Spot the Differential
17 June 2020 2800 comments
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It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Rik Waller
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    WC next GW, so going with this as a virtual Free hit with Bench Boost...

    Leno Hendo
    Robertson TAA Egan Lund Targett
    KDB Mahrez Grealish McGinn Barnes
    Kun Auba Nketiah

    Thoughts?

    1. Ed
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not sure on the Robertson / TAA double up.

      Robertson > Doherty & McGinn > Mount?

      1. Tempestic
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Like this

      2. Rik Waller
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        0.1 short 🙁

    2. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      think mcginn will be super rusty. 6 months out.

    3. Beavis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Would consider Robbo downgrade and Nketiah upgrade but hard to fault having the best defence in the league.

  2. pablo discobar
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    GK Henderson, Reina
    DEF TAA, Engles, Egan, Robinson, Lascalles
    MID Salah, KDB, Gundogon, Grealish, Ozil,
    FWD Aguero, Auba, Jiminez

    Benchboost - Will wildcard next week.

    Hows it looking??

    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      i want reina but heard he may have lost his place

  3. KDB4PREZ
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero&jesus for anyone?

    1. Niho992
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think im going for Kdb, Sterling, Jesus combo

    2. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Locked in.

    3. Threat Level Midnight
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Locked and loaded with KDB

      1. Easy Cheesy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Fingers crossed. Who you captaining? See my post below

        1. Threat Level Midnight
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          No clue mate. Have had it on Kun since we were able to edit, but KDB feels safest. Might even pivot over to Auba who knows. Guaranteed 150 minutes at the minimum for the DGW.

    4. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      My other city is kdb so trying to work out who to captain. Kdb safe but in a way if I choose aguero and he doesn’t play I have jesus so feels like I may be safe w aguero as captain. Or I may be talking bollox

  4. Lazerball
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Finding this to be a tough decision:
    A. Ederson and Egan
    B. Henderson and Walker

    1. Beavis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I prefer A

    2. Johnny 8
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Threat Level Midnight
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Henderson and Mendy better option

    4. Lazerball
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys, currently on A. Think I'll stick with it

  5. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision on my FH team:

    A: TAA, Mahrez, McBurnie
    B: Basham, Sterling, McGinn

  6. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    My FH team (pretty template):

    Leno
    TAA - Stevens - Baldock
    Sterling - Kdb - Grealish - Mount
    Auba - Kun - Jimenez

    Martin - Targett - Saka - Simpson

    I am considering to replace TAA for Lundstram or Doherty. Would you do it?

    It feels wrong having no Liverpool players.

  7. mcginnntonic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Samatta or Mcburnie? just for this week need a 5.8m or under striker. cheers

  8. ITFC96
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Jota or Pukki for this Game week?

    1. SAY MY NAME
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      i'm on pukki, but i already have jiminez and doherty, but jota could be good

  9. Sleivspark
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    After hours of tinkering I am on this BB team now;

    Leno / Reina

    Alonso / Stevens / Lundstrom / Egan / Targett

    KDB / Sterling / Pepe / Grealish / Pulisic

    Aguero (C) / Jimenez / Nketiah

    OR rank 582 going full 12 DGW players to a wildcard or FH in 31+

    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      am worried about reina and alonso not strating

      1. Sleivspark
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        same :/ also a worry about lundstrom though o'connor and fleck rumours/news made my decision... Alonso could also easily be Doherty..

    2. FPL_DON
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      great team

  10. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Rp

    A) McGinn + Cantwell
    B) Mount + Do. Luiz

    1. DMP
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. DMP
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Help below pls

  11. DMP
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    30BB 31WC

    Leno Henderson
    Bellerin Egan Basham Saiss Lascelles
    Kdb Sterling Grealish Ghazi Mount
    King Auba Samatta

    Or

    Leno Reina
    Lunds Egan Basham Saiss Lascelles
    Kdb Sterling Grealish Ghazi Mount
    King Auba Abraham

    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B withouyt king

      1. KUNingas
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        This

    2. DMP
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Kun*

      1. DMP
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        loooool

    3. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      sorry but i dont like either!

      1. DMP
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Why? Triplo city, shefield and Chelsea vs Avl.

        1. DMP
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          12dgw vs 11 dgw

        2. OneDennisBergkamp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Bellerin, Sterling, Mount, King - feel like big rotation risks and form issues here

  12. UshFPL
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best set and forget keeper from now til the end of the season?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      DDG

      1. DMP
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        X2

        Help above pls

    2. Pinturicchio10
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Patricio

  13. La Vida Latte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I read that one fan in a Blades-forum wrote this:

    Lineups on the three injury scenarios.

    Everyone fit:
    Henderson
    Baldock, Basham, Egan, JOC, Stevens
    Lundstram, Norwood, Fleck
    Sharp, McBurnie

    JOC out:
    Henderson
    Baldock, Basham, Egan, Robinson, Stevens
    Lundstram, Norwood, Fleck
    Sharp, McBurnie

    JOC & Fleck out:
    Henderson
    Baldock, Basham, Egan, Robinson, Stevens
    Lundstram, Norwood, L.Freeman
    Sharp, McBurnie

    Who is this Robinson guy? He is 4.0. Do you think he is likely to start? Or is this just some wishful thinking of one blade supporter?

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He's consistently touted as the LFL replacement on the Blades forums.

      1. La Vida Latte
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks!

  14. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    This week only and given Fleck now a doubt:

    a) Henderson / Doherty / El Ghazi [triple SHU defence and triple AVL attack (!)]

    b) Reina / TAA / Norwood

  15. Sid07
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    1) Norwood + Stevens
    2) El gazi + basham

  16. Orion
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Play two out of:
    A) McBurnie
    B) Saka
    C) Mcginn
    Have Grealish as well... Cheers

  17. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mane & Lascelles > Pepe & Laporte

    So tempting but left with no LIV attack and just TAA... risky??

    1. DMP
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Almost everyone is going without Pool, so, less riskier the before.

      Help above pls.

  18. De Gea is GOAT
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Score predictions for the following. Cheers legends!

    AVL vs SHU
    NCFC vs SOU
    BOM vs CRY

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1-0 x3

    2. Pipermaru
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1-1
      2-2
      2-1

    3. De Gea is GOAT
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys!

  19. drughi
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Reina or Ramsdale ? BB Active also got leno

    1. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Reina for the dgw

  20. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pick A or B for DGW 30+ only
    Will WC in 31+

    A- Stevens targett saiss Sterling mount saka ayew

    B- lundstram Doherty Ward Mahrez Bruno McGinn nketiah

  21. Loftus cheeky nandos
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Lundstram to play both?

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn’t say so

  22. Eldon
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling or Auba?

    1. A19
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling

    2. Orion
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba cause of Peps rotation

  23. Pringle
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anybody going for Pepe in here? Just so tempting.

  24. A19
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) Baldock Lascelles
    B) Egan Justin

    (Already have the Lord)

  25. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which one is better?

    1. Leno + Basham
    2. Pope + Baldock

    1. Tempestic
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      For one week, A

  26. AC Pilkington
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Seriously not sure what to make of these Kun rumours?

    Should I ...

    a) Stick with Kun and KDB but captain KDB

    b) Switch to having KDB and Sterling

    1. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      What Kun rumours? Isn't Sterling benching a rumour too?

  27. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Controversial, but I weirdly believe Leaker on this.

    The lineups seem likely and the fact teams need to submit lineups early also makes sense in light of the new precautions.

    If he is to be believed, no Sterling tonight. But oddly, that doesn't make me want to take him out. Not playing today could easily mean he starts against Burnley.

    Mahrez tempting...

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Read his other tweets, you'll stop believing.

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Alright... let's see how it goes! gonna stick. My team is built. Don't really wanna mess with it at this point. If he's right, that's pretty wild. Means we get team sheets for the whole day early.

    2. Beavis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      There's no way someone has just come out of nowhere and happens to be ITK on the 4 teams that are starting tonight.

  28. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any suggestions to improve this BB Team please chaps? 0.2 ITB.

    Ederson*
    Lundstram*, Egan*, Basham*, TAA
    KDB*, Grealish*, Fernandes, Salah
    Aguero*, Aubameyang*

    (McCarthy, Nketiah*, Douglas Luiz*, Lascelles)

    Keen to keep hold of Salah, Fernandes & TAA who I have value tied up in.

    Cheers

  29. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed:

    Pick two from these. One starter and one first sub:

    A Norwood
    B Targett
    C Lascelles
    D Duda
    E Cantwell

  30. Jam0sh
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Just a random comment passing through

    1. SAY MY NAME
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      random response 🙂