Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials from Wolves, Everton and Manchester City

With the Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 13 deadline less than 24 hours away, we examine the cases of three overlooked FPL assets in our regular Friday feature.

Ivan Cavaleiro (£5.2m)

FPL ownership: 0.2%

While the likes of Matt Doherty (£4.9m), Raul Jimenez (£5.8m) and Rui Patricio (£4.6m) are – understandably – the most popular Fantasy options in this Wolves squad ahead of an appealing double-header against Huddersfield Town and Cardiff City, those seeking a differential from Nuno Espirito Santo’s side or wanting to avoid a defensive double-up may consider a short-term punt on Ivan Cavaleiro.

While Helder Costa (£4.9m) has yet to register an attacking return this season, Cavaleiro has two goals in less than a quarter of the time that his countryman has played on the opposite flank – including the opening strike in the 1-1 draw with Arsenal a fortnight ago.

Cavaleiro’s rate of chances and penalty box touches is better than that of Costa’s this season, too.

Huddersfield Town will be without the sidelined Chris Lowe (£4.4m) at right wing-back this weekend, while the injury to Jonny (£4.5m) might prove to be beneficial to Cavaleiro’s cause: the right-footed Spanish defender not offering the same touchline-hugging width that natural left-footer Ruben Vinagre (£4.3m) hopefully will in his absence.

Vinagre playing wider than Jonny, who had a tendency to drift infield, has the potential to push Cavaleiro inside and into more dangerous positions in the opposition area.

A concern about Cavaleiro is his pitch-time, however, with the midfielder having been substituted on the hour in his first two starts of the season in Gameweeks 11 and 12.

Leroy Sane (£9.2m)

FPL ownership: 4.5%

The news that Benjamin Mendy (£6.3m) is set to miss 10-12 weeks of the season with a knee injury is a major blow to Manchester City, but it could be a boon to Leroy Sane‘s chances of featuring more prominently for the league champions over the coming weeks.

Any punt on a City midfielder is laced with risk, such is Pep Guardiola’s predilection for rotating his midfield assets.

Sane started all three of the Premier League fixtures that the French left-back missed earlier this season, however, and made the starting XI in 25 of the 28 Mendy-less matches in which he himself was not injured in 2017/18.

With Kyle Walker (£6.5m) tucking inside more this campaign rather than bombing forward from right-back, the need for width down the left flank is something Guardiola has stressed on several occasions this season and last.

Fabian Delph (£5.3m) certainly can’t offer the same attacking threat as Mendy from left-back, while Oleksandr Zinchenko (£4.8m) and Danilo (£5.1m) are also limited in that regard.

While the summer acquisition of Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) was a blow to Sane’s security of starts, it could be that the German winger becomes more of a regular (if not permanent) feature in City’s starting XI during Mendy’s prolonged absence.

Certainly when Sane does start, he delivers: in five league starts this season, he has posted attacking returns in all of them (three goals, four assists).

Michael Keane (£5.0m)

FPL ownership: 3.2%

While Lucas Digne (£4.8m) has attracted plenty of interest over the last few weeks, Everton’s towering centre-half is another viable route into this ever-improving Toffees backline.

Michael Keane has three attacking returns to his name (one goal, two assists) already this season, while Matt Doherty and Marcos Alonso (£7.1m) are the only FPL defenders to have registered more attempts on goal.

All of Keane’s efforts have been from inside the opposition box and every one of them came from his head, with all but one attempt on goal stemming from a set play.

Everton have created more chances from dead-ball situations than any other Premier League club this season.

The Toffees could easily rack up a clean sheet in two of their next three games too, with Cardiff and Newcastle having scored fewer goals away from home than all other sides in the division.

Only two clubs have conceded fewer efforts on target and shots in the box in home fixtures than Everton this season.

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492 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Vobinho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Really tempted with a DSilva Sane double up on WC now with Mendy out for so long...

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      That’s too much rotation

      1. Vobinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Sane has 67% (possibly) chance of starting, and can't see DSilva being dropped much with KDB also out.

        1. Pep Pig
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          33% (possibly) is far too risky for a premium player my friend

  2. Dele
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Play Murphy or Anderson?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Murphy

    2. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Tough. Murph

  3. seewhyaxe
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Any updates on Gudmundsson?

    1. Plymouth
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Fit. Will play.

      See twitter update from FFS

      1. seewhyaxe
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Great thanks!

  4. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Quick poll, any additional thoughts or advice appreciated:

    A) Play Chilwell, bench Anderson (have Arnie)
    B) Anderson to Martial (-4)
    C) Anderson to DSilva (-4)

    1. Pep Pig
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No minus 4 necessary mate. It's an A from me Doc

      1. Pep Pig
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        100% poll vote. Get in

    2. Evanlution
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Keep Anderson! He will be the next martial! Cheers

    3. Whits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Have you seen WHU's fixtures after city? Keep Anderson

  5. Plymouth
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Whats peoples thoughts on the Robbo comments? Didnt get the context, so difficult to understand. Any %-of-starting estimates?

    1. Pep Pig
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      14% start
      85% benched
      Where is the other 1% I hear you ask?
      I'm not sure. Though here is a pair of boobs to compensate
      ( . )Y( . )
      Have a great weekend

      1. Plymouth
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers

      2. Pep Pig
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        BAPS 😀

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I think he’ll start. Too big of a game for them

    3. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      With mid-week CL vs PSG suspect he will be on the bench and only come off if needed.

    4. Vobinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I reckon he's benched.

      If he starts, then fatigue could really hit against PSG away and Klopp wouldn't want that.

      On the other hand, Watford isn't an easy game either. Bench and comes on if they're in trouble at 60 mins.

      1. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Seeing as robbo has nearly 33% ownership (and not many will bench him) then there would be 2M disappointed owners. I have Duffy first off the bench, so I'm gonna run with it and just hope for the best. FWIW I do think that he will be on the bench and will only be used in an emergency.
        Good luck to all this weekend, it's been a long 2 weeks.

  6. YoungPretender
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    2 questions;

    1) Worth keeping hold of Maddison?

    2) Any reason not to pull the trigger on Mendy + Success > Digne + Jiminez (-4)?

  7. Ahmed Adam
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Any Update on Laca Injury?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      He has trained.

      1. Pep Pig
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Unless he pulled his groin doing that silly dance 😀

  8. arndff_
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    What would you do here?

    A) Upgrade Yedlin for a defender upto 5.9M
    B) Roll FT

    Fabianski
    Alonso Robertson Doherty
    Salah Hazard Richarlison Fraser
    Aguero Arnie Jimenez

    Foster | Yedlin Diangana AWB

    1FT, 1.4M ITB

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure what upgrading this week would achieve this week - roll for sure.

      1. arndff_
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Had a chance to buy Laporte but decided against him and now I can't afford him... 0.1M off.

        * So current options are:
        a) MCI def which name isn't Walker / Laporte
        b) Keane/Digne
        c) Someone else

        1. Now I'm Panicking
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Defence is fine - rolled FT far more valuable at the mo.

          1. arndff_
            • 12 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Cheers!

      2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        This

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Roll it. Wolves, Newcastle and Palace have a steady rotation for a while. Use the money further forward when the time is right.

    3. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Roll

    4. fc_skrald
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      When I have used (hopefully not wasted) my two free transfers before the deadline I will likely play 10 of the same players you are playing , only got Ederson in goal instead.

      So I have to say - roll it

    5. Manimals
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I've got exactly the same starting 11 except Martial instead of Fraser!
      I would roll your FT

  9. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    All set? Or take a hit? I have Bennett and Cairney likely coming in for Mendy and Ings.

    Patricio
    Alonso • Robertson • Mendy*
    Salah(vc) • Hazard • Richarlison • Kenedy
    Aguero(C) • Arnautovic • Ings*
    (Hamer / Bennett / Cairney / AWB)

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Likely to lol? And AWB for Robertson. Looking ok though!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        The likely part is in reference to Ings mate

    2. Meinhoff
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I'd maybe take a hit to do Ings -> Jimenez. It will certainly pay off over the next few weeks, if not right away

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        0.1 short! Such is life 🙁

  10. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Jimenez seems to score more fpl points against the bigger teams. With Huddersfield probably playing very deep, is it worth doing Ings to Jimenez or should I bench Ings?

    1. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Faced with this exam dilemma. Whether to play Cedric or go Jimenez for ings for a hit. Jimenez seems too tempting to pass up for the next 2 games even if Wolves don't score a lot. Ings probably gets at best a 1 pointer tomorrow and may not score against United so I think Jimenez is the better option

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      BAP's confirmed! 😀

      1. Pep Pig
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Haha you win my mate. Well played

  11. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I think its time for sane, could be a great differential

  12. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Still worth doing Mendy to Robbo or shouldnt after Klopp comments?
    If not, who long term?

    Now have also Alonso Doherty WB Balbuena

    1. gilean
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      What were his comments?

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        He played a lot ans trained only today

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      VVD? Perhaps a good pick over Xmas period too

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Hmmmm could be good yeah

  13. damiang2233
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Have Bellerin in defence and reason to keep or any decent changes i could make.

  14. pressdpm
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Should I hold?
    1FT, 0.3 spare.

    Fabianski
    Alonso - Bennett - Robertson
    Salah - Hazard - Richarlison - Gudmundsson
    Arnautovic - Aguero - Jiminez

    Stekelenburg - Biling - Wan Bissaka - Shaw

  15. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Did Roy mention awb in presser? Who to upgrade this week to Doherty...Bennett or awb

    1. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Upgrade Bennett - Doherty and AWB will rotate nicely from GW15

  16. gilean
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Bennett and Fraser to Doherty and Martial worth a hit? Already did Mendy to Stones.

    1. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Sure, why not.

  17. UshFPL
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Best midfielder for 7.6 or less? Already have Sigurdsson

    1. Vobinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Martial

    2. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Martial.

  18. Evani
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Bennett or Alonso?
    And
    Neves or Fraser?

    Thanks in advance

    1. Evani
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Not transfers btw. Just bench choices

    2. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      a

      1. wulfrunian
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Bench Bennett and Neves.

        1. Evani
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Don’t fancy a clean sheet against these? I’m a wolves fan too btw. And spurs will surely score?
          I think I agree on Fraser over Neves tho

          1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            How much time do you see Vinagre getting may I ask as a fan?

            1. Evani
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              Minimal tbh. He deserves more but Nuno sticks with the same team week in week out

              1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 5 months ago

                Thanks. With Jonny out would someone else play or maybe a formation change?

                1. Evani
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 5 months ago

                  Shite. To be honest i missed that injury. I thought Dougherty was the doubt but is now fit. Yeah well I’m assuming vinagre will be the obvious replacement and be given the spot for the whole time Jonny is out

          2. George Sillett
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Surely don't bench Alonso . What's the point of paying that much for a defender who you don't play ?

            1. Evani
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              It’s just for one week when he is away to a top 4 club and wolves at home to Huddersfield who ain’t the best for goals away

    3. Evanlution
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Alonso for the season.
      Fraser for next match only. Cheers

      1. Evani
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers

  19. piquiblanco
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Turned by -4 into -8 just now. Sold Jonny and got Doherty. Good call or not?

    1. camarozz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Good call. Should break even.

      1. piquiblanco
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Think so too. Thanks!

  20. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    What's the story with Maddison??
    Just yellow flag now??

    1. Pep Pig
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Cmon Jack do your research.
      Though just as a one-off, I can confirm he trained and will make the squad.

  21. We ain't got no histor…
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    How does this look on a WC guys:

    Ryan Hamer
    Alonso Laporte TAA Benett AWB
    Salah Richarlison Martial ** **
    Aguero Jimenez Arnie

    Pick one:
    A. Fraser + Dilva
    B. Paterson + Sane

    Cheers

  22. COYfootball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Start Arnie or Brooks?

    xoxoxo

  23. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Its tonight or never for a Hazard drop -95.8 right now...

  24. gomez123
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Should I keep Shaqiri this week??

  25. Saka Punch
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Rich top of (C) poll, yet every captain related comment I've seen on here seems to be against it.. Where are all the Rich (c) voters at?

  26. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    who does everyone have coming in for Robertson? Balbuena for me 🙁

    1. Pep Pig
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I signed that swine a few weeks ago and he's mugged me off big time 😀 Though Patience is my middle name

    2. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Ings first sub AWB second... Diagana third, with TAA also starting

    3. Bullet Eder
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Josh Murphy

    4. yakirh
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Arnie

  27. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Im spending too much money today. Does Amazons black friday deals last for today only or the remainder of the weekend?

  28. Ray In Bruges.
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Patricio (Fabianski)
    Doherty Alonso TAA Laporte (AWB)
    Richarlison Salah Hazard Fraser (Stephens)
    Wilson Aguero (Arnie)

    1FT, 0.3ITB

    GTG?

  29. WVA
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I'm bored of picking the same captain week after week.

    Ryan
    Alonso Robertson Laporte Doherty
    Salah Hazard Martial (c)
    Aguero Arnie Jimenez (vc)
    Hamer Camarasa Billing Trippier

    1. Stoic
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Captain Doherty en