Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sid123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Vardy ahd foden to sterling (c) and nketiah for a -8 if foden doesn't start?

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      how will we know if he doesn't start anyway? Or how reliable the leaked news will be if there is any?

      Sterling is a must however this final GW, but -8 is steep.

      1. Sid123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 28 days ago

        My thoughts exactly, -8 gamble is a lot. Going back and forth with it!

        1. The Dance
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          inclined to say yes as i own them both who you want to bring in, if chasing and lst game then balls to it and just do it.

  2. wulfranian
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Do you think that Antonio could be benched?

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      nah

    2. ZTF
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Highly unlikely

    3. wulfranian
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      cheers

    4. Mondeo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      reckon he does well though against revived Villa?

    5. michudagawd
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      No chance.

    6. FantasyHero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I just brought him in

      So... likely

  3. Disturbed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Either of these moves worth a double hit?

    A. Kdb Doherty > sterling aurier
    B. Bruno Foden > Dilva Antonio

    1. Pooodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      No

    2. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      not for a double hit, maybe just bruno to dilva if you prefer dilva

      1. Two Popes and a Gazza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 28 days ago

        +1.

  4. ZTF
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Final decisions.. chasing 2 people, one on a FH and one with a TC (probably Sterling). Go ahead with the following?

    A) Pulisic > Dilva FT
    B) Salah (C)

    Ederson (4.0)
    TAA Doherty Saiss (C.Taylor, Ngakia)
    Martial Bruno Salah Sterling Pulisic
    Greenwood Ings (Connolly)

  5. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Hi guys. Hope you are OK! Approaching the madness of the final day! Is this FH GTG:
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, D Silva, Mahrez, Pulisic,
    Kane, Greenwood

    Any thoughts would be greatly appreciated. GL this GW.

  6. JURGENAUT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Sorry repost, had no replies

    McCarthy or Martinez for CS?

    1. ZTF
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      McCarthy

    2. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      slight edge to McCarthy i reckon

    3. FantasyHero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Mc

  7. Muscout
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    1)
    Martinez
    TAA, Pieters, Bardsley
    Salah (c), Sterling, Mahrez, Martial
    Jesus, Kane, Greenwood

    Or

    2)
    Martinez
    TAA, Pieters, Bardsley
    Salah (c), Sterling, DILVA, Martial
    AUBA, Kane, Greenwood

    Can keep Mahrez in 2) if I downgrade TAA for someone?

    1. Lav
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      2

  8. Lav
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    How likely is it Raz starts?

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      90%

      1. FantasyHero
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Would love to know how you came up with that number :p

  9. AK_FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Suggestions please! What to do here? Have 3 Man City. 1 FT, 1.6 ITB

    DDG
    TAA - Doherty - Bardsley
    Mane - KDB - Mahrez - Bruno
    Vardy - Jimenez - Greenwood
    (3.9; Foden, Saiss, Lascelles)

    A) Vardy > Kane (C)
    B) Other suggestions? I'm at a bit of a loss.

    1. Muscout
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A sounds good
      Would maybe do Mane to Salah

  10. rhino
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    can vardy haul seems like hes in no teams has a great record against big teams?

    1. Muscout
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Better options available imo like Jesus

      1. rhino
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        just worried with all the minutes hes played and if pep just plays sterling up top for an outside chance of getting the golden boot.

    2. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Record this year against big teams is pretty miserable. Hammer of the bottom feeders.

    3. FantasyHero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      he will likwly score 1 goal

  11. FeedTheGoatAndHeWillScore
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Martial and Rashford or Slterling and Greenwod (-4)?

    Cheers

    1. rhino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      b but lets be honest it's a complete guessing game so good luck.

    2. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B if you are captaining Sterling

  12. SAY MY NAME
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    pick one please, can't decide!

    a)Tarkowski
    b)Aurier
    c)Digne

    1. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    2. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B

  13. OptimusBlack
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Pick the best
    A- Ederson + Branthwaite
    B- Pope + Pieters or 4.9 M

    1. Muscout
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B

    2. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B

  14. Qaiss
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Hi all, how can you see the price you bought a player for again? Forgot how to do it. Thanks

    1. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      transfers page, list view

      1. Qaiss
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        cheers

  15. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Hi guys. Hope you are OK! Approaching the madness of the final day! Is this FH GTG:
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, D Silva, Mahrez, Pulisic,
    Kane, Greenwood

    Any thoughts would be greatly appreciated. GL this GW!

    1. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      nice, similar team to me

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Thanks

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Yep, gtg

  16. MartialMatas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Free hit good to go?
    Got 0.1 to spend if you can see anything to use it on

    Pope
    Aurier Pieters Long
    Salah Sterling Mahrez Dilva
    Aubameyang Kane Greenwood

    Martin Lamptey Williams Luiz

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Looks good.

      1. MartialMatas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Cheers

    2. michudagawd
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Triple Burnley defensive coverage might be risky but if you're very confident of a clean sheet go for it. Would be a great differential if it comes off.

      1. MartialMatas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Not super confident about any cleans this week really. Burnley have a decent chance and thy're cheap

        1. michudagawd
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          The only one I'd be super confident of would be City getting one vs Norwich.

  17. Scout15
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    KDB+Jimenez -> Dilva+Kane

    Would you do it?

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      For free, possibly.

      1. Scout15
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        It would be for free.
        I'll wait for tomorrow just in case, but I think I made up my mind.
        Cheers!

    2. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I would. I have.
      Been a fan of Silva since 2007, I would have shipped out Salah to get him luckily I just had to sacrifice Bruno.

      1. Scout15
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        I remember his Valencia days. Must say I was a little bit disappointed when he signed for Man City, but now it will be weird to see them without him next season.
        Cheers!

  18. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    It's the 26th July and the time is exactly 2:45pm ... Where will you be?

    I'll be locked in the toilet of some Sunday lunch serving pub pretending to my loved ones that I have explosive diarrhea whilst desperately refreshing the Twitter page of FPL Scarface and praying that Official FPL have put 50p in the meter so that their servers hold up.

    How about you?

    1. Bennerman
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Loved ones?

      1. jesus jesus
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        t
        They,ll understand

    2. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Asleep. Somehow I'm ahead of you 😯

    3. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Setting an alarm to wake up 30minutes before the deadline on the East coast to do the same.

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        the same being to tell ur loved ones that u have explosive diarrhea ?

    4. jesus jesus
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Be up for about 2pm - get team news right up yo 3.47pm - pick team - then pint !!

      1. Bennerman
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Wisest words all season

    5. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      What will your family think Virg with all the trips to the toilet and you going through a rollercoster of emotions in between trips?

    6. waldo666
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I'll be at home getting ready to settle in to watch the Pies vs Eagles.

  19. Muscout
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Martinez
    *TAA, Pieters, Bardsley
    Salah (c), *Sterling, Mahrez, Martial
    Jesus, Kane, *Greenwood

    B)
    Martinez
    AZPI, Pieters, Bardsley
    Salah (c), DILVA, Mahrez, Martial
    Jesus, Kane, AUBA

    Can swap Azpi for anyone up to 6.1m

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I like A because of Trent

  20. eddieo
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Too many Burnley assets? Too attack dominated?

    Pope
    Bardsley
    Pieters
    Branthwaite
    Antonio
    Sterling
    Silva
    Salah
    Kane
    Aubamayang
    Jesus

    Lightweight bench Diop, Trez, Williams +.3

    1. waldo666
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Allot riding on a Burnely CS, I think 2 defenders is enough.

  21. FOO FIGHTER
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Who would you play?

    Robbo or Greenwood

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Robbo

    2. michudagawd
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Robbo

    3. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Robbo.

    4. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      greenwood, can see goals on last day

    5. waldo666
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Greenwood

  22. alfast1c
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Pulisic or Willian and why ?

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Pulisic because he will run at the defence

    2. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Pulisic, Pool game tells the story.

    3. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      pulisic, he's looking good atm, passes eye test, more fun to own/watch

  23. waldo666
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Finding it really hard to ditch KDB and/or TAA but looks like one has to go to fit Sterling, either that or I go cheaper up top.

    A) Martinez TAA Mahrez
    B) Pope Aurier KDB
    C) Downgrade Auba

    1. SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      c) although auba could be good, might have limited minutes due to cup, and watford will surely be fighting tooth and nail with nothing to lose, that could play into auba's hands on the counter, but could be a scrappy niggly match with Deeney hitting a penalty for the win - don't gt me wrong Auba is great, but i don't see a haul, KDB might haul...

      1. waldo666
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Cheers mate, Ings over Auba and I can have the rest of the team I want so it is certainly tempting.

        1. SAY MY NAME
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          no worries, yeah i'd go with that, i reckon Ings will likely match or better Auba

    2. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      C. Because Auba might be pushed wide.

      1. waldo666
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Cheers.

  24. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Folks, please pick 2 out of Tarkowski / Doherty / Alonso?

    Thanks 🙂

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Tark + Doherty

    2. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Tark & Alonso

  25. Reyson
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Bruno to mahrez for -4?

    1. waldo666
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Not for a hit.

  26. Two Popes and a Gazza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Will wait till there is some early leaked lineup news to pull the trigger (looking to break into top 5K) do I pick
    A) Ings + TAA
    B) 6 million defender + Kane

    1. waldo666
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

      1. Two Popes and a Gazza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 28 days ago

        You think Ings might score a brace? He was my go-to mid-season.

        1. waldo666
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          He'd be a chance, couple that with TAA's scoring potential and I think that combo edges it.

  27. ZimZalabim
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    which combo looks better ?

    A. Martial - Pulisic - Laporte - Pope (3-5-2)

    B. Greenwood - Kdb - Taa - Martinez (3-4-3)

    1. waldo666
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B

  28. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Currently 39K with no chips....could i get to top 10K or is it impossible? (no chips)

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Differential captain probably needed.

    2. Ruinenlust
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Mon

  29. FPL_DON
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Sorry guys rookie question, if i bought fernandes at 8.6 and he drops from 9.1 tonight - do i lose any value?

    Any help hugely appreciated!

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      No.

    2. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      No

      If you sold you would make £0.2 profit and lets say he went up to £9.2 and you sold then you would make £0.3 profit.

  30. FDMS All Starz
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    If all start, which combo on FH?

    A) Mahrez - Ings - Mane - Diop
    B) Jesus - Ings - Pulisic - TAA
    C) Jesus - Auba - Martial - Diop

    team:

    Martinez
    Pieters - Bardsley - XXX
    Salah - Sterling - Silva - XXX - XXX
    Kane - XXX - XXX