about anything until now-

    I have left: BB, WC, FH

    Is this her ally a good plan:

    - use the free tea adder this week to bring in 15 DGWers and bench boost,

    - wild card next week to a longer term team,

    - use free hit if/when needed?

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      makes a lot of sense but not sure we'll not THAT much in time to WC next week
      Also gw31 deadline is midweek, pretty much straight after DGW

  17. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    on BB this week
    Would you rather Salah and Ings (previously owned)
    or lose value on Salah (Ings not too fussed) and go Mahrez and Rashford
    potentially using FH next week

  18. gooner_112233445566
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    mcburnie or jota this gameweek only?

    right now i have henderson, lund and baldock and doherty (obviously will have to get rid of sheff defender if i get mcburnie)

  19. Kuzser
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    After 30+, which would you rather have?

    A) BB Team (will FH in 31 and do Mahrez Kun->Son Rash for 32)
    Leno-Krul
    TAA-Egan-Saiss-Baldock-Lascelles
    KDB-Grealish-Bruno-Mahrez -Saka
    Auba-Kun-Jota

    B) Reverted team to pre-30+ once I used FH
    Pope (Krul)
    Taa Egan Doherty - Awb Taylor
    Salah Kdb Bruno Doucure -Saka
    Auba Jota Dcl

  20. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Who gets more points this GW Salah or Pepe?

    1. KingRichud
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Salah

  21. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    1) Stevens + Norwood
    2) Lund + El gazi

    1. KingRichud
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      I have all 4. But 2

  22. Tempestic
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    On BB, will Wc next gw:
    A) Auba, El Ghazi
    Or
    B) Mane, Nketiah

    If I pick A, I lose 0.4 on Mane if I want him back on WC..

  23. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Best defender this week:

    A) Saiss
    B)Targett

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A I think. Dont fancy Villa defence that much and yet him sat here with Targett in my draft for BB

  24. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    i have 12 DGW players in my BB team...

    Henderson, Egan, Lund
    Leno, Pepe, Auba
    Laporte, KDB, Aguero
    McGinn, Grealish, Samatta

    12 is not too many right? have i picked the right 3 from each team?

  25. Henning
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Pick 2

    1. Lundstram
    2. Egan
    3.Stevens

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      1 and 3

  26. merin
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Who will get the most points this week?
    A) Fernandez
    B) Boly
    C) Saiss

    1. gryffsonofarthur
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Either one of the Wolves guys.

      1. merin
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        cheers

  27. gryffsonofarthur
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Any weight to the leak about Sterling not starting?

  28. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    After 30+, which of these lot would you prefer to have?

    A) Team BB (leaving me with a pretty strong bench): Leno // Lunds // Grealish // Cantwell // Mount // Aguero
    B) Reverted team after FH: McCarthy // Lascelles // Salah // Mooy // Hayden // Rashford

    Rest of team:
    Pope // _____
    AWB // TAA // Saiss // Egan // _____
    KDB // Bruno // _____ // _____ // ______
    Auba // Jimenez // _____

  29. x.jim.x
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone having a one-week punt on PVA?

  30. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Which option looks best

    A McGinn and 3.9 bench fodder
    B Norwood & Targett (1st sub)

    1. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      love mcginn , but are we sure he starts?

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        That is the question