Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

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1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sánchez
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    First time I sellSalah he does that

    1. palace ash
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Same

    2. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      im sorry but pre bou was a risky selling time & you surely knew that

      1. Captain Kakaroto (I blame R…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Actually it wasn't. If you look deeply at the stats you could see that the chances that BOU were conceded headed ones. as Salah no big threat from the air, I sold him. But, sometimes its just luck

  2. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Feeling extremely low and utterly despondent.

    Enjoy.

    1. SPorting
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Meh

      You’ve got Kamara points incoming

      1. Goat
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        No he doesn’t lol

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      You're gonna bounce back. It's just the FPL is like this. This week Salah scores, next week Sterling and Kane will, and Salah will blank and those with green arrows gonna fall in ranks.

    3. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Just one of those weeks, Virg. Bounce back, mate 🙂

    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Elite players bounce back ... it could be worse

  3. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    12p (-4)
    Patricio, Jimenez and Richarlison to go.
    Could be worse?
    Martial, Wilson, Billing, Trippier, Trent... Get a out of my team.

    1. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Trippier back next week, Rich not even played yet and got 10 last week. Trent will return, so will Wilson, don't know about Martial, Billing - who cares. Don't take it out on these poor defenceless footballers.

  4. SPorting
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Green arrows all round?

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Best top 10k by 1 but still going down ffs

    2. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No Salah for me, and Robbo out on WC stings, but I’m only redding from 4.5 to 5.5k tonight.

      Hopefully my incoming 9 bench points might push me back up a little.

      1. SPorting
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Silver linings. Not over yet.

    3. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      that livefpl site thing says i'm jumping from 16k to inside 5k... i'll sh*t myself & get a few red arrows soon tho

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        You smashed it this week mate well done

        1. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          smashed it... jesus I hate those 2 words from the celebrity jungle 🙂

          1. Ask Yourself
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            I don’t watch i apologise. Was a compliment was being nice and you ruined it. Don’t talk to me again.

            1. Ask Yourself
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              Hope you get 10 red arrows in a row

            2. kennethrhcp
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              haha sorry I didn't mean to come across bad!!!

              no need to hope for the reds... they'll come 🙁

      2. EMBOLOFAN
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        how many pts you on?

    4. sambyy
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Nah not really with 16 points

      1. SPorting
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Oof

  5. Mysterion
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Pick the winner for gw 17

    A. Auba's price rises
    B. Auba's points

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      A so we can get Aguero back

  6. Pierce34
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Most exciting question of the day, but does anyone know what happened to Calum Chambers? I brought him in just for cheap nailed-on fodder and he was nowhere to be found 😆

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Tinkerman yet to find best team. I think Calum will be in jt

  7. palace ash
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Last two GWs:
    Out: Aguero, Arny, Hazard and Salah
    In: Auba, Kane, Sterling and Sane

    Ouch

    1. SPorting
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Strange times indeed

  8. BRKFCTrueRover
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Worst GW of the season 🙁 congratulations to all the non WC peeps the real people winners

    1. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I wildcarded last week.

      Robbo, Martial, Mané, Maddison, Hazard, Aguero, Arnie to

      Tripps/Bellerin, Son, Felipe, Sané, Kane, Auba

      Has worked out a little better, but it’s close.

    2. Pierce34
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Surprisingly, my WC was about even

      Out went Hazard, Alonso, Robertson, Martial and David Silva (28 points)

      In came Son, Anderson, TAA and Kolasinac and Sterling (36 points)

      I do regret the Robertson sale though, but still hoping it'll even out when TAA plays.

  9. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    36 with Doherty Digne Richarlison to go. OR down from 3K to 6.5 K according to live fpl which is OK I guess but not much chance of qualifying for cup or staying in LMS. Brutal week with fundamentally good side which is pretty much the Game 16 WC (12 out of 15) players owned as above!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Any score is possible in LMS.

    2. Pierce34
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Similar, I didn't actually need to wildcard as I already had Kane and Lacazette, but I did it anyway. Only real disappointment was selling Robertson for TAA, other than that it's the Lacazette captaincy that punished me, something I would've done regardless of wildcarding. Never considered Salah so not disappointed about that.

      On the plus side, Son and Felipe Anderson ensured the wildcard wasn't a disaster.

  10. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    You mean you guys didn't captain Salah?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I didnt, went with Kane.. 🙁

    2. SPorting
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Easy tiger

    3. GianniBanani
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Salah over Kane was obvious, but if I had Auba I would give him an armband probably

  11. wolvesmad
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Main rival who was 40 points ahead sold Salah (Who I kept) to get in Sterling and Kane.....I'm just here to gloat really

  12. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Lacazette owners/captainers like myself...What to do with him having only just brought him in??

    1. wolvesmad
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      swap to chicarito as I have done straight away

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        am thinking this. He was my first instinct when Arnie got injured.

    2. Pierce34
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I've had him for about 8 GWs now and might sell in a week or two. If I had just brought him in I would've probably been more inclined to give him more time.

    3. aborg
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I’m keeping. He can’t stay playing 45 mins surely. He would have scored today if not for the wrongly given offside by the ref !

    4. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Upgrade to Auba. Arsenal are playing 6 teams with the most xGA and actual goals conceded in their next 8 fixtures. The goals will come.

    5. wolvesmad
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Think of all the spondoolies you could save and upgrade in Midfield instead. Think Chica could match Lacca with all the great fixtures plus he is more nailed on...

    6. The 5% Team
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Bought him this week, will def keep....unless he doesnt start next match, too much money to come off the bench

    7. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Admit you were wrong and reverse the transfer 🙂

    8. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      He scored a goal which I'm pretty sure was incorrectly disallowed. Regardless, good fixtures, good player, good attacking team, likely to play 45-90 mins. I don't think it's worth a FT. He's as good a captain option next week as he was this week imo, though next week might have more better options.

  13. Mysterion
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Lallana assist given for Mo's hattrick goal 😆

  14. bitars
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Why was Mitrovic taken off in half time?

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      reason I read on here was save him so he wouldn't pick up 5th yellow... not sure how true

      1. Pierce34
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        To be honest that looks like an FPL reason, though I could be wrong.

        1. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          agreed

  15. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Auba had an xG of 0.75 and failed to score grr...It would be so nice, a 12-pointer probably

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Mainly the chance in the 1st half.

  16. Winter_is_coming
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Jump exactly from 139k to 39 k, amazing. Now help, please, have 2 FT and want to restructure team:

    1) Salah, Robbo, Arnie ---> Sane, Schindler, Kane (-4)
    2) Salah, Robbo, Arnie, Rich to ---> Sterling, Kola, Kane, Hojb (-8)

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Where can I see ranks?

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        livefpl.net or something like this

      2. Winter_is_coming
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        live fpl site, incredible accuracy

        1. GianniBanani
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Really? They are predicting me 653OR, but I doubt it tbh

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Hold your horses I would say... No need to sell Robbo and Rich, especially for -8. Salah's also the highest scorer in the game.

    3. caldracula
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Wouldn’t loose Salah or Robbo yet

    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      You are selling the players that have returned points and pushed you up the rankings ? Strange

  17. Egbunike
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    How did Snodgrass play today?

  18. Plymouth
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Mark is the most insane guy. That breakfast club calling Chelsea win, and saying he had a gut feeling about Salah delivering his best performance this year (FPL-wise). Utter legend

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      fpl virgin is that you?

      1. Plymouth
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        ?

        1. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          just a bad joke... bigging up Mark

    2. GS456
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Maybe Showing my nativity

      But why is he so less involved this year?

    3. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      You’re not allowed to say anything positive about Mark on here, which is bizarre.

  19. Eytexi
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Very nice green arrow coming. 62 with 4 to play. Big returns from Doherty, Richarlison, Jimenez and Rondon would be lovely.

  20. arndff_
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    A) Son (BUR eve BOU WOL car)
    B) Anderson (ful WAT sou bur BRI)

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Both

      1. arndff_
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        I asked a OR b.

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Son at a stretch..more home games

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Son’s fixtures better just a Q of how many he plays. Anderson should play all

    3. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Both?

    4. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      A of the two. Seems obvious to me.

    5. Ser Davos
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Anderson purely on minutes

  21. Steirish
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    2 to play less than 30 scored out the top 10k I need love 🙁

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Stick on a few Stelios Giannakopoulos highlights.

    2. aborg
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Same score line really...I have 31 (-4) with Jiménez and Doherty to go. My worst GW so far.
      I am currently on 13k but I’m gonna drop so badly tonight, don’t even want to look !

  22. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Salah no likey the new template!

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Still not in it due to our stubbornness

  23. Pieterke30
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Why was Mitrovic taken out at half time?

    Any injury worries?

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Game over, on 4 YCs, bigger games to come.

      1. Pieterke30
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Thats why I thought

        Thx

  24. Eddie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Quick poll please.

    For at least the festive period would you prefer:

    A) Alonso and Richarlison
    B) TAA and Son

    Thanks

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B

  25. Ser Davos
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Did my eyes deceive me earlier or did Word no.1 bring in Torreira this week?

  26. Delhidynamo
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone have the approx average figures.for tonight?

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      45 after baps from 7.4 players in the top 10k

      1. Delhidynamo
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers champ

  27. We Will Klopp you
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Swerving Salah due to fixtures + price. Other premiums are Sane, Sterling & Auba. In both cases Alonso would become TAA as a makeweight.

    A) Kane & Richarlison (343)

    or B) Hazard & Son (352)

    1. arndff_
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      WC?

      1. We Will Klopp you
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Nah, hits unfortunately. Made the mistake of buying Crapazette

        1. arndff_
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Tricky... B out of those 2.

          1. We Will Klopp you
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            Much appreciated, Arndff

  28. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    shall i wildcard? 1.9 itb 1 Ft

    Fab, Speroni
    Alonso, Doh, AWB, Dunk, VVD
    Salah, Rich, FA, Fraser, Diangana
    Kane, Jimenez, Laca

    Obvs need to wc soon

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No. I think your team is fine.

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Might just swap Dunk out for someone

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      How many would you change?

  29. Ser Davos
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Bench Siggy or Richarlison at the Etihad?

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Siggy, more avenues for points. Set pieces, maybe a pen if Ederson pulls ones of his special haul downs.

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Start Siggy...

  30. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    City to bounce back now & go on another demolition run?!

    Or could they do with adding KDB, Kun and Mendy back in to steady things a bit