Pro Pundits - Ash

Why I’m changing my transfers approach with time running out on FPL season

In Fantasy Premier League, timing is everything. And that mantra becomes even more important as the season winds to a close.

With just six Gameweeks left of 2019/20, my entire decision-making process starts to change, in regards to teams to target, when to play my chips and which players to spend precious transfers on.

For example, Liverpool winning the Premier League last week has been a much-discussed subject in relation to Fantasy. Will their assets play differently with the long-awaited title in the bag? Well, let’s not forget the title-race was effectively finished long before the lockdown anyway.

For me, there are much bigger issues to discuss when it comes to handling the end of this strange and unprecedented season, not least the ability to make quick and aggressive decisions between now and Gameweek 38+ if you want to make a late charge up the rankings.

 1

The unlimited transfers and Double Gameweek that accompanied the Premier League restart felt like an unexpected bonus chip. Thankfully, I put it to good use, in combination with Bench Boost and the fall-back of a second Wildcard. I managed to score 124 points and cut my rank in half. That’s the sort of thing I want to be doing as often as possible when I still feel like more teams have something to play for.

I couldn’t rest on the laurels of my big Gameweek 30+ green arrows for too long due to the short turnaround, and a new squad staring at me from the transfers page. 

The team as a whole performed well albeit for a Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) captain fail but that didn’t prevent me from scoring 200+ points, back-to-back.

Had it not been for the FA Cup games over the weekend, I would have almost certainly used my remaining chip, Free Hit, for Gameweek 32+ because, as I said, I like the idea of making quick-fire aggressive decisions to string together consecutive rank rises.

andys-gw33-article 3

However, I couldn’t take the risk this time around, as I felt Free Hitting in Gameweek 32+ would involve loading up on players that had an FA Cup game and then a Premier League outing so soon afterwards. 

As an aside, this sort of thing shows that every remaining Gameweek has a different set of variables to those that come before and after it. 

So, rather than looking at the final games as one block, I plan on viewing them in separate sprints. 

Firstly, the primary focus for me is to strike while the iron is hot. I do want to use my Free Hit chip as soon as possible and I feel that there are favourable fixtures in Gameweek 33+.

→ Which of these 2019/20 matches saw only five shots registered, the fewest recorded in a Premier League game since detailed shot collection began?

Manchester United host a woeful Bournemouth side, Liverpool will welcome relegation-threatened Aston Villa to Anfield while Chelsea and Watford do battle at Stamford Bridge. With those three fixtures, I could form the spine of an excellent Free Hit squad, which I would hope could gain further ground. No doubt, the risk of rotation will be present once again but I feel that will increase further for each remaining Gameweek, especially as more and more teams lose motivation to either qualify for Europe or save themselves from relegation.

Secondly, the Gameweeks leading up to the penultimate Gameweek will rely massively on my wildcard team holding up. I also have two free transfers at hand after not making any changes this weekend. I will reluctantly take hits if I have to but I’m hoping that most of my players are either likely starters or still have something to play for. 

Thirdly, I am treating Gameweek 38+ as a separate entity altogether. By then, a lot of the European and relegation position battles would have been all but settled and I would need to think very carefully on my final moves.

Hasenhuttl to aid Ings' quest for the Golden Boot as Watford's FPL assets flop

I have generally not been a fan of short-term/one-week punt transfers in FPL. The game is, after all, a marathon and not a sprint. So, with each team only having at least half a dozen games left the one thing that I don’t want to do is waste unnecessary transfers. Anyone I buy now will have to be justified as someone I am happy to have in my team until the end of the season. 

I am sure this mindset could cost me a few bandwagon players but I don’t think it’s worth avoiding them in the interest of maximising my remaining transfers. I must be prepared to start all players from subsequent transfers in almost all remaining games and feel confident enough that the outgoing asset won’t do as well.

Assessing these decisions is, admittedly, harder than it was before, not least because it is more difficult to trust fixture schedules these days.

Before the Premier League restarted, the Bundesliga resumption was already in full swing and one of the early patterns that it validated was a loss of significance for home advantage in empty stadiums. 

With the Bundesliga season now completed, it is clear to see that away teams performed far better than they might have expected. 

This has already crept into the Premier League and I expect the trend to continue. It is those sides threatened by relegation who I feel for the most, as their ‘12th man’ edge has been completely eroded. In FPL’s first two Gameweeks, none of the bottom four won a home game. 

It may still be early days with the Premier League’s restart but it goes to show that fixture difficulty ratings need to be reconsidered and the aura of playing at home without fans has been greatly diminished for certain clubs.

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 32+

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1,045 Comments Post a Comment
  1. ninja
    • 9 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Any thoughts on what I could do to improve here. I have 0.0m in the bank and 2 free transfers??

    Pope Button
    TAA Doherty Maguire Lascelles Kiko
    KDB Salah Fernandes Sako Hayden
    Rashford Jiminez DCL...

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Rash to Greenwood and Hayden to Mahrez?

      1. Little Red Lacazette
        • 3 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        +1

        1. Moeda
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          What Miggy said

  2. Abra Dubravka
    • 1 Year
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Holgate and DCL to AWB and Nketiah for free? (Nketiah on bench)

    1. Wally banter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Yes

  3. Chandler Bing
    • 4 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Price not an issue. Which one?

    A. Son
    B. Mahrez

    1. Wally banter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Mahrez

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Mahrez - get Aurier if you want a Spurs wing back

    3. Amey
      • 1 Year
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      I'm going to watch game this GW to decide this exactly.
      (If Mahrej is benched vs Pool & Son fails to impress, Son to Mahrej FT)

  4. Wally banter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Thoughts on below team and transfer proposition lads....

    Dubravka
    TAA Doh Aurier
    Mane c Son Kdb Bruno Saka
    Jiminez Rashford

    Bench Lascelles Nketiah 4.0

    1 Save
    2 Son, Doh to Awb, Salah
    3 4.0 to AWB/Alonso

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 1 Year
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Not 2.
      If you save, I’d also play Lascelles over Saka.

  5. Karan14 (Brazil Nuts)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    GW30: Got Rashford on FH but Bruno scores
    GW31: Bruno(c) but got Martial and he scores a hatty
    GW32: Got Rashford(c) but Bruno scores a brace

    GW33: Rashford or Bruno or Martial cap?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 7 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Rashford for me.

      1. Karan14 (Brazil Nuts)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Tempted to roll the dice with him again. He's due a haul now.

        1. EmreCan Hustle
          • 7 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          He was due a haul vs SHU if only he took his chances.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Bruno - best spread of point scoring opportunities

      1. Karan14 (Brazil Nuts)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        How things change in a week!!
        No one was ready to captain him for this week.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          Gonna go mad chasing points at United - just pick one for captaincy and stick

    3. Iggy pop
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Safest pick - Bruno
      Highest potential - Martial
      Risky - Rashford

  6. Little Red Lacazette
    • 3 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    1FT. Auba ->

    A. Rashford
    B. Vardy
    C. Jesus
    D. Kane

    Pope
    TAA C.Taylor Boly
    Salah KDB Fernandes Sarr
    Auba DCL Jimi

    Martinez Saka Saiss Cathcart

  7. Disturbed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Eve v Lei score predictions?

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      0 - 0

      1. Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Fearing the same.

    2. Little Red Lacazette
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      1-2

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      2-0

    4. Costa in Wengerland
      • 8 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      1-0 Leicester

    5. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      2-1

      Leicester are not looking good

  8. Hotdogs for Tea
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    expect the young lad Neco Williams to be rotated with TAA and maybe even start against Villa 😉

  9. marzo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    5th mid, 2nd/3rd striker.
    Jimenez, Greenwood my other strikers.
    Going to play 451 for the most part + a BB at some stage soon.

    Which pairing would you choose?
    1. Pulisic/Nketiah.
    2. Foden/DCL.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      2

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 7 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      2

  10. Netters2018
    • 1 Year
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Morning All. Just FH left and 2 fts this week. Need triple utd
    Pope,
    TAA, Doherty, Kiko, Lascelles, Holgate
    Salah, KDB, Son, Bruno, Gendouzi
    Jimi, Rash, DCL

    Thinking either
    A) Doherty + Kiko - Boly and AWB
    B) Gendouzi + Rashford - Martial and Greenwood

    Thanks

  11. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Morning all,

    No doubt there is alot of love out there for Greenwood but I would like to know from united fans or anyone how likely is he to get regular game time?

    At moment united places are hot so is it worth it putting a bit part player in?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 7 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      He will get rotated, but a good performance should be rewarded with back to back starts IMO.

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Unitrd places offer great value, question is can we afford to get greenwood if he gets rated with james

    2. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      He’s better than James - ole wants to keep his job!

    3. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      He looks a hell of a prospect - doing what he's doing - at just 18 years of age... surely has a big future ahead

      FPL wise its hard to know - he's so cheap, but TV is kind of less relevant at this stage for various reasons so that may not be asmuch of an advantage as it first seems

      But very excited to see how he develops over the coming seasons - great to have him & rashford in their forward line as two homegrown youth team products

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        100% agree but I'm currently chasing in my ml and may roll.thr wc. Just trying to work out if greenwood is worthy of a united slot.

        Current wc

        Martinez Alison
        TAA Wan Lasc Taylor Doherty
        Salah KDB Mahrez Martial Foden
        Nketiah Greenwood Jimi

        Need a good squad as I want to play the bb soon

        1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          I'd still go for one of AWB/Maguire plus two of Bruno/Martial/Rashford

          Teams are going to have markers sucked towards Bruno at all times in the next few games after last night's destruction - should leave more space for Martial & Rashford again & you just know Pogba has a 20 point haul up his sleeve in one of these games coming up

          1. n14mul
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            6 days, 4 hours ago

            Agree again Bruno killed me last night hence need to work out which united 3

    4. manu4life99
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      currently its his place to lose

    5. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Wouldn't get him in. Wait and see for now.

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        would love to see what happens next game. Maybe I will but not long left for the season now

  12. EmreCan Hustle
    • 7 Years
    6 days, 4 hours ago

    Good morning DZ.

    Both moves involve a hit.

    Richarlison+Vardy to

    A) Mane+Greenwood(-4)
    B) Mahrez+Jesus(-4)

    Thanks.

    1. Karan14 (Brazil Nuts)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Do you have Salah?

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 7 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        No. Just TAA

        1. Karan14 (Brazil Nuts)
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          Both options look great tbh.
          Slightly leaning towards B though.

  13. Helpmeoutpleaselads
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Greenwood 20/21 price prediction?

      1. Eat my goal!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        6mil

      2. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        7.5

      3. ZeBestee
        • 5 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Depends whether United will buy another winger/RF. If they don't, then 6/6.5, if they do, then 5.5.

      1. Karan14 (Brazil Nuts)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Think she's due sometime in mid July.

        1. Amey
          • 1 Year
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          Why you didn't tell me this before restart. I thought this was vardy part II and avoided Jimenez 🙁

          1. Lev Yashin
            • 7 Years
            6 days, 4 hours ago

            The you did well this week.

            1. Amey
              • 1 Year
              6 days, 4 hours ago

              Ha ha

    • pjanns
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      A. Rashford + DCL --> Greenwood + Kane
      B. Burn a transfer

      Patricio
      TAA - Doherty - Maguire
      Son - Mane - Fernandes - KDB
      DCL - Rashford - Jiminez

      (Button - Holgate - Lascelles - Guendouzi)

      All comments much appreciated! Thanks 🙂

    • EL tridente
      • 2 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      What to do?
      A) Auba and Grealish to Rashford and Mahrez
      B) Auba and Grealish to Jesus and Martial
      C) Auba, Grealish and Stevens to Greenwood, Son/Mahrez and TAA for -4

    • unitednations
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 days, 4 hours ago

      Which combo would you prefer for next few gw's

      A: Aurier + Mahrez + Greenwood/Sarr rotation
      B: Aurier + Pulisic + Martial (-4)
      C: 2x4.3m def rotation + Pulisic + Rashford
      D: 2x4.3m def rotation + Son + Greenwood/Sarr rotation (-4)

      1. Pomp and Circumstance
        • 8 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        A or D

      2. Lev Yashin
        • 7 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        A with Greenwood.

        1. unitednations
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          yes but benching sarr or greenwood every gw will be a nightmare

    • jk_footyfan
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        1FT and 1.3 itb. Suggestions please?

        Patricio | [Martin]
        AWB | Doherty | Taylor | [Lascelles] | [*Targett*]
        KDB | Mahrez | Martial (vc) | Cantwell | [*Grealish*]
        Kane (c) | Jimenez | *Auba*

      • manu4life99
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Save FT?

        Patricio
        TAA Aurier Doherty Maguire
        Salah KDB Bruno Pulisic
        Jimi Rash

        Martin, Foden, Holgate, Nketiah

      • Eat my goal!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Planning for this GW is painful

        Actually need to see all the games played and hear team news before deciding what to do, particularly since I have no Liverpool attack

        1. ZeBestee
          • 5 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          I think patience will be key here, you will still need TAA though, I think he is an absolute essential, regardless of them winning the league already.

          1. ZeBestee
            • 5 Years
            6 days, 4 hours ago

            many commas, excuse for that 😀

      • ZeBestee
        • 5 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Thoughts on my team? 1FT, 0.3 ITB

        Pope
        TAA - Doherty - Lascalles
        Son - Mane - Fernandes - Martial - Adama
        Rashford - Jiminez

        (Leno - Nketiah- Stevens - Egan)

      • Steiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Hey guys, who would you rather have out of these two going forward..?

        A) Salah/Son/Greenwood
        B) Salah/Foden/Rashford

        ROT

        Patrício
        TAA - Maguire - Doherty
        KDB - Son - Fernandes - Richarlison
        Jiménez- DCL - Rashford

        TIA

        1. Lev Yashin
          • 7 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          B

        2. barotga77
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          B everyday of the week. I reckon Foden is a better pick than Son.

          1. Steiger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            6 days, 4 hours ago

            If Son scores a pair tonight then I may have a rethink. If not, then I’ll be going B. Cheers.

      • Hotdogs for Tea
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        Will Klopp play his full first choice team at home to Villa to give the fans a chance to celebrate the title with the players ? 🙂

        1. ZeBestee
          • 5 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          Yes, he needs to give Anfield a chance to celebrate, empty or not.

      • Slitherene
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        6 days, 4 hours ago

        On a WC, which 3 United players should I get?

        1. jk_footyfan
            6 days, 4 hours ago

            Bruno, AWB, Martial (Greenwood if don't have funds)

            1. Slitherene
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              6 days, 4 hours ago

              No Rashford?

            2. The Man Pastore
              • 5 Years
              6 days, 3 hours ago

              this

        2. n14mul
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          Ok new draft for wc, thoughts please?

          Martinez Patricio
          Wab TAA Taylor Lasc Boly
          KDB Salah Mahrez Foden Martial
          Rash Nketiah Jimi

        3. pingissimus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          6 days, 4 hours ago

          Is TC 34 looking better than TC 33 if you’re looking at Mo?

        4. dillydally1982
          • 10 Years
          6 days, 2 hours ago

          After reading this article from Simon, I'm tempted to use my Free Hit chip this week, but I have 2 free transfers and don't want to lose one. If I make a transfer (Auba to Jesus), then drop the Free Hit chip in a separate transaction, will Jesus be in my squad for GWK34+? I'm guessing not...

        5. Zebrahimović
          • 4 Years
          6 days, 2 hours ago

          Bench one next Gwk

          A) DCL
          B) Foden

        6. ChipsnGravy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          5 days, 4 mins ago

          Traore out for

          A. Foden (leaves 1.9 itb)
          B. Willian (leaves 0 itB)

          Long term move til season end

          1. zotter
            • 10 Years
            3 days, 3 hours ago

            Hmm Foden probably

        7. zotter
          • 10 Years
          3 days, 3 hours ago

          Worth taking out Martinez for a -4?

          To Pope ? Or anyone else?

          Or stick?

          Martinez has four nasty fixtures on the bounce now