Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

Soccer Accumulator Bonus

Up to 70% bonus for accumulators on a wide range of selected leagues and competitions. Applies to pre-match accumulators of 3+ selections on standard Full Time Result, Both Teams To Score or Result/Both Teams To Score markets only.

Bonus percentage is dependent on number of selections. Bonus capped at £100k and applied to returns. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.


For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


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1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    A Jiminez goal at any time is 13/1 with bet365? Holy crap, do they know something we don't? Might take the captaincy off him!

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Ah combined with a 3-0 scoreline. Duh

      1. Mambino
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        ahh

    2. lilmessipran
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Lol it is with the scoreline as well

      1. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Yep, just caught that. Don't mind me!

    3. Corned Beef Kelly Osbourne
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      its 10/11

      1. Corned Beef Kelly Osbourne
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        5000 hits on bet365 in the last 14 seconds

    4. Giggs Boson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Wow.

      Yeah that's too good...

    5. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      That's madness - I might have to have a bet

      1. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        It's combined with a 3-0 scoreline. I missed that part!

    6. Rinseboy
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      thats not true!

  2. Hryszko
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    KDB captain against Leeds? (as a Leeds fan i don't want him to explode haha)

    or...

    Salah against Villa? Everyone seems to think they're all of a sudden defensively class..

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      KDB - as United fan I do want him to explode. Not much in it though. Expect Liverpool to win by at least 3

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      KdB.

      Villa's defense has been very good even since restart.

      1. Rinseboy
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Salah has a habit of going big when Mane out tho!

      2. Mambino
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        only 3 games - they'll suffer against pool

        1. Sgt Frank Drebin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          Since the restart. And I'm not convinced about that no Mane theory. Mane in the team should boost Salah's potential if anything (more potential for assisting Mane/being assisted by Mane)

          1. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            Salah’s average goal/assist per game is 35% higher when Mané isn’t playing.

    3. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Well that's the question of the week. Mathematical models seem to favour Salah (probably rightly so), but it's a Guardiola vs Bielsa game. There could be some crazy score there...

      1. Arlo2103
          1 month, 26 days ago

          Pool struggled against villa last season. Sure they will win but I imagine a low scoring affair as usual

        • Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          last 2 games have finished 2-2 and 3-0 (in Pep’s favour)

    4. Rinseboy
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Salah or KDB captain can someone sway me either way!

      1. Mambino
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        not much in it - don't own Salah so not a hard choice for C for me

    5. Mike82
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Repost
      On WC, is it GTG?
      Mccarthy
      TAA, Semedo, Justin
      Salah (C), KdB, Barnes, Havertz, Armstrong
      Jiminez, DCL
      Ryan, Dunne, Mitchell, Brewster

      Any thoughts?

      1. lilmessipran
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Dunne and Justin could be concerns going forward

      2. Hotdogs for Tea
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Justin, Dunn & Mitchell may lose their place due to new signings and players returning from injury, doubt Brewster will get much game time ... you will be lucky to get 11 out in a few weeks time

    6. More Cowbell
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Hi all
      My front 8 is in a right state.
      I’m Considering either Son or ASM our for -4. Worth it or hold?
      Already done martial > jimi

      Salah, KDB, Son, ASM, Bissouma
      Jimi, Werner, K Davies

      1. Blue&White85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        If you’ve still got Kevin Davies in your team you’re really struggling! He retired years ago!

        It’s not too bad, I’ve sold Son & ASM going next for me.

        1. More Cowbell
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          Who’s you being in for Son?

          1. Blue&White85
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            Mahrez. A 2 week punt then becomes Salah.

    7. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Play 1 please

      A. Docherty (mun)
      B. Saint-Maximin (BUR)

    8. lilmessipran
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Final Wc thoughts, A or B

      A Robbo + Soucek (rotate with brewster)
      B Barnes + Reece Jame

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        A probs

    9. Futureform
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Dilemma to cover for the long term....

        Liverpool defence or Vardy?

        A - Robertson, Zaha, Bamford
        B - Taylor, Soucek, Vardy

        1. Futureform
            1 month, 26 days ago

            Just very scared about missing out on either of these but can't fit both!

        2. Tony Martial
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          anyone going with Jimenez (c)

          Starting to get really tempted..

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            I wouldn’t

          2. Rash
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            I had it on him all week but switched to KDB

        3. Lindelol
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          Damn, Captaincy this GW is a headache!!

        4. Scout
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          Do I play or bench shaw?

          1. Rash
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            I've benched

          2. Blue&White85
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            Depends on your options.

            1. Scout
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Justin saiss dunne Mitchel and shaw have to play 3

              1. Rash
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                1st 3

        5. Rash
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          I try to avoid taking hits these days but a swap of Nketiah to DCL before being priced out

          Should be worth it right?

          1. Whats the Huth
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            I don’t think so. Think DCL will start to blank now

            1. Mambino
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              based on what - he looks in really good form

          2. Amey
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            Nketiah is a bad pick.
            Are you going to WC next GW ??

            1. Rash
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              don't think I need to?

              McCarthy steer
              Trent digne Justin mitchel shaw
              Salah kdb pereria soucek Rodriguez
              Wilson DCL jimmy

              1. Amey
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                No need

          3. Sgt Frank Drebin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            If you're going to be priced out then probably yes.

          4. Hotdogs for Tea
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 26 days ago

            good move

        6. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 26 days ago

          Bookies have Werner same odds as Jimenez for anytime, brace and hatty! Hmm

          1. Right In The Stanchion
              1 month, 26 days ago

              I’m keeping, last chance saloon this gw though

            • Goonsquad245
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              It’s almost like he has previous as a lethal, prolific goalscorer

          2. Right In The Stanchion
              1 month, 26 days ago

              If Son doesn’t play I have Jorginho coming in who probably won’t start either.

              Who’s the best 6m minefield I could upgrade Jorginho to?

              1. lilmessipran
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Trossard probably, could go Soucek and bank the cash

            • greggles
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Anything here worth a -4?

              Mccarthy
              TAA / Holding / Justin
              Salah / KDB(c) / Podence / Soucek / Rodriguez
              Ings / Werner

              Subs: Button / Brewster / Mitchell / Davies

            • Kakashi Of The Leaf
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              McCarthy
              TAA Digne Tierney Saiss
              KDB Havertz Podence
              Werner Jimenez DCL

              Bissouma Ayling

              1 FT

              Pick one

              A Podence>Mahrez KDB(C)
              B Havertz> Sterling (C)

            • jonnybhoy
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Son + TAA to Fernandes and Castagne for -4pts worth it?

            • RyanKent14
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Any news on richarlison? He likely to play?

            • Lev Yashin
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Got KdB and Vardy but looking at Jimenez for the armband.

              Good shout?

              1. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                No - he never hauls it's a bad choice

                1. Lev Yashin
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  Define haul. A brace is good enough for me.

                  1. Mambino
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    2 or more - he doesn't often score 2 or more does he?

              2. Holmes
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Yes

              3. the dom 1
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Think KDB & Vardy are better shouts myself, Jimenez usually only scores 1 goal a game 😉

                1. Tony Martial
                  • 2 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  But it’s Fulham.. if he was to score a brace or get more then one return it would be this week

                  1. Lev Yashin
                    • 8 Years
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    Zackly

                  2. Mambino
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    KDB against Leeds - chances of a low score?

              4. Tony Martial
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Also almost guaranteed 3x bonus if he scores

            • Tony Martial
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              No one worried that KDB could play deep again??

              1. Lev Yashin
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                o/

              2. Lindelol
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                I am and thats why captaincy is a headache this GW

              3. Flair
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Yep, expect him and Bernardo to play as dual 8s

              4. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                it's possible

            • Scout
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Play 3

              Shaw
              Justin
              Saiss
              Dunne
              Mitchell

            • Crash
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              WC dilemma has me pulling out my hair - Any help would be deeply appreciated!
              A Ings, Reece, Justin
              B TAA, Digne, March
              C TAA, Reece, Trossard

              1. Sgt Frank Drebin
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                I like C but other options also look good.

              2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                I like C

              3. Barnabus
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                C

              4. Crash
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Thanks everyone - I was leaning towards B but guess will go C now!

              5. Amey
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                C with Taylor/ Lamptey

            • Brem
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Who do we think will get more points this GW.
              1) Podence
              2) Pereria
              3) Trossard

              1. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                2

            • Cowley86
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 26 days ago

              The Vinagre move has killed me, I can either transfer and take a -4 hit or play Lampty away at Everton. Strong chance wolves will get a clean sheet this week but I only have 4.8m in the bank by taking Vinagre out, which is short of Boly and Coady...thoughts?

              1. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                what Vinagre move?

                1. Lev Yashin
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  Olympiakos

                2. NULL-X-VOID
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  His transfer

                  1. Mambino
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    damn - I'm too slow I didn't see that

              2. WE GO FOR IT
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Lamptey isn't the worst pick.

            • subhojit123
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Klich or Pereira?

            • SMOOTH
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              guys pls advise on this last piece of my WC

              A. Ings soucek lamptey with Robinson and Stephens on bench

              B. Foden soucek Digne with lamptey and Brewster on the bench

              C. Foden trossard saiss with lamptey and Brewster on the bench

            • skodaole2
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Sounds bad choice but after several captain and GK changes today I think I m going to end up with this, Kane has taken part in all Spurs goals so far and MUN concede a lot. Good luck everyone.

              Martinez
              Castagne Justin Reece J.
              KDB Salah James R. Pereira
              Jimenez Kane(c) Mitrovic

              McCarthy Dier Reed Targett

              1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Looks good. GL.

            • NULL-X-VOID
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              What if KDB plays deep, back tracking and making sure balls aren't leaked in the midfield and give the attacking effort to Foden and Sterling?

              1. Flair
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                1 month, 26 days ago

                Balls aren't leaked in midfield? What?

                1. NULL-X-VOID
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  ugh, I meant the restriction on possession losses in the midfield that could lead to an attempted shot, my bad

                  1. Flair
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    Lmao. Yeah he'll probably deeper than the 10 position in this one, Leeds aren't worth the security of the double pivot

                    1. NULL-X-VOID
                      • 6 Years
                      1 month, 26 days ago

                      I concur, that's why I'm switching between him and Salah, ugh if I had Sterling it would've been an obvious choice

                      1. Flair
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        1 month, 26 days ago

                        I just went Salah -> Sterling because I fancy's his chances this week

                        1. Flair
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          1 month, 26 days ago

                          *fancy
                          Also Salah > KDB imo because of the no Mane effect

              2. Tony Martial
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                this

            • Flair
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 26 days ago

              #thfc forward Heung-Min Son is expected to start against @ManUtd tomorrow. [The Guardian]

              1. NULL-X-VOID
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                oops

                1. KICKandRUSH
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  I don't get why so many people actually believe this nonsense.
                  Hamstring injuries just don't disappear overnight.

                  1. 16ShimiC16
                    • 9 Years
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    That’s if he even had one, he looked fine coming off at half time

                  2. Flair
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    The chance that he never had an injury in the first place and Jose's covering up his HT substitution

                  3. Klaren
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    A minor grade 1 hamstring tear can heal within a week.

                    1. Klaren
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 3 Years
                      1 month, 26 days ago

                      Sorry mean a grade 1 hamstring strain. Tears obviously don’t heal within a week

              2. Goonsquad245
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                I remember when Sergio aguero was ‘expected’ (by the Guardian) to be benched for a game at home to Huddersfield, started and scored a hat trick.

              3. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 26 days ago

                just don't think he will - hamstring means he doesn't play

            • Salarrivederci
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 26 days ago

              Gtg? 0 FTs 0ITB 0hits taken

              Martínez
              Digne - AWB - Taylor
              (K)DB - Sterling - Rashford - Rodríguez - Pereira
              Jimínez - Richarlison

              (Steer, Lamptey, Brewster, Mitchell)

              1. Flair
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                1 month, 26 days ago

                What would you do if I said you weren't gtg?

                1. Salarrivederci
                  • 4 Years
                  1 month, 26 days ago

                  You might have had an idea for a -4 transfer, that I agreed with? 🙂

                  Have thought about Rich + Rodríguez -> Zaha + Ings -8, but think I will stay quiet for now.

                  1. Flair
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    1 month, 26 days ago

                    No support for that -8 from my side 🙂

                    Team is fine, GTG. No hits needed