Spot the Differential
17 June 2020 2800 comments
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It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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  1. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Please select two
    1. Egan
    2. Baldock
    3. Stevens

    1. OverTinker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Money not an issue

    2. Kuzser
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      2 and 3 is money is not an issue

      1. OverTinker
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        Heard Egan was more attacking??

        1. Kuzser
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 day ago

          He's a CB with some good attempts from corners, but other 2 are more involved into open play

          1. OverTinker
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 1 day ago

            Thanks

            1. pablo discobar
              • 16 Years
              6 years, 1 day ago

              Wing backs more suspect to the 5 sub rule?

  2. Kuzser
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    After 30+, which would you rather have?

    A) BB Team (will FH in 31)
    Leno-Krul
    TAA-Egan-Doherty-Baldock-Lascelles
    KDB-Grealish-Bruno-Mount -Saka
    Auba-Kun-Jota

    B) Reverted team to pre-30+ once I used FH
    Pope (Krul)
    Taa Egan Doherty - Awb Taylor
    Salah Kdb Bruno Doucure -Saka
    Auba Jota Dcl

    1. FOMFF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Not much in it really. I think B as the main difference in Auba + Kun which I doubt will be your long term plan anyway.

  3. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    OK here is the final(?) BB draft, any thoughts much appreciated (WC 31):

    Leno
    Baldock Lundstram Targett
    KDB Sterling Saka Grealish
    (K)un Auba Jota

    Hendo Mount Saiss Fernandez

    Anything to change here?

  4. Barnabus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Anyone still taking a punt on Fleck? 75% chance of starting.

    1. Wirtzle Gummidge
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Misses this evening but should be okay for the next. Not worth it

      1. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        says who?

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Scored both goals last time vs. Villa

    3. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Nope

  5. Wirtzle Gummidge
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    He is a LB naturally.

    1. Wirtzle Gummidge
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Reply fail RE Robinson

  6. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Who’s the better pick folks?
    Very little in it

    Alonso
    Doherty

    1. Wirtzle Gummidge
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Going with both but Doherty edges it

    2. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      B

    3. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Doherty. Alonso not nailed

    4. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Doherty

  7. Tribecca
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Will there be any more double game weeks? If so which week?

    1. LikeItLoveIt
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      There's none planned but who knows what covid might throw up

    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      i think unlikely unless covid19 causes 1

  8. LikeItLoveIt
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Does anyone have any good sources for lineup leaks?

    And when do they usually get released?

    Thanks!

  9. davies
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Mane/Mahrez or Sterling/Tammy

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      first combo

      1. The Pesci challenge
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        This

  10. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    One week only team with BB how does it look please
    Hendo Reina
    Boly-TAA-Egan-Lascelles-Walker
    Salah-KDB-D.Silva-Martial-Grealish
    Long-Vardy-McBurnie
    0.5 available.
    Thanks

  11. Lenred
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    On FH - thoughts please

    A) Connolly, Sterling, Ozil, Targett
    B) Tammy, Mahrez, Guendozi, Lundstram

    Cheers!

    1. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      B

    2. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Are they all in the first eleven?

      1. Lenred
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        Good point!
        In A) Connolly would be bench fodder
        In B) Guendozi would be on the bench - second change behind Maitland-Nile

        Cheers Pesci

  12. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Nice diffos. Good article

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Thanks mate, hopefully one or two of them fire.

  13. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    A) Baldock, Lundstram, McGinn

    B) Egan, Basham, Mount

    1. CarelessGenius©
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      A

  14. CarelessGenius©
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    A. B Silva?
    B. Rodrigo?
    C. D Silva?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      C

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        C

    2. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      C

  15. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    I think Pep will pull out a few surprises tonight with his lineup against an Arteta with inside knowledge of his team

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      What do you expect to see?

      1. OneDennisBergkamp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        i can see Jesus starting ahead of Aguero

    2. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      It’s rotation galore moving forwards for pep so could be anything

  16. LC1
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Let's get it boys and girls!!!

    Here's my (hopefully) finalised team;

    Henderson Leno
    TAA Saiaa Stevens Targett Lascelles
    KDB(c) Sterling Fleck Grealish Saka
    Aguero Auba Samatta

    WC week after.

    Good luck everyone!

    1. Hitmonlee
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Watch out with the Fleck pick mate

      1. LC1
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        Yeah just seen haha.

        Will swap to Cantwell and upgrade Lascelles to SHU defender.

        Cheers bud.

  17. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Mount or H Barnes?

    Boly or Justin?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Boly-Mount

    2. Hitmonlee
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Mount and Boly

    3. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Cheers lads

  18. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Chelsea predicted line up still not done in Team News.

    Do people expect Alonso to start? I really don't know...

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      i wouldnt bet on it

  19. manu4life99
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Is Fernandez worth the extra vs Lascelles

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Yes

  20. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Best defender option for this game week at 4.4 or lower?

    A) Stephens
    B) Mings
    C) Targett
    D) Lascelles
    E) Aaron’s
    F) other

    1. Seamy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Targett for the fact that he has 2 fixtures. Lascelles is my SGW pick there

    2. Astronautovic
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      C

    3. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      A or D

  21. Babelcopter
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Huge Auba fail coming

    1. HashAttack
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      6 points last time out as TC ... Even Auba will be hard pushed to get a worse score this week

  22. Seamy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    With the O'Connell news is it worth

    O'Connell & Bellerin --> Lundstram & Tierney?

  23. BigBadCabrera
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Anyone have any idea about how the price changes will work?

    Will there be a raft of price changes driven by transfers this week once this gameweek is over, or do transfers this week not count towards price changes at all?

    1. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      This

    2. Seamy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      I think any transfers from the deadline will count towards price changes. But I have nothing to back it up

    3. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      Same as a new season imo

  24. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Bruno Fernandes, Mount or Jimi in a free hit?
    who scores more this week! Thanks

    1. Hitmonlee
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      I’ve gone Jimmy but all 3 look good

  25. Hitmonlee
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Any early team news yet?

    Only 4 hours of panic left

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      4 hours till absolute scenes lol

      1. Hitmonlee
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 day ago

        Guaranteed lol

  26. ludaslol
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Which scores more? WC next week

    A) Henderson, TAA, Sterling, Samatta

    B) Ederson, Basham, Auba, Bruno

  27. Babelcopter
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Lascelles or Targett?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 day ago

      targett

  28. Netters2018
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Egan or Stevens?

  29. Tabbara
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on this BB

    Henderson Leno
    Alonso TAA Saiss Lundstram Taylor
    Grealish KDB Sterling Norwood Cantwell
    Aguero Auba Nketiah
    Thx

  30. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 day ago

    What would you with this team?I used my wc in gw29.I have BB and FH.

    Pope/McCarthy
    ASmith/Taylor/Alonso/VVD/Boly
    Barnes/Mount/Mane/Pepe/Hayden
    Jimenez/Jota/Auba

    0.4itb