Spot the Differential

The best FPL differentials to consider for the new season

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

Best players by position:

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2,172 Comments Post a Comment
  1. OldBenKenobi
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Justin(wba) or Vinagre(shu) for GW1 only?

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Justin

    2. BremerHB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Justin

    3. Tempestic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Vinagre

  2. Bavarian
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Final Version 🙂

    McCarthy
    TAA-Doherty-Egan
    Salah-Aubameyang-ASM-Soucek
    Kane-Werner-Mitrovic

    Nyland-Mitchell-Bissouma-Amartey

    1. Drizz ✅
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      asm soucek playing against each other?

    2. Tinmen
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      I like this. What’s your plan for United tho ?

      1. Bavarian
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Either Kane -Martial or Salah - Bruno

  3. Tinmen
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Folks, yet another one. Apologies
    How’s this ?

    McCarthy
    Trent James Davies
    Salah Auba JWP Son
    Wilson Werner Nketiah

    Button Taylor Mitchell Bissouma

    1. Drizz ✅
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Nketiah starting?

      1. OldBenKenobi
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Should do

    2. ArseneAllTheWay
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      good to go, back nketiah to start initially, looked v sharp for England u21s

    3. antis0cial
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      I'm not sure if James starts, rest looks good if you're willing to punt on Nketiah minutes vs Laca

  4. Malinwa
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Bottomed.

    Justin - Vinagre or KWP ?

    1. merin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      KWP

  5. Jafooli
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Cannot decide between:

    A. Ayew
    B. Mitrovic
    C. Adams

    Cast your votes, please and thank you....

    1. Wake me up before sanogo
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      C - fixtures, great after lockdown.

    2. Drizz ✅
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      niether however would say C

    3. merin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      It's B or C for me. Got B and considering changing him for C

      1. Jafooli
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Yeah, I guess Southampton are better than Fulham right?

    4. TONY123
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Not A. B edges it over C for me as he's Fulham's talisman player.

      1. Bavarian
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        This

    5. Egg noodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      2 votes for Adams. Because he is that much better.

    6. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      B

    7. Original Pirate Material
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      C

  6. Wake me up before sanogo
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    A) Kane, Soucek, bench fodder df
    B) Alli, Antonio, Taylor (Bu)

    1. BremerHB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      A

  7. southernrocker1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Need some defensive help please.

    Currently locked in for GW1:
    McCarthy
    TAA, Justin,

    Who from these to join them (& don't want to double up anywhere)

    A) Doherty, Mitchell, Taylor (Mitchell will have to play)
    B) Doherty, Mitchell, Lascelles (Lascelles plays)
    C) Dier/Davies, Egan, Taylor

    I really want to keep Doherty where possible but don't want the rest of my defence to be too guff.

  8. Jafooli
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Pages flying...as if the season starts soon.....

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Can't wait

  9. Sanchit
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Doherty nailed on to start GW1?

  10. RED_ARMY
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    No love for Doherty? Don't see him in many drafts.

    1. Oooof
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      I’m having him

    2. Egg noodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Aurier could start. There is no evidence.

  11. KINGS
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Guys. Are benching a Manu player on GW1 or getting one on GW2?

    1. Drizz ✅
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      the love for manutd..as if they were fighting for the title

      1. Qaiss
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Yeah I agree tbh. Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, perhaps even Spurs have better options and they all have better fixtures too.

      2. mrmojorisin8
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        The same could be said of Chelsea, not a single draft I've seen is absent a Chelsea forward...

        1. Qaiss
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Chelsea will challenge, Man United won't

          1. mrmojorisin8
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            A few attackers does not a challenge make. Chelsea need to sort their defence and keeper situation out before they can challenge.

            1. Qaiss
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              We shall see, but I think they are in a better position than Man United and they also have nicer fixtures. Man United have a nice first 2, then it's hard after that.

            2. enrico.palazzo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Carbs, is that you?

    2. Egg noodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Getting in GW2

    3. UnluckyXI
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      GW2 as I really want Martial or Bruno and that's too much to have on the bench.

      My plan is Salah to Bruno then use the 1.5 to turn a 7.0 mid into Havertz a week later

  12. Bambi
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Soucek! YES

    1. cassanata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Only thing putting me off are those fixutres.

      1. Ser Davos
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        He looks an outlier in all depts so just use him I say

        Not too concerned with fix, but possibly WHM overall. Again, I think he could defy all that

  13. Catastrophe
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Hi,

    Current Team:

    McCarthy
    TAA, Davies, KWP
    Salah, Aubameyang, Son, ASM, Soucek
    Werner, Wilson

    (Nyland, Mitchell, Taylor, Davis)

    Any suggestions? 2.0 ITB (0.5 spare and 1.5 for Son -> Fernandes GW2)

    Thx.

  14. BremerHB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    A or B?

    A) TAA - Robbo - Alli - Pulisic - DCL (3-4-3)
    B) TAA - Egan - Son - Salah - 4.5 (4-4-2)

  15. billnats
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    A) 4.5MID + Martial
    B) Greenwood + Mitrovic

    A let’s me get a big scorer with job security. 4.5 Mid on bench.

    B allows for two decent scorers. But Greenwood not the job security.

    1. BremerHB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      A

  16. Nightcrawler
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Guys how is this for a Bench Boost draft???

    Johnstone Mcarthy

    Mitchell Holding Dier TAA Robbo

    ASM Salah Auba Soucek Alli

    Ings Antonio Adams

  17. LewanGOALski
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Tierney worth gambling at 5.5?
    Or rather go Boly or Coady+0.5 ?

    1. Drizz ✅
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      have a feeling tierney will get a knock

    2. TONY123
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Honestely think Tierney's overpriced, hasn't done anything to be at 5.5.

    3. Sterling Malory
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Go Tierney, worth the extra 0.5 imo

    4. SoapAFC
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Tierney will also be playing at lcb, not lwb, so points potential is less from an attacking perspective

  18. 0james0
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 12 days ago

    I currently have 3 x 4.5m defenders, I'm actually happy with all of them. But my team is set up in a way that I can rotate them, with 2 playing.
    They are Vinagre, KWP and Justin. I've realised for a rotation it makes sense for a rotation to look at their clubs, so ideally I should have Sheff Utd/ Southampton, or Leicester/ Burnley.

    KWP is prob the best of the 3, so would like to keep him, but can't afford a Sheff Utd defender!

    Any ideas?

    1. Ser Davos
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      FPL is a messy, chaotic business. Pick your favoured three and don't get too dainty with precise rotations

  19. Ser Davos
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Heavyweight move alert

    Mitchell to Ferguson

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Why

      1. Ser Davos
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Mitchell short term, Ferguson long term

  20. Cassitya
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Thoughts:

      McCarthy
      Saliba, Robertson, KWP
      Salad, PEA, Alli, ASM
      Werner, Ings, Wilson

      Bench:
      Steer
      Justin
      Soucheck
      Mitchell

      See you in the top 1000

    • panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Is Saiss's place under threat from Marcal?

    • shalji
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      McCarthy
      TAA Vinagre Doherty
      Mane Havertz Saint-Maximin Aubameyang
      Adams Werner Antonio

      Subs - Nyland, Bissouma, Mitchell, Taylor

      G2G? Appreciate your thoughts and time guys

    • ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Ivanovic to West Brom expected to be completed today!

      1. Drizz ✅
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Branislav?

        1. AzzaroMax99
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Ana 😉

        2. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Yes siree

        3. farmerfat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          The one and only

      2. zøphar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

      3. Azathoth
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        How old is he now...80?

        1. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Almost - 36

    • bootsmanus
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Which is better?

      A) Son, Robbo, Ings
      B) Alli, Egan, Werner

      1. Ings_is_the_king
          1 month, 12 days ago

          A

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Soucek is back and all fine...

        Yesssss

        1. Drizz ✅
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          great now everyone will have him

      3. CedricWJL
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        A) Doherty & Dele
        B) Davies & Son

        Thanks.

        1. Greative
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Since we don't know if Doherty plays, I would go for B. But currently have A myself...

      4. Lignja
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        So who are best 4.5m defender today :)?

        1. Cassitya
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Saliba

          • Drizz ✅
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Justin B

        2. Ings_is_the_king
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Mitchell, Robertson and Bruno or Egan, KWP, Salah. Mitchell will stay on bench and will rotate between Egan and KWP in other.

          • AzzaroMax99
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            G2G for tomorrow?

            McCarthy
            VVD Vinagre Davies
            Auba(C) Salah Pulisic Soucek
            Mitro Kane Ings

            Steer Anguissa Dallas Johnson

          • Kuzser
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Which bunch would you prefer guys?
            1) McCarthy - Vinagre Justin - Salah - Adams
            2) Ramsdale - Robbo Davies - ASM - Ings

            XXX (Button)
            TAA XXX XXX (Douglas Taylor)
            Auba Havertz Alli XXX (Bissouma)
            Werner Mitro XXX