Spot the Differential
17 June 2020 2800 comments
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It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FPL_DON
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Does Cantwell have Corona??

    The question on everyones lips

  2. Wirtzle Gummidge
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    As I have no life I did a reverse image search for FPLleaks profile photo.

    Shows here:
    https://www.forbesadvocate.com.au/story/6502109/emerald-green-delight/#slide=0

    Image caption suggests his name is Dan Bayley... Lives in Australia

    1. FPL Scoop
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bit creepy

    2. Red Rock
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      This is what I came here for!

    3. Tempestic
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Does that help us in any way?

      1. Tempestic
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I mean fair play tho xD

  3. HNI
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Need advice for below 2 options
    a)Pick one from
    1) Ederson + Targett
    2) Nyland/Reina + Laporte
    But who will play from Nyland and Reina?

    b) Fleck is marked yellow but he scored brace in last match vs AVL. Worth a punt or go El ghazi?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1

      I am avoiding Fleck

  4. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    McBurnie - second most headed attempts of all players this season (Jimenez first).

    Aston Villa and Newcastle have conceded the most headed attempts this season.

    1. JelliedSpark968
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      and only 0.5% owned!

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lord on corners?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Probably Norwood

      2. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        norwood

  5. Genji3lade
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who plays more minutes?

    Ozil or Pepe?

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ozil

    2. Gonzola
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe Pepe just over two games

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I would assume Pepe.

      1. kamdaraji
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Ozil

  6. LE CHARO
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hi fellas ! Using my BB in 30+, no WC left. G2G?

    Henderson, Leno
    TAA, Lundstram, Egan, Saïss, Lascelles
    Mané, KDB, Fernandes, Grealish, Barnes
    Agüero (C), Jiménez, Nketiah

  7. JelliedSpark968
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) Justin, Davis, McBurnie (play McBurnie, bench others)

    OR

    B) Robinson, Barnes/Sarr, Nketiah (play Barnes/Sarr, bench others)

  8. Srv210
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I guess I'll be going with ALONSO then ,it's a risk with BB ..but can be a good differential too if this works

  9. CrouchDown
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Leno Henderson

    Baldock Lundstram Targett Lascelles A.Smith

    Grealish Sterling(C) McGinn KDB Mahrez

    Aubam Jimenez Ayew

  10. Moose™
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Repost. Please. Need help here. Pages flying fast.

    Ryan Button

    TAA Soyuncu Stephens Lascelles Simpson

    Salah Mane KdB Sarr Cantwell

    Auba Jimenez Greenwood

    0 ITB, WC, BB, FH still intact.

    FH this week?

    1. DF
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

      1. Moose™
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. BB seems a bit wasted since I still have my WC.

  11. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Last piece of the puzzle

    A) Duda
    B) Cantwell
    C) Saka

    1. Srv210
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Same dillema

    2. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      duda because for some reason their differential article always hits

    3. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I have B & C
      lol

    4. Big Ronnie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Dude. Good stats before.

    5. FPLShaqiri
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cantwell. Don;t know much about Duda but Cant is proven. Saka probably will get similar minutes to the Norwich guys despite being DGW and it might be at LB.

    6. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    7. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  12. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best combo for BB30

    A: Boly + Pepe + Sterling + Samatta
    B: Doherty + El Ghazi + Mahrez + Auba

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. UnitednationsXI
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, been on B mostly but trying to find ways for sterling.

        Contemplating doing TAA >> Boly to afford Mahrez > Sterling. THoughts on this?

  13. El Presidente
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I want to log off but I cant do it!!!

    HELP!!!!

      1. El Presidente
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thats just nasty dude!!! WTF

  14. Jimmy Boy
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) Ederson and Stevens
    B) Henderson and Doherty/Alonso

    1. Jimmy Boy
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      For this GW only by the way, cheers

    2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      b with doherty but i wil try to squeeze both

    3. Barnabus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  15. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any preference for this week only. BB this week

    A. Auba/Saka/Cant
    B. Nketiah/Mahrez/Mount

    1. LE CHARO
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I like B

      1. JoeSoap
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. Probably do myself. Currently have A.

  16. Ace Ventura
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is now the time to play TC? Dont have WC and im saving FH.
    Sems a gamble but always is.

    1) I have KDB, Sterling and Aguero - play TC on one of these on the rotation gamble?
    2) Wait until we know who is in form and go for a single GW TC later?

    1. Ace Ventura
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      ** don't have BB

  17. Ady87
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sorry this has been asked loads I’m sure.

    Pick 2

    A) Lund
    B) Egan
    C) Stephens

    Also, is there any better SGW keeper than Leno this week only?

  18. FPLShaqiri
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Last 3 slots in the bench boost. One of these players will have to play GW32 (*) before I do WC33, so fixtures below:

    A) Ederson (Ars, Bur), Norwood (Avl, New), Abraham (Avl, Whu*)

    B) Henderson (Avl, New), Mahrez (Ars, Bur, Liv*), Nketiah (Mci, Bha)

  19. nadman89
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    i thought i was done with my team , but seeing everyone with the lord scares me , have egan can upgrade to lundstrum . are we sure he plays both games , hes been coming off the bench since they got berge

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lol

      No we are not sure he starts both games.

    2. Fabregasm
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      We're not sure at all, but he definitely has a high ceiling if he plays 2 games with CS potential and goal threat

  20. Fabregasm
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Please help me with me last minute BB decisions 🙂
    A) Özil + Saiss + Robinson
    B) Saka + Doherty + Lundstram

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  21. Better Call Raul
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    On a Free Hit

    Already have 3 Ars, Shef and City plus Grealish.

    Currently have TAA occupying 11th slot, is he the best option or should I find another Villa player or even Doherty/Alonso?

    1. Crump
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd consider Doherty.

    2. Moose™
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You have WC and BB intact?

      1. Better Call Raul
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Nope just the free hit which I'm using

    3. DF
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd have doherty and alonso ahead of any arsenal player apart from aubameyang

      1. Better Call Raul
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Even with the double?

  22. Crump
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone getting Robinson?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No Jack!

  23. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed wow this is fast 🙂

    Wk 38 team (0.4 ITB)

    De Gea/McCarthy
    Alonso, TAA, Boly, O'Connell,Tanganga
    Salah, Bruno, KDB, Barnes, Fleck
    DCL, Jiminez, VArdy

    Would you FH for a couple of Transfers and BB?

    No TC or WC left

    Cheers

  24. United10
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    which one is a better pick
    a)Norwood
    b) Saka

    1. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Norwood

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      a

  25. checkit_j
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    If I take Salah out I can free up funds to have

    Mount /Auba/Kun and Jimi/Jota

    Is that better than having Salah /Tammy/ Kun/ Jota?

  26. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    5.1m left for my last Sheffield defender spot....Gotta be Baldock over Lundstram right?

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      no way has to be lundstorm imo

    2. gryffsonofarthur
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      lord

  27. FPLPiggy
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    It all comes down to this;

    El Ghazi + Pukki

    or

    Mount + Samatta

    1. Crump
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  28. gryffsonofarthur
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A)Lundstram Saiss Cantwell Mcginn

    Or

    B) Lundstram Targett Cantwell Mount

    1. Crump
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      cantwell to duda and upgrade saiss?

  29. FPL_DON
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Are we going to get scout picks?

  30. SoShy
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any news of Alonso.. could be a great differential