Moving Target

Moving Target – Asmir Begovic

Bournemouth announced their first signing of the summer last Tuesday, with goalkeeper Asmir Begovic joining from Chelsea for a fee believed to be in the region of £10 million.

The 29-year-old put pen to paper on a long-term deal and will arrive at the Vitality Stadium on July 1.

Speaking to the club’s official website, manager Eddie Howe revealed how he believes Begovic’s quality and experience will prove invaluable over the next few years:

“Asmir is an outstanding goalkeeper who has proved himself capable of performing at the highest level over a number of years. He is at the right age and the right fit. He is a leader as well and exactly the kind of character you want in the team. Asmir will provide great competition to the excellent group of goalkeepers we already have here… I look forward to him being a very important player here for years to come.”

The History

Begovic’s big break came when playing for Southwest Sting Edmonton in Canada, where his family moved when he was aged just 10.

In 2003, the young goalkeeper earned a trial at Portsmouth and after two days was offered a contract, which he signed despite having another trial with Tottenham Hotspur already arranged.

After playing for the youth team, Begovic was then sent out on a series of loan spells to gain valuable first-team experience.

He spent time at Belgian top-flight side La Louviere in 2005/06, where he made two league appearances, before obtaining his UK visa in the summer of 2006, allowing the keeper to go out on loan to then League Two outfit Macclesfield Town.

Begovic played three matches for The Silkmen before linking up with Bournemouth for the first time, where he made eight appearances with the club in League One.

He then enjoyed two separate loan spells at Yeovil Town, totalling 14 matches, before making his Premier League debut for Pompey in May 2009.

The 2009/10 season saw Begovic make six appearances during a loan spell with Championship side Ipswich Town, while he also played nine times for Portsmouth in the Premier League before moving to Stoke City for a fee of £3.25 million in February 2010.

It was with the Potters where Begovic established himself as a Premier League goalkeeper, making 173 appearances over five-and-a-half seasons, before moving to Chelsea in the summer of 2015 for a fee of £8 million.

But Begovic had to play second fiddle to first-choice stopper Thibaut Courtois. During his two-year spell in west London he only made 19 Premier League appearances, with the majority of those coming when the Belgian was unavailable due to both injury and suspension for the first half of the 2015/16 campaign.

The Prospects

Frustrated at a lack of first-team opportunities at Stamford Bridge, the move to Bournemouth should see Begovic become the first-choice goalkeeper at the Vitality Stadium.

Although Artur Boruc started 35 times in 2016/17, the new arrival’s pedigree and significant transfer fee indicates that he will grab the number one jersey.

Somewhat surprisingly, delving into the Opta data available from 2011/12 onwards, Begovic’s average of 31.2 minutes per save is only slightly superior to Boruc’s 35.2.

Yet the new boy’s FPL potential is highlighted by career-high scores of 144 points and 136 points in back-to-back seasons for Stoke City over 2012/13 and 2013/14.

Boruc’s top two hauls have been 125 points in 2013/14 and 120 points from last season, which included two penalty saves.

Bearing in mind that the Cherries conceded 67 times last year – the fifth-worst defence in the top-flight – there’s an argument that Begovic could start at 4.5 to offer a budget-friendly route into Howe’s backline.

Certainly, his arrival is expected to enhance the Fantasy prospects of the Bournemouth backline, with Charlie Daniels, Steve Cook and, potentially, Adam Smith perhaps all set to be priced at 5.0.

Daniels was the sixth highest scoring defender in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) on 134 points, with four goals and three assists making him the preferred option.

Yet the underlying stats show that Smith had the edge for both minutes per key pass (103.3 to 109.3) and shot (119.2 to 161.1).

Smith started last year at 4.5 to Daniels’ 5.0 and if we’re faced with the same scenario, then the former – who earned a goal and five assists – could prove a value option, should he find an end product.

But Cook could be the main beneficiary. Ranked first for clearances, blocks and interceptions in the Premier League last season, he collected more bonus points (17) than any defensive team-mate and produced more shots and efforts in the box than both Daniels and Smith.

Ultimately, Begovic’s price – relative to the rest of the Cherries’ rearguard – will be a key factor here. A cost of 4.5 could turn a few heads, though if he can improve upon last season’s total of 10 clean sheets, then the all-round potential on offer from his defensive team-mates may be more appealing.

Further Reference

Asmir Begovic Wikipedia

Asmir Begovic Transfer Markt Page

Asmir Begovic You Tube

773 Comments Post a Comment
  1. andy85wsm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Morning all

    How are y'all coping with the break?

    1. Dreams
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      ICC Champions Trophy.

    2. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Enjoying it frankly! Just back from a week away 🙂

      1. andy85wsm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Enjoying it too!

        Although will be happy when it's back too 🙂

        1. GreenWindmill
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Oh sure, I'm determined to be more focused this season so I'm savouring the break but I'll be childishly excited when the fixtures are released and the game opens!

  2. Dreams
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Blimey...

  3. Time to bin the traditional 'budget spread'?
    J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Fantasy Football Scout daily hot topic

    Time to bin the traditional 'budget spread'?

    With 2017/18 set to be another season of “you can’t have them all” in relation to the wealth of premium priced options, has the traditional budget spread in FPL had its day?

    In addition with defenders playing as wingers should we be spending more on defence initially? And with midfielders playing as forwards more often should we be upping our spend in the centre of the park?

    Did you stick to a traditional budget spread early on last season? Was it successful? Or did you have more joy ignoring it?

    Here is a recap of the traditional budget spread

    Goalkeepers – around 9-10m….usually two 4.5m options.

    Defenders – around 23-26m….usually two in the 5-6m price range and three in the 4.5-4m price range

    Midfielders – around 36-40m….usually two 8.5-11m options, two to three priced 5.5-8m (depending on whether playing 343 or 352) and/or a 4.5m fifth mid (once again for those playing 3-4-3)

    Forwards 25-31m…. two in the 9m-13m area and one 4.5-8.5m (depending on 352 or 343)

    1. Dreams
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      It's a good observation. I think the area of conflict is the defence and midfield.

      Alonso was a good buy for his price. So was Ballerina at the end of the season.
      The friendlies and the beginning of the season should give us a better idea of the formations.
      I'll look at them before deciding on where to go big and where to cut down.

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        I think the basic discipline of not over spending in an area is good - in partic goalkeepers....but I do wonder with the proliferation of premium options and those formation changes whether it needs a rethink.

        If this season sees a similar lack of options in midfield in the 5-7m category and among strikers in the sub 8m category then I think we may need to rethink how we spend our money.

    2. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Good hot topic Jonty ! Nailed wing backs in attacking teams seem like a no brainer. Still think you can do this without over spending in defence.

    3. Johqvist
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I will definitely spend some more cash in defense this season. It's easier to downgrade later on than to find the funds somewhere else should the expensive defense explode. I missed out on all of Alonsos points this season and I'm not planning on doing that again.

      What about you, Jonty? What are your initial thoughts on next years season?

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        I'm minded to spend a little bit more in defence. All depends whether there is a good fwd option in the 7m category.

        Ideally I'd like prem - mid - mid/cheap up front.

        1. Johqvist
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Sounds reasonable. I wanna set my team up so I have a striker in each category. It's easier to go from Defoe to Llorente should he hit form than from a £10m+ striker to Llorente even though it's the right thing to do.

    4. Pasqualinho
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      FPL Towers may yet put a premium price on wingbacks, so you may be correct that this will affect budget spread. But, should that happen, will they be worth the premium? Looking at last season's points there's a pretty even spread between full backs and centre backs for the top point scorers.

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        I think they will put a premium based on last year's points and whether they are nailed on next season.

        So Alonso, Cahill and Azpi....should be similar. If Alonso is 0.5 more then I'd be minded to swerve.

        He was great value at 6m....at 7 or even 7.5m not so...prefer an Arsenal defender like Monreal who will probably be 6m.

    5. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I think i'll keep my budget spread and rotation planning

      Goalkeepers
      2x 4.5 with H/A rotation

      Defence
      1x 5.5+ 2x2 sub 5.0 with H/A rotation
      or
      2x 5.5+ 1x3 sub with good home game rotation

      Mid
      1x 10.0+ 2x 7.0+ 2x 4.5+ with H/A rotation

      Att
      1x11.0+ 1x 8.0+ 1x 6.0+

    6. Respect My Authoritah
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Vaguely planning to start off with a heavy backline and budget/value mostly elsewhere.

      Every season always miss out on the cheap stars early on and it ends up affecting transfers for a long time afterwards.

      Probably not the best approach, but dying to try something a bit more fun and experimental

    7. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      By your template it looks like I underspent on goalkeepers and midfield and was at the top end for defence and attack.

      GK: 8.5 (4.5, 4.0)
      DF: 25.0 (5,5, 5.5, 5.0, 4.5, 4.5)
      MD: 35.5 (10.0, 8.5, 6.5, 6.0, 4.5)
      ST: 30.5 (13.0, 11.0, 6.5)

      No idea what I'll do next season - I'm too easily swayed by fixtures and perceived bargains to stick to a plan 🙂

    8. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Dunno. Is 4-4-2 a valid option now?

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        the most successfull was 3-4-3 according to the hof top 10.....I think I'll stick to that or 3-5-2.

        Depends on midfield and forward options.

        My fear though is that 4-4-2 can be inflexible...if you need to get a good third striker it can be a bit tricky without a couple of hits.

        1. RedLightning
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          3-4-3 has been the most successful in most seasons, and it 's the favoured formation for most of the HoF high-flyers.
          However, although that was the formation that the HoF top ten used most frequently last season, did they average more points when using 3-4-3, or on the smaller number of occasions when they played 3-5-2 instead?

          Peter Kouwenberg, the new HoF leader, averaged 62.9 points per game-week overall, but on the seven occasions that he chose or defaulted to 3-5-2 he averaged 69 (according to TopMarx's article). Perhaps he ought to have used 3-5-2 more often!
          And David Meechan, now number 9 on the HoF, employed 3-5-2 twenty times and averaged 61.4 overall, the second highest average of the 5 top players studied by TopMarx.

          By the end of the season the best formation will be probably be either 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 as usual, but 4-4-2 may be worth considering for the early game-weeks.
          Then, once the new midfield and/or forward bargains have emerged, you can change to 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 when you play your first wildcard.

    9. Boris Bodega
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      imo there are no rules for this. The moment anyone commits to a 'template' plan, they are tactically tying one of their hands behind their back.

    10. DantheManinaPan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I tend to be quite good at picking at the start of the season. For the last 3 years, my GW1 has been better than my overall rank (3000ish after GW1 3 years ago and the same this year after GW2).

      I don't think 'budget spread' should really be a thing - pick the players you think will score the best and as long as you've made sure you've not benched too much money nor are you playing any non-scorers, then you'll be fine.

      For me, picking the GW1 team is the most exciting part of the year - I can't explain why, I just get a thrill out of it.

    11. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I guess you could argue that players like Alonso, Bellerin, maybe Trippier, all have the potential to outscore most 3rd fwds/4th-5th mids depending on fixtures.

      Points for those players could be considered more predictable at the start of the season too, over the likes of Gayle/Mitro/Murray/Knockaert, maybe even Defoe and Iheanacho - depending on fixtures.

      Starting heavier in defence (maybe playing 442/532) and then wildcarding when obvious 3rd fwds/4th-5th mids present themselves could work, especially if the best wingback teams have kind fixtures to start with.

      Long term however, probably not a good idea to overspend in defence - sure, the points per million is better than mids/fwds and they can outscore many mids/fwds at the same price BUT they probably won't outscore the best third forward long term and you can achieve similar points scores with cheaper defenders - the points difference between 4.5m and 6.5m defenders is a lot less than the difference between 5.5m and 7.5m mids/forwards in most cases.

      1. Johqvist
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Can you email me that grav? p_johqvist@hotmail.com

    12. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      My rough guide, obviously all depends on fixtures & prices. Hoping Jordan Ayew cost 5 mil.

      4.5 - 4.5
      5.5 - 5 - 4.5 - 4.5 - 4.5
      9.5 - 9 - 8 - 7 - 5.5
      13 - 10.5 - 5

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        That hadn't been hot topiced so no one else could find it, sadly. Have sorted that now.

        It is on a similar theme but looking more at points per game of last season's top performers as an indicator to budget.

        I'll make sure both that and this get flagged up in the round up later this week.

    13. UshFPL
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      4.5 4.0
      5.5 5.5 4.5 4.5 4.0
      11.0 9.0 7.0 7.0 4.5
      12.0 10.0 7.0

    14. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Already have in mind:

      Heaton/Burnley sub (9.0m)
      Valencia Azpi/Alonso Trippier(if Walker goes)
      Coutinho xxx xxx Knockeart xxx
      Kane Jesus xxx

    15. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Think I'll wait until the prices are released

  4. Optimus.
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    😎

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Bank Holiday Monday ?

      1. Optimus.
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Hi 5

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Not sure how to respond 😆 . I worked up a day and a half at the end of last month so I'm glad of the rest

      2. andy85wsm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Loving it....in work

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          I generally frown on Lol @ posts but I think this is the exception

          LOL @ Andy 😉

  5. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Also....with new membership I thought it time to create a new table - those quickfire players who love to take a close range shot at goal.

    Take note Aguero v Jesus fans.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/19010/

    1. Optimus.
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Fpl Virgin waited all week for a Hot Topic and then 2 come along at once

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Good luck to you two cleaning up the mess 😉

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        😀

    2. Je suis le chat
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Not a member Jonty, but currently of the view when in doubt get both! Fixtures permitting, can see City thrashing teams. A gw 2 wildcard will fix if backfires.

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        All about rotation around CL....but yes, I think early on it could be a viable strategy...leaves you the choice to ditch whichever gets dropped/rotated.

  6. bojack
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    £40m for Kyle Walker. Spurs are laughing all the way to the bank.

    1. andy85wsm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      City going to be well set up next season

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Chances are their replacement will cost 25 - 30 m so probably not

      1. Respect My Authoritah
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Not likely Trippier will get the nod?

        A backup for a small fee / youth promotion

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          You are probably right . I don't get what is happening tbh £30 m for Siggy is hilarious

    3. Je suis le chat
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Trippier is better, though Spurs need to strengthen their squad.

      1. Boris Bodega
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        They also have to keep up with repayments on that new stadium they're building. They'll pocket the money surely.

  7. Desertbug
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Crazy video review here in the Italy-Zambia U20 Quarterfinal match

    1. Desertbug
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Italy now down 0-1 and down to ten men just before half

    2. Optimus.
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      This is Fpl withdrawal symptons if I ever saw it

      1. Desertbug
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Guilty as charged. Lively action, though. Good to keep me company while I'm working

        1. Optimus.
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          🙂

  8. Dreams
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Jonty trying hard to make up for the lost time.

    1. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      🙂

      Just resuming as I normally do from today.

      1. Dreams
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        You already seem to have all the things you could possibly do in a day:
        1. Posted a hot topic.
        2. Created a table and posted it.
        3. Given your opinions.
        4. Told people to get over Ruth.

  9. Boris Bodega
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Mbappe to Arsenal. Anyone think this will happen?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Nope

    2. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I'd be absolutely gobsmacked.

    3. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Nah.

    4. Optimus.
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Wenger will go in £1 lower than the asking price to make it look like he's trying to sign top players to the Arsenal fans

    5. Delhidynamo
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I think it can.

      Perfect place for him to develop, Monaco selling more big names would increase our chances

    6. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      It probably won't happen but if there ever was a time when Arsene needs to break the bank and buy some (potentially) world-class players, it's now. He has 2 years to win something bigger than the FA Cup.

      1. Boris Bodega
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        The way I've heard it Wenger has given himself one year, and if Arsenal do not win the league, or at least come a very close second, he will leave voluntarily.

        1. Arteta
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Fair enough. It'll be harder than ever but I hope we can make it.

  10. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Where do you think VVD will end up?

    1. Optimus.
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Surely we have 1st refusal if he decides to leave Southampton?

    2. Je suis le chat
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      In my team gw 1 (City).

  11. Optimus.
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I haven't played UCL FF this season or last but was Mbappe the guy who was wrongly classed as a defender 1 of the seasons at the bargain price also of 4.0m?

    1. VS10_
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      4.5 mid

  12. new article posted
  13. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Welcome back, Jonty. This place suffers without you.

    Two things:

    1) FPLWetDreams would make an excellent mod.

    2) How much of a relaxing vacation have you actually had? According to your Twitter (which I follow obsessively of course ... thought I'd get this in before the others), you've been spending a great deal of time fretting about Teresa Maybe 😉

    1. Dreams
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      If only you were a woman or something close to it, I would not mind that first thing you said.

      1. Dreams
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Hey Virg. You forgot to upvote the above comment.

    2. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      This ... thought several times over the last week or two that FPL Dreams would make an excellent mod ...but didn't mention it for fear of blowing any chance of it happening ....

    3. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Very relaxing thanks. Rare week off work.

      Although did have to wade through 300+ emails this morning.

      Keeping tabs on the general election is a mere hobby. 😉

      1. Dreams
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        So when are you sacking TM Jonty?

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Hee hee!

  14. FPL Wisdom
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    My biggest mistake this season was underspending on defence. I went cheap and got my money's worth. Overspending on Forwards as a consequence paid off at the very end but a premium frontline crippled my flexibility early and my TV suffered the whole season.

  15. FPL Wisdom
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Who's your captain this GW?

    May
    Corbyn
    Tim Farron
    Paul Nuttall
    Bartley/Lucas (C/VC)
    Nicola Sturgeon
    Leanne Wood

    Personally I'm TCing Corbyn

  16. Pep
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    4.5 4.0

    4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0

    10 8.0 8.0 5.5 4.5

    13 10.5 10.5

    Kane-Lukaku-Jesus.............just maybe