FPL

FPL Gameweek 38 punts: Who are the true differentials?

It’s punt city out there in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) land, the final Gameweek of 2022/23 offering managers one last chance to boost their rank or salvage mini-league rewards.

But where are the genuine differentials to be found?

You might think the ownership figure on the FPL site would be a good place to start but our response to that is that William Saliba (£4.9m), out of action since mid-March, is still in 15.6% of squads.

‘Ghost teams’ litter the landscape at this stage of the season so to get a truer gauge of how popular a player is among active Fantasy managers, we turn to LiveFPL’s ownership stats.

We’ve used the top 100,000 as the barometer for this feature but you can choose your own sample at the click of a button via the link above.

We’ll go fixture by fixture, cherry-picking a selection of low-owned names from each of them. We’ve excluded anyone with an ownership figure over 20%, meaning no Erling Haaland (£12.4m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m) et al.

The obvious caveat is that these are ownership figures from Gameweek 37, so won’t reflect transfers in this week. Eberechi Eze (£5.7m), for example, has been bought by over 300,000 managers overall since the last deadline, so his ‘owned by’ number will be well into double figures now.

With that in mind, we’ve also made a note if they rank in the top 60 for overall Gameweek 38 ‘transfers in’. Anyone below this arbitrary number has had fewer than 17,000 purchases in total, so their ownership figure in the top 100k will have taken a minimal hit.

An asterisk means they are currently flagged.

ARSENAL v WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
RamsdaleArsenal£4.8m0.88%25th
WhiteArsenal£5.0m10.04%12th
GabrielArsenal£5.2m3.13%31st
OdegaardArsenal£6.9m8.99%2nd
Saka*Arsenal£8.0m5.56%21st
Trossard*Arsenal£6.6m0.3%43rd
Nelson*Arsenal£4.7m0.01%
JesusArsenal£8.1m1.21%20th

ASTON VILLA V BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
DigneAston Villa£4.5m0.0%
J RamseyAston Villa£5.1m0.16%45th
BaileyAston Villa£4.3m0.15%
BuendiaAston Villa£5.7m0.09%
WatkinsAston Villa£7.3m7.8%13th
EncisoBrighton£4.6m6.47%
FergusonBrighton£4.6m1.47%55th

BRENTFORD V MANCHESTER CITY

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
MbeumoBrentford£5.6m0.44%17th
GundoganMan City£7.4m6.08%24th
De BruyneMan City£12.1m4.3%
FodenMan City£8.0m2.56%15th
BernardoMan City£6.7m0.19%

CHELSEA V NEWCASTLE UNITED

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
Joao FelixChelsea£7.1m0.2%
DubravkaNewcastle£4.1m0.0%
ScharNewcastle£5.1m7.32%42nd
MurphyNewcastle£4.2m1.55%
AlmironNewcastle£5.4m0.51%40th
Saint-MaximinNewcastle£6.1m0.02%
Newcastle

CRYSTAL PALACE V NOTTINGHAM FOREST

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
JohnstoneC Palace£4.4m2.75%
GuéhiC Palace£4.5m2.68%
MitchellC Palace£4.4m0.98%
AndersenC Palace£4.5m0.29%
EzeC Palace£5.7m6.0%1st
OliseC Palace£5.3m2.16%
J AyewC Palace£5.2m0.09%
EdouardC Palace£5.0m0.53%
Gibbs-WhiteN Forest£5.5m0.36%35th
AwoniyiN Forest£5.6m0.32%30th
JohnsonN Forest£5.5m0.17%

EVERTON V BOURNEMOUTH

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
PickfordEverton£4.4m1.1%32nd
TarkowskiEverton£4.1m2.94%23rd
MinaEverton£4.3m0.01%
McNeilEverton£5.2m0.43%10th
DoucoureEverton£5.3m0.01%
GrayEverton£5.1m0.0%
Billing*Bournemouth£5.0m0.29%
SolankeBournemouth£5.6m6.51%

LEEDS UNITED V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
HarrisonLeeds£5.7m0.22%
Rodrigo*Leeds£6.3m0.05%
GnontoLeeds£4.7m0.33%
Bamford*Leeds£7.1m0.01%
SonTottenham£11.5m0.08%54th
KulusevskiTottenham£7.8m0.0%
KaneTottenham£11.4m14.49%3rd

LEICESTER CITY V WEST HAM UNITED

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
CastagneLeicester£4.3m3.48%59th
MaddisonLeicester£7.8m0.57%16th
BarnesLeicester£6.6m0.07%44th
VardyLeicester£9.1m0.0%50th
BowenWest Ham£8.0m0.14%34th
AntonioWest Ham£6.9m0.15%

MANCHESTER UNITED V FULHAM

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
LindelofMan Utd£4.1m6.12%
DalotMan Utd£4.8m4.91%
GarnachoMan Utd£4.1m0.68%46th
MartialMan Utd£6.3m4.22%
WillianFulham£5.5m0.1%
WilsonFulham£5.7m0.02%
MitrovicFulham£6.6m0.17%28th

SOUTHAMPTON V LIVERPOOL

PlayerTeamPriceTop 100k ownership at GW37Transfers in ahead of GW38 (rank v other FPL assets – if in top 60)
AlissonLiverpool£5.4m3.78%6th
Van DijkLiverpool£6.6m1.73%29th
TsimikasLiverpool£4.3m0.0%
GakpoLiverpool£7.6m3.39%22nd
DiazLiverpool£7.8m0.13%57th
JotaLiverpool£8.6m2.46%
Darwin*Liverpool£8.6m0.05%
FirminoLiverpool£8.0m0.03%48th

RATE MY TEAM: POINTS PROJECTIONS v TOP 100K OWNERSHIP

For Premium Members of Fantasy Football Scout, we’ve also included Rate My Team‘s leading players for projected points in Gameweek 38.

Again, anyone with an ownership over 20% in the top 100k is excluded.

You can get the full picture, which includes your Haalands and your Salahs, by clicking here.


397 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Zenith UK
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    2FTs & 1.1ITB. Absolutely stuck. I've been flat out with a brand new business last couple of weeks, this week especially and have kept up with absolutely nothing so any comments are appreciated!

    Steele
    Shaw, Stones, Estu
    Salah, Rash, Grealish, Mitoma
    Haaland, Kane (c), Wilson

    Kepa, White, Burn, Andreas

    1. Drop Dead Tsimikas
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Shaw + Grealish >> TAA + Eze or can you not afford that?

      1. Zenith UK
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        I was thinking MGW instead of Eze. Let me check if I can afford Eze though

        1. Zenith UK
          • 7 Years
          1 year, 9 days ago

          Nah 0.2 out

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Shaw + Grealish/Wilson out probably.

      1. Zenith UK
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Wilson injured?

  2. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Alarm clock set for 8:30 tomorrow morning, hopefully in time to catch some team leaks. Otherwise I may just go with this bunch and no transfers:

    Steele
    Estupinan - Trippier - Dalot
    Rashford (c) - Mahrez - Salah - Foden
    Haaland - Wilson - Isak

    Kepa, MacA, Fofana, Shaw

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      I'm also thinking Rash (C). Whats the news about Wilson? Thoughts on my situation below?

      1. Drop Dead Tsimikas
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Have there been any news about Wilson?

  3. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Pick 1 mid & def from each to play pls;

    a. Mitoma
    b. Mac10

    &

    c. Estu
    d. Trippier

    Cheers

    1. Drop Dead Tsimikas
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Mitoma, Trippier

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Mac if he is on pens otherwise Mitoma.

      Then Tripp probably as well but that one is a toss up

  4. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Son or Odegaard?

    1. grooveymatt65
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Son if Haaland starts

  5. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Ederson
    Shaw** - TAA - Estu - Lindelof
    Salah - Rash - Grealish** - MaCallister - Mitoma
    Haaland

    Iversen - Wilson - Solanke - Botman

    What to do? Start Solanke over Shaw and use FT for Grealish or take a hit for Grealish and Shaw??

  6. Price changes
    Ragabolly
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Risers: Kane (11.5) Mbeumo (5.7)

    Fallers: None

    Done!

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      And well done Ragabolly.

    2. Jebus Saves
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Cheers

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Kane was on 79 too

    3. NotReadyForPrimeTime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Cheers, Ragabolly!

    4. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Cheers, thoughts on squad above anyone? Appreciate any last minute help for last Gw! Cheeers

    5. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Final 1 up!

    6. Skonto Rigga
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thanks for another season of sterling work, Ragabolly

    7. snow pea in repose
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Your dedication this season is appreciated, thanks

    8. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thank you again for the season-long price changes and all the help with Last Man Standing.

    9. Ragabolly
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thank you all and good luck today!

    10. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thanks for all your hard work throught the season Raga - FPL & FFs wouldn't be the same without you.

    11. Sharkytect
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thank you ragabolly and enjoy the summer break!

    12. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thank you for this Ragabolly. I never comment but I look all season. The very best of luck today!

    13. The Great Statuto
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Cheers Ragabolly, first thing I check every morning. For years now!

    14. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thank you for providing me info every day. Check it every morning with a cup of coffee.

  7. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    1) mitoma to eze
    a) yes
    b) no

    2) captain
    a) salah
    b) rashford

    1. grooveymatt65
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      1 b

      2 a

  8. Philosopher's Stones
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Ragabolly and Skonto Rigga. You've both done good work throughout the season lads. Take a vacation. It's on me.

    1. Ragabolly
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Thank you 🙂

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Ditto

  9. Total Foot 5 - romario 11
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Kdb is he expoected to start tomokrrow?

  10. Total Foot 5 - romario 11
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Drop who for salah?

    1 kdb
    2 bfernandez

    1. grooveymatt65
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      1 defo

      1. Total Foot 5 - romario 11
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Thx

  11. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Ederson
    Shaw** - TAA - Estu - Lindelof
    Salah - Rash - Grealish** - MaCallister - Mitoma
    Haaland

    Iversen - Wilson - Solanke - Botman

    What to do? Start Solanke over Shaw and use FT for Grealish or take a hit for Grealish and Shaw?

  12. HellasLEAF
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    I've 4.2:

    Lindelof or Tarkovski on a free.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Soldier Boy!

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Lindy for me

    3. Scalper
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Tark

  13. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    why mcneil isn’t in the scout ?

  14. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    I sense an Isak mega haul

  15. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Guys why we didn’t concern Mcniel & Gray and Iwobi … everton must win to stay in the premier league?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Must win equal 1-0, they could even lose and survive depending on the other 2.

  16. AppleDunk
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Which do u prefer?

    A) Kane, Eze, Greenwood (hope both Mac10 and Mitoma play)
    B) Watkins, Odegaard/Eze, Wilson (play one of Mac10 or Mitoma)

    Both on -4

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Captain in each?

      1. AppleDunk
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Kane in A.
        Probably Watkins in B for a finale punt, otherwise Salah

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          1 year, 9 days ago

          Maybe A

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      b

  17. Jengkreng
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Bruno and rashford play or rest?

  18. MoSalad
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Ahead in all my MLs tightest point margin is 16. A lot of teams with nothing to play for and a lot of news about rotation making this challenging. Only have 1FT and £2m in the bank.

    Raya (Steele)
    Shaw, TAA, Tripper (Botman, Espu)
    Antony, Rashford, Mahrez, Mitoma, Salah
    Harland, Alvarez (Greenwood)

    Need to change Antony, questions is who too? Am really considering bringing in Maddison and having a 1 week punt on him as C as feel Leicester might finally turn up and he could haul.

    Did want to do Haaland -> Kane before the injuries but don't think it's worth a -4 at this stage of the season to make both transfers.

    Obvious choice is Salah/Haaland but worried about game time and benchings.

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      You're ahead so:

      Salah© is your shield
      Antony > Eze both a shield & sword.

      1. MoSalad
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Yes Salah is the obvious choice. I just miss the fun of having a punt this season it's all been way too serious lol. However, there's not much need to take any risks.

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 3 Years
          1 year, 9 days ago

          Your season looks better than mine - so you do you.

          1. MoSalad
            • 10 Years
            1 year, 9 days ago

            Antony to Madison (C) done. Here we go!

  19. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Who to start?

    A. Kepa (NEW)
    B. Raya (MCI)

    Currently on B

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      B - I’m in the same boat.

      Off to WENBERLEEEEEE now to see if my beloved Stockport can make it successive promotions. Fingers crossed!!!

      That said, I won’t be gutted if Carlisle do it - a proper team with proper fans. 🙂

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        WEMMMMMBERLEEEEEEE! Even

      2. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        I went to a Stockport home match about 58 years ago - against Newport .... a boring 0-0 raw.

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      B

      Possibility of extra save points & last time played

      City 1 v 2 Brentford

  20. blauriecon
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Bench 1 of following
    Estup, Trippier, Mitoma, Mahrez

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      The advice in GW38 is CS will be few - so play three at the back.

  21. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Ederson
    TAA Shaw Trippier
    Salah Fernandes Rashford MacAllister Mitoma
    Haaland Isak

    Forster Estupinan Botman Greenwood

    2FT, 0.2 itb

    What to do here please guys???

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      What are you thinking?

      1. FCSB
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 9 days ago

        Possibly Bruno Isak >> Eze Kane…

        I’m a final of a cup and a chance for a prize in a H2H league with a win so a bit to play for… trying not to think about the oppositions teams as they’re very similar anyway, and just play my own game… hard letting go of Bruno though with a decent XGi…

        What are you thoughts TM??

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          1 year, 9 days ago

          Looks decent, good luck.

          1. FCSB
            • 8 Years
            1 year, 9 days ago

            Thanks mate, good luck yourself and thanks for LMS once again

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Shaw - discussion 50% chance to play - although you have cover on the bench
      MacAllister Mitoma - concern away to Villa/rotation - possible Eze?

  22. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Everton or Palace defender?

  23. WibblesTeam
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    If Haaland is benched, who to buy? Already own Kane

    Watkins?

    1. :
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      If all this rhythm talk from Pep turns out to be a load of nonsense and he fields his B team against Brentford then Mbuemo enters my calculations. It's a dead rubber but beating the current Champions is always an incentive for teams and this guy's bang in form.

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      how about Vardy?

  24. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    FH team, which

    Ddg (iversen)
    Taa vvd mina (tarko guehi)
    X kdb X rodrigo eze
    Kane watkins X

    A) firmino rash barnes, 352 or 343
    B) firmino garnacho madds, 352 or 343
    C) grenwod son barnes, 352

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      C

  25. Dthinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Assuming there are no blockbuster leaks...

    Who should I replace, Mahrez, Akanji, or Martial?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Mahrez

  26. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Steele (Pope)
    Lindelof Shaw TAA Trippier Zinchenko
    Saka Grealish Mac Mitoma Bruno
    Haaland Isak Alvarez

    1 FT 0.7 ITB.

    A) Grealish > Eze
    B) Mac > Eze

    Anything else...Suggestions please? No idea what to do to make the last week a bit better than the rest of the reason...

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      A

    2. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      I think Grealish starts.

  27. marcos11
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Is Kane a must have this week? Would cost me a -8 to bring him in for Isak.

    13 ahead in my ML and closest behind me has Kane.

    1. jack88
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      If you believe he scores a hat-trick than -8 worth it

    2. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Kane won’t score 21 points

    3. Jengkreng
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Wait late news...maybe halland not play...u can swap kane with him...i only will take -8 if i dont have 11 players to play

    4. The_FF_King
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      I have the same dilemma. I have a 30 point lead over rival and he will captain him. So might do the -8 to cover

  28. TSN
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    bench one:

    A. Mac
    B. Mitoma
    C. Alvarez

    Cheers

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      B

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      B

  29. jack88
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    Salah captain anyone

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Yes

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Popular choice assuming he starts. Monitor leaks.

    3. Fitzy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Well he's leading the captain poll and endorsed here, so I guess so...

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2023/05/26/who-is-the-best-captain-for-fpl-gameweek-38-2/

    4. Jengkreng
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Yes...unless u chasing...so need differential

    5. Bluetiger1
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 9 days ago

      Kane

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 9 days ago

        On paper Salah but Klopp has rested in the past Salah with nothing to play for

  30. Ha.
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 9 days ago

    1. Shaw>

    A. Guehi
    B. Tark
    C. Tierney

    2.

    Haaland > Kane (c) for -4

    A. Y
    B. N