Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Arfaish
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I have 10 players this week should I drop Livra or Bowen this week with my FT:

    A) Bowen > Mount
    B) Livra > Tierney

    I have £3.3m itb so can go pretty much anyone in defence (have TAA, James, Rudiger and Cancelo) or midfield (have Jota, Foden, Silva).

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Do you want Bowen next GW?

      1. Arfaish
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah probably but I would also be pretty happy with Mount vs Villa followed by Brighton.

        My problem with the Livra move is that I am not a fan of playing 5 atb and this kind of leads me down that path.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          With all the postponements, it shouldn't be an issue.

          1. Arfaish
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            So you fancy B?

            I feel you’re right…just doesn’t feel as sexy, ya know?

  2. RogDog_jimmy
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Do we feel it's safe to do Vardy > Watkins before the price rise in 2 hours?
    I have 2ft - will save the other for last minute.

    1. gart888
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You sure you want to go Watkins and not Laca? I'm trying to decide between them over here myself.

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        i am for a few of reasons.

        - have Ramsdale, and am considering Livramento > Gabriel with my other move - definitely don't want 3 Arsenal
        - don't trust Arsenal away form - Leeds can actually be decent defensively too
        - want Watkins long-term

      2. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Laca hasn't been himself this season statistically, look at this years total stats (goals/assists per minute) and he's not the guy Im looking to. Yes, I know he hasn't gotten lots of minutes and extended runs of 90 mins each week, but still, production should have been there for him and just hasn't.

    2. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah definitely, should be fine

    3. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nothing is save atm however I will probably do Antonio to Watkins before price changes lest I be priced out.

    4. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I think so. Can really see another move for you if that Villa game was called off so use 1FT now

    5. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      cheers all!
      i'm like 95% going to do it...still waiting until last minute though

  3. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    anything worth a hit? nothing in bank and 8 playing

    TAA Cancelo Dias James
    Salah Jota Gundo
    Watkings

    DDG, Dalot, Coufal, Bowen, Gray, King, Antonio

    1. adams_6
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Interesting how you managed to get 1 keeper and 6 defenders…

      1. yanky
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        sorry take out Coufal haha I transferred him for Dias for free

  4. waldo666
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Only have 7 starters currently, thoughts on these options?

    A) Antonio to Watkins (free)
    B) A + Bowen to ESR (-4)
    C) A+B + Gilmour to Ramsey (-8)

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just A

      1. waldo666
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

  5. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Feels like I’m well setup here assuming no more cancellations (fingers crossed).
    With 2FT looking at Guaita to Ramsdale and rolling the other. Wise move?
    Triple Pool City Arsenal, what could go wrong

    Guaita*
    Trent Cancelo James White
    Salah Jota Foden Bernardo ESR
    Watkins
    Steer Dennis Antonio Livra

    1. gart888
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah, that looks reasonable. You think Bernardo plays?

      1. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I think he plays, whether he starts who knows
        Don’t think it’s worth using a transfer. Nobody else is like for remaining games this week.
        No other subs but not the worst to have 10

  6. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Out of curiosity, how many of you would know in what language the word for 'school' is the following:

    col∙legi

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      basically whether you have seen/heard of the two 'L's structure -- l∙l

    2. lugs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      looks like college, Italian ? idk lol

    3. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Feel you’re a little lost on this forum mate but if I had to guess I’d say Italian

    4. Alcapaul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Italian?

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        All said Italian, interesting. Close!

        It is Catalan.

        The letter L with a dot (not a full stop) between the two is only found in Catalan.

        1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          But it’s not as cool as a double ‘l’ in Welsh :-p

    5. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Catalan

  7. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Keepers are De Gea and Sanchez.

    Is Ramsdale worth a hit?

    Thanks

    1. gart888
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      yes

    2. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah recon so if keeping long term

    3. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’m in the exact same situation but don’t think it’s worth the hit

    4. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Best keeper in the game imo, if you don’t have a playing one this is the best opportunity to take the hit and make it just a -2

  8. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Already have four premium defenders in TAA, Cancelo, James & Alonso. Best use of FT?

    1) Livra > Dias
    2) Livra > AVL defender
    3) Bowen > Saka
    4) Antonio > Laca

    1. moz_1983
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      4

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd do Liv > Tierney this week (tomorrow). Would keep 3 & 4 over Liv

  9. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale or Emi if I am also getting Tierney?

    1. lugs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Emi, spread the risk

    2. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Arsenal look good defensively with 8 cleanies in their last 14. It’s a good double up, go Ramsdale

    3. nolard
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I was considering, but villa are leaky.
      Arsenal better, even if dodgy away form.

  10. Cilly Bonnolly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    As things stand I can get eleven out if I use my free to get a keeper in for Guaita. Would you take a hit to get another player in who (in theory) has a game, just in case of a benching?

    Could do Antonio (finally) to Lacazette.

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonios sweet fixtures just started

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I know but I’m just so fed up waiting for him to score. You’re right though, he’d probably go on a run as soon as I ship him.

  11. Pepeye
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    All City players now fit apart from Torres

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What happened with Sterling vs Toon?

  12. Not again Shirley
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Tierney or Tomiyasu? Thinking the latter for security of starts and slightly cheaper.

    1. lugs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tomi less injury prone, plus i have a feeling Tavares might start vs leeds to keep up with their running

      1. Not again Shirley
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. That’s what I think in that Tav might get a start.

    2. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’ve had Tomi for a while and he’s done me proud in some sticky situations.

  13. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    So I have 10 playing.

    Which transfers to do:

    A) Vardy to Jesus
    B) Vardy & Livramento to Jesus & Cash (-4)
    C) Gallagher & Vardy to Foden & Lacazette

    Current team:
    Ramsdale
    TAA - Cancelo - Alonso - James
    Salah - Jota - ESR - Gundo - Gallagher
    Watkins

    Fernandez - Vardy - King - Livra

    1. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  14. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gallagher > Saka/ESR total -8 to get 11 out or stick with -4 and play 10?

    Thanks in advance

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gallagher is a keeper so I feel this is a short sighted hit, keep and play 10

      1. Danstoke82
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Much appreciated many thanks!

  15. davies
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Antonio/Rashford > Watkins/Foden

    B) King/Rashford > Watkins/Gundo

    1. moz_1983
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  16. Ronnies
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best option;

    A) Sanchez > Ramsdale (0.7 ITB)

    B) Steele > Ramsdale (0.2 ITB)

    Obviously B would give me 2 goalkeepers which might be useful with postponement, etc

    Cheers.

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You answered your own question

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm planning on B

  17. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Raph > Foden or mount worth a -4?

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nah

  18. VaVaVoom14
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one:

    Alonso, Rowe, Cash

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Are you on free hit?

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cash

  19. gart888
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sissoko to Ramsey worth a hit if we only have 10 playing players?

  20. moz_1983
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you take a -4 to do...

    Ronaldo & Antonio > Watkins & Lacazette (former for 1 GW? Or just one transfer?

  21. Paqueta Rice
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Spurs have had a serious rest in comparison to Liverpool. Anyone think they could be sloppy because of this or sharp? Thinking of capping a city player

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Sloppy.

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Lots of players with Covid just coming back, no rhythm, lack match fitness, etc. Liverpool missing a few key players too though

    3. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I fear for Liverpool without Fabinho and van Dijk. No info on Spurs covid situation. They could be full strength.

  22. Cal1umz
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    King or Antonio > Laca?

    Plus is Sissoko > Ramsey worth a -4 to field 11?

    1. DandyDon
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nah most won’t have 11 mate. I’m doing a -4 to bring in laca and Foden (much more proven players) to field only likely 9! Presuming Bernardo is rested.

      1. Cal1umz
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks mate, would you rather lose king or Antonio?

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio

      No

  23. DandyDon
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Could freehit but it will essentially just be these changes to my actual team;
    Sa - Martinez
    White - Tierney
    Blank - de Bryune
    Blank - Martinelli
    No Bench - 1st bench Ramsay

    I’ll just bring in Foden and Laca for a -4 instead probably. Reckon those 4 additional changes on a freehit would get me circa extra 17 pts and save me hit so maybe 20pt upside but also bench security and last minute change security! Worth it?

  24. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Cash always matters but who would you get(for this week but mostly 5th defender)
    A) Cash
    B) Tierney
    C) White

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  25. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Planned moves are Brownhill and Davis -> Watkins and Saka. Have 0.1 to spare so I can afford a Watkins rise. However not a Saka one. He was on 70 earlier but he’s snot up to 92 now on FPL statistics. What to do? Will he rise

  26. jimmy.floyd
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best Arsenal mid?

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Saka

  27. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Roll FT or sort out GK/ESR/Bernardo?

    Sanchez*
    Alonso/James/Taa/Cancelo
    Salah/Jota/Foden/Bernardo*/ESR*
    Watkins

    (Bachman*/Manquillo/Davis*/Antonio*)

    1. FDMS All Starz
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1.4itb & 1FT

  28. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Jota Bilva
    Gelhardt

    DDG, Steele, Ronaldo, King, Gallagher, Bowen, Livramento

    How many hits would you suggest?

    A) Which of Bowen/Gallagher > Foden?
    B) Ronaldo > Watkins? (Y/N)
    C) DDG > Ramsdale? (Y/N)
    D) Arsenal mid?
    E) Livramento > White?

    1. DandyDon
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      First two for me

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Which of Bowen/Gallagher?

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I wouldn't suggest a hit. There could yet be matches postponed and players blanking.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Not tonight. Before the deadline, tomorrow.

  29. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is it worth doing Vardy to Watkins now, before price changes to save 0.2?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You know the answer.

    2. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I am cos i want Watkins long term anyway, game or no game

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        yeh looks like a safe long-term pick.

  30. putana
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    get rid of wilson or antonio? wilson has a game this week but he would be on my bench for antonio's replacement