Scout Notes

FPL notes: Schar injury news + positive signs for Toney?

We continue to assess the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from Gameweek 26 in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on Manchester City v Newcastle United and Southampton v Leicester City.

The numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.

ENCOURAGEMENT FOR NEWCASTLE

Recent defeats to Liverpool and the two Manchester clubs in league and cup have pretty much confirmed what we already knew, that Newcastle are still some distance from being a real elite force.

But they’re now definite B-listers and it’s hard to think of a game this season in which they’ve meekly surrendered, something that used to be a regular occurrence under previous regimes.

And against Manchester City on Saturday, the Magpies saw plenty of the ball, handled Erling Haaland (£12.2m) fairly well and fluffed a handful of opportunities to draw level; Joelinton (£5.9m) and Callum Wilson (£6.9m) both miskicked in excellent positions.

The fixtures ease considerably now, with even a switch rematch with Manchester United compensated for by it being part of a Double Gameweek.

Goals aren’t flowing at the right end of the pitch (that’s now just three scored in eight league games) so it’s mostly the Newcastle defence that we’re interested in. Encouragingly, five of the six lowest-scoring teams in the division (Wolves, Forest, West Ham, Everton and Southampton) are to come in the next eight Gameweeks.

WHY SCHAR MISSED OUT

FPL managers looking to double up on Newcastle’s backline will have given Fabian Schar (£5.1m) plenty of consideration, sitting as he does top of the defenders’ table for goal attempts in 2022/23.

The Swiss stopper missed his first Premier League match since Gameweek 5 on Saturday, with the head injury sustained in the League Cup final to blame.

We’re used to seeing concussed players observing the mandatory six-day protocol but Schar’s history of head trauma has seen him handled more carefully. We await further news from Eddie Howe in the pre-Gameweek 27 presser next Friday.

“Fabian took a nasty knock to his eye. He had a nasty cut and bruise around that area. He did some tests with the doctor during the week, so quite early in the week, he wasn’t going to be available to play.

“I don’t think Fabian’s history is part of my thinking, but the doctor who has been with us a long period of time knows Fabian’s history. That’s all taken into account with the concussion protocol, that we will follow to the letter.” – Eddie Howe

DIAS + FODEN IMPRESS

Manchester City are a bit of a footnote in this article as their players aren’t big FPL targets until we get to late-April/early-May, with no doubles and (very likely) two blanks set to come in the next six Gameweeks.

So naturally it’s time for Phil Foden (£8.0m) to start impressing at a time when many of us aren’t in the market for his services.

The England international secured back-to-back double-digit hauls with his deflected opener at the Etihad on Saturday, and his return to some semblance of what we hacks call ‘form’ on the right flank has sounded the FPL death knell for Riyad Mahrez (£7.7m).

“Part of it was a struggle with his ankle, but accept it, don’t blame anyone, the opponents, the manager or the club or team-mates or whatever. Accept that you can do better. Come back to your principles. And step by step he will be back.

“Now he’s back, scoring goals like Riyad. Riyad for the last two months has been one of the most important players. He won the game against Spurs. Every action of his created actions for his team-mates,

“Erling Kevin and Gundo and everyone. What happened with Phil is completely normal. Just accept it. The bad moments, these too shall pass. Always like this in the 90 minutes. Always will come the good moments and we will come back to the game and be ready to do it.” – Pep Guardiola on Phil Foden’s post-World Cup struggles

We’ll see who is impressing when the reigning champions really come back onto the radar in Gameweek 34 (City will very likely have two ‘doubles’ in the final five Gameweeks) but Ruben Dias (£5.8m) is back to his imperious best right now, excelling at centre-half in this his seventh successive start in league and cup.

Guardiola has typically had one defensive mainstay in his sides and rotated around it, so a fit-again Dias could belatedly be that figure in 2022/23 – but then again, the City boss has never been so well stocked with centre-backs and we’ve now got John Stones (£5.4m) and Aymeric Laporte (£5.7m) back fit.

WASTEFUL IHEANACHO

Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.2m) is a differential FPL forward that has been attracting a modest bit of FPL interest of late but he had a real stinker at Southampton on Saturday, missing three golden opportunities as Leicester fell to a poor 1-0 defeat.

James Maddison (£8.1m) supplied one of the crosses that Iheanacho spurned badly from close range, also teeing up a glorious chance for Harry Souttar (£4.5m). While this was far from vintage Maddison, a blank was just pure bad luck.

Above: Iheanacho has the best non-penalty expected goal involvement (xGI) figure of Gameweek 26 so far, with Maddison not far behind him.

“I thought he was outstanding in the game. It was great to get him through 90 minutes. He was a player of real quality on the pitch and he always looked a threat.” – Brendan Rodgers on James Maddison

While there’s little-to-no prospect of Maddison losing his place, Iheanacho has historically been an impact sub under Rodgers and the threat of rotation looms larger when things aren’t going well. Encouragingly, however, the Leicester boss had only good words to say about the Nigeria international after full-time.

“He’s been brilliant for us of late. He’s been the one who looks like the threat. He kept fighting and kept working. He had two really good headers but couldn’t make the finish. The opportunity on the edge of the box, we’ve seen him score those recently, where he guides it into the corner. At least he was there to miss it.”- Brendan Rodgers on Kelechi Iheanacho

Barnes injury update

Elsewhere, Tete‘s (£5.5m) superb full debut in Gameweek 22 now looks like a bit of an outlier after another underwhelming display, while Harvey Barnes (£6.7m) was hooked at half-time at St Mary’s; an ankle injury was to blame for that.

“We’ll have to wait and see [about Barnes]. He got booked for the challenge on James Ward-Prowse and I think he’s twisted his ankle, so we’ll just have to wait and see on that.” – Brendan Rodgers

Both defences on the south coast looked ropey, no surprise perhaps given that they had just one post-restart clean sheet between them ahead of kick-off.

Southampton’s constant concessions of clear openings around the penalty spot or closer will have been of interest to owners of Marcus Rashford (£7.3m), Ivan Toney (£7.7m) and Harry Kane (£11.7m) ahead of the next two Gameweeks, while Leicester’s high line looked ripe for the taking and was indeed breached for Carlos Alcaraz‘s (£5.0m) match-winning goal.

The Foxes are another team that Brentford face before the March international break.

Saints could even afford a penalty miss from James Ward-Prowse (£6.3m), with Danny Ward‘s (£4.0m) save from 12 yards handing him a double-digit haul.

Haaland Foden


349 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Plan is to FH in 28, play 29 with my GW27 side + 1 FT and save WC and bench boost for post GW30. Would this side cut it in 29? Or is it missing too many of the big names (e.g. Bruno, Maddison, even some Chelsea representation). Obv a lot can happen before then to derail this plan.

    De Gea**
    Shaw**, Estupinan**, Trippier**
    Rashford (c)**, Mitoma**, MacAllister**, Salah**
    Toney**, Ihenacho**, Haaland

    Ward**, Odegaard, Bueno, Tark

    Alternative line is to WC in 28 (maybe even with just 10 starters), BB in 29 and save FH.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      That'll do Rick. That'll do.

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      This looks in good shape for GW29, plenty doubles and a wildcard intact for later. Both strategies are sound, think I will be going with the latter.

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I was thinking of dealing with gw28 with my FH.

      But if the Manchester clubs and Brighton qualify for the semi finals...

      Then FH32 gives you a shot at Liverpool at home to Nottingham Forest.

      Where as the edge in FH28 is probably Chelsea home to Everton.

      So I've changed my mind on that one.

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Good points. Still not sold on Chelsea yet either. Did a mock GW28 draft and it was James and Chilwell. 0 of their mids/forwards appeal.

    4. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      It looks good on paper.

      But the thing I've found with DGWs is you want to have the players with the highest potential over volume. It's better to have Bruno, Saka, Zinchenko instead of Iheanacho, Henry, Watkins.

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Yeah this is my thinking that would push me towards WC28. Basically Bruno.

  2. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    a) Haaland in for Watkins or leave it?

    b) Pope/Tripper or Kepa/Trippier

    c) Rashford (c) or Brighton/Brentford DGW player

    Pope

    Trippier White Estupinan

    Saka Odegaard Mitoma MacAllister Rashford(c)

    Watkins Toney

    Kepa Haaland Ake Tarkowski

    1. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Haaland
      Pope
      Mitoma(C)

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Thanks mate. Haaland in for Watkins or Odegaard? Leaning towards Watkins.

        Mitoma (c) is what I was preferring over MacAllister/Toney.

        Leave Ake on bench @ Palace yeah?

        1. Tcheco
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          I would bench Ode & play Watkins & Haaland. Ake vs White is a coin flip imo

    2. Mr. O'Connell
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Madness to bench Haaland for Watkins imo

      Kepa

      I'd probably favour the DGW player (not sure who tho)

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Yeah I don’t think it’s a great idea benching him. Was just just trying to be creative. Haaland back in.

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I wonder if Watkins race has been run.

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        His returns were impressive but you could be right. Possibly a similar pick to Almiron where the streak had to end at some point.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          Watkins is a more natural goalscorer than Almirón.

          I like his competetiveness but he's often missing his chances.

      2. Tcheco
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        He would've had a tap in had the Palace defender not put it into his own net I think + WHU are bad

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 1 month ago

      A. leave until GW28
      B. Pope/Trippier
      C. Brighton/Brentford DGW player

  3. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    A. Ederson, Nketiah to Raya, Toney
    B. Ederson, Bueno to Raya, Estupian

    1. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Toney or Estupinan? Toney.

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      B

  4. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    GW27

    Pope

    Tripper White Estupiñian

    Saka Odegaard MacAllister Rashford Mitoma(c)

    Haaland Toney(vc)

    Kepa Watkins Aké Tarkowski

  5. Twisted Saltergater
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Do the AI models out there factor in a key player like Palhinha being suspended for 2 games? Fulham’s player of the season so far.

    Seen quite a few comments saying Arsenal - Fulham will be tight low scoring, but not sure how they replace his work rate in midfield.

    I guess we’ll find out vs Brentford on Monday night. Toney(c) this week was a shrewd move.

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Palhinha being out was one of the key reasons I decided to play Toney over MacAllister. Needless to say I'm not too happy about that decision atm.

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Ah that’s unlucky. Correct decision, bad outcome.

        Reminds me when I benched Rashford vs Liverpool when Utd has played Thurs night and Rashford was seen limping off at the end. He then went and hauled.

        I expect Toney to either get a red card or a hat trick this week 😀

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          just a YC would put the cat amongst the pigeons...

          a fiery affair under the lights at home to their West London rivals.

  6. rozzo
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Kepa Raya
    Zinchenko Shaw Trippier Mee Estupian
    Saka Maddison Odegaard Rashford Mitoma
    Haaland Kane Toney

    1ft
    0.6 itb

    Wildcarded this week and this should be the team i bench boost with in gw29 so don't really need the transfers

    Is Maddison to Macallister worth a shot this week, bench Odegaard and then go back to Maddison week after sound ok?

    1. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      A Brighton midfield double up is a must this week so yes

      1. rozzo
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        A bit of a stretch saying its a must, Odegaard can quite clearly score more points in 1 match than Macallister can in 2

    2. Haa-lala-land
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      In 28 you'll already have Shaw
      Estupina

      1. Haa-lala-land
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Sorry, cont..
        Shaw
        Estpuinan
        Rashford
        Mitoma
        Haaland
        All not playing
        So I'm not sure if using two transfers to get rid of one (Madders) that is playing in 28 makes too much sense.

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      You've made your bed imo.

      You decided on WC last week that you'd rather go Maddison, Odegaard, Maddison for 26,27,28 instead of a Brighton mid for 27 and a potential blank in 28.

      Stick to the plan. Also, you do very much need the transfers because in 29 the priority is to buy Manchester United and you'll want 2 FTs for that.

  7. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Would you consider Fofana at Chelsea given that Thiago Silva is out? Or still too much rotation with Koulibaly and Badiashille?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I'd pick him up at 10.30 am yesterday like a shot.

    2. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Would rather have the injured Thiago Silva than Fofana in my team

      1. Haa-lala-land
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Huh?

        1. Tcheco
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          Would rather have the retired Cantona in my fpl team than Fofana

    3. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Real-talk, Fofana was pretty good yesterday. Very fair price for him too. There's some good fixtures for us coming up but the form is still questionable.

  8. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Sorry for being lazy but when will Toney be banned?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      No one knows but thinking seems to be not before early April.

      1. Gudjohnsen
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      for the second match in his dgw 27 if he picks up a couple more yellow cards and he blanks in gw28 in that scenario too.

      1. Eh, just one more thing ...
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Think if he gets 10 yellow it’s a two match ban … but someone can correct me on that if my understanding is not correct

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          that's right

          so he could miss Southampton away and Leicester at home if he's booked in the next 2 matches.

  9. el polako
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    So I finally buy Ollie Watkins and obviously from a guy scoring in every game lately he turns into a donkey he's always been.

    I had it with Hazard, Vardy before.
    Some players are just born trolls.

  10. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Not sure I should sell Salah v Bournemouth for another Brighton mid. Already have Mitoma. What do you think?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Was going to do the same until I noticed the below. Don’t want to sell a blanket to buy another.

  11. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    I’ve somehow missed the fact that Liverpool and Utd blank in 28. I’m fairly screwed.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      do you have a FH Rupert?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Yes, seems a shame though