Gameweek Guide

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for Gameweek 38

The end of the most unusual season is upon us, and with it comes the final opportunity to climb the ranks or claim mini-league glory.

The usual mix of dead-rubbers and motivated teams is slightly diluted this season with the title and relegation places settled ahead of time, but the battle for the top four and the remaining European spots remains wide open.

And Gameweek 38 has a reputation for the unexpected. 

Take Theo Walcott’s 34-minute hat-trick against West Bromwich Albion at the end of the 2014/15 campaign, or the ten goals shared equally between the Baggies and Manchester United in Sir Alex Ferguson’s last game in charge.

This year, West Brom could be involved in another high-scoring affair when they visit a fan-filled Elland Road. The Leeds United faithful celebrating not only their first season back in the Premier League for 17 years but also their Championship victory from 10 months ago.

With the cricket season already underway, could we see a cricket score in the football?

The last round of matches all kick-off simultaneously, as is tradition on the final day of the season, handing us a Sunday deadline of 14:30 BST.

Celebration and Motivation

Just as they did in midweek, the home sides will benefit from playing in front of their supporters. Although, as Spurs discovered against Aston Villa, a poor performance can quickly change the mood. Boos ringing out at the Tottenham Hotspur stadium before half-time. 

But with Marcelo Bielsa’s side finishing the season strongly, Leeds United are not expected to suffer the same fate. 

Hotly tipped by Zophar, the Pro Pundit is backing Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) and co to push him towards his eighth top 10,000 finish. The combination of in-form striker against porous defence appeals:

Bamford tops the xG non-penalty numbers (1.73) for Leeds over the last four matches and has landed at least double the number of shots on target (six) compared to any other Leeds player. West Brom have conceded a massive 50 shots on target over the last six Gameweeks; that’s an average of over eight a game!

When selecting his shortlist of favoured armband candidates, Captain Sensible writer Jan put Bamford in third.

The Whites have only lost one of their last eight matches at Elland Road and put five goals past Sam Allardyce’s men the last time the two sides met. Since then, the Baggies’ fortunes have not changed, conceding at least two goals in six of their last eight league outings.

There was, however, a word of caution voiced for those considering Bamford.

Neale, the doyen of the team news, warned of reduced minutes for several of the Leeds contingent due to farewell appearances for long-serving players Gaetano Berardi (£4.0m) and Pablo Hernandez (£5.7m). 

I would not be shocked if [Bamford] got 60 or 70 minutes.

– Neale

Nonetheless three of Bielsa’s men are selected in the final Scout Picks of the season. 

The known absentees for the Whites are Illan Meslier (£4.8m) in goal, Mateusz Klich (£5.2m) and Diego Llorente (£4.4m). Meslier missing out has left many managers contemplating a hit for a goalkeeper, something Neale advised against, even if it meant going with ten men.

Across the Pennines, Manchester City’s line-up is, as ever, hard to predict. And this weekend they are joined in that respect by their local rivals Manchester United, who play in the Europa League final on Wednesday. 

Manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer promised to “make a few changes” with Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) among those not guaranteed a starting spot.

Going for Gold

All this means that Liverpool offer the best captain options. 

Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) and Sadio Mané (£11.8m) are not only Jan’s top picks but also those of Tom and Andy among our four Scout Picks selectors. 

Ahead of facing a side he scored 16 points against earlier in the season, Mohamed Salah is top among all midfielders for expected goal involvement (xGI) over the last four matches. Just two players have more shots in the box than him over the last six, suggesting he will be giving his all to win the Golden Boot race on Sunday.

– Scout Picks

And our Big Numbers article pointed to an encouraging statistic for Mané owners.

Seven – the number of consecutive Premier League games that Sadio Mané has scored in against Crystal Palace. In the league’s history, only Robin van Persie (against Stoke City) has scored in eight consecutive matches against an opponent.

– Big Numbers

What’s more, Liverpool need to win to ensure Champions League football for next season.

The Reds are currently level on points with Leicester City but are above them in the table thanks to their superior goal difference. However, a big win for the Foxes by five goals or more would put real pressure on on Jurgen Klopp’s side.

An unlikely scenario, perhaps, but Liverpool may want to bag a few goals against Crystal Palace just to be on the safe side.

And the Eagles have an abysmal record against their hosts, having lost their last seven matches against them by an aggregate score of 22 goals to five.

The one spanner in the works could be that this is Roy Hodgson’s final game in charge. 

Part of me thinks they are going to be right up for this and I don’t think they are going to roll over.

– David, Captaincy Video

However improbable, a repeat of the scoreline on Sir Alex Ferguson’s last day in the Old Trafford hot seat would be welcomed by Fantasy managers, with the obvious exception of Liverpool fans.

Anfield was also set to be the petri dish for David’s new ‘equal opportunities’ captain experiment.

Speaking on the Captaincy Video with Joe, David suggested the radical idea of handing the armband to the best candidate based on their qualifications alone. He highlighted a player who has scored in each of the last four Gameweeks, has had the most shots over the last six matches, and is up against the team that has conceded more big chances than anyone else.

However, that player, Christian Benteke, is now an injury doubt and has been left out of Neale’s predicted line-up. The experiment will, unfortunately, have to wait until the new season.

Must Win

The best Neto replacements and whether FPL managers should stick with Fernandes

As mentioned, Leicester City’s need not only to win but ideally by a big margin, thrusts Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.2m) into the spotlight. 

The Foxes forward has 11 goals in 11 matches and faces a Spurs side who conceded 20 shots in their home encounter with Aston Villa.

But the fact that Brendan Rodgers could instruct his team to go for it at some stage, may benefit Harry Kane (£11.9m) if it means Leicester leave themselves open at the back. The want-away Spurs forward has an impressive record against the newly-crowned FA Cup winners, scoring 14 goals in 11 Premier League meetings.

Encouragingly for those backing Kane, influential centre-half Jonny Evans (£5.6m) is set to sit out the King Power clash with injury. His presence at the back was sorely missed in the 4-2 home defeat to Newcastle United in Gameweek 35:

[The injury to Jonny Evans was] very disruptive. He’s a great talker. With Caglar and Wesley, they are both fantastic talents but Jonny is the brain in there and he organises them so for him to come out was a big blow for us.

– Brendan Rodgers, after the Gameweek 35 defeat to Newcastle

Elsewhere, Michail Antonio (£6.7m) boasts impressive underlying stats for West Ham’s clash with Southampton.

Over the last four matches, no forward has registered a higher xG non-penalty (2.52) than the Hammers forward.

– Zophar

And Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side have not done well on the road: 

Nine defeats for Southampton in their 10 away league fixtures this calendar year. The Saints, who travel to West Ham United this weekend, have conceded 30 goals in these nine defeats, scoring just seven in return. Their sole win on the road in 2021 was at relegated Sheffield United.

– Big Numbers

Don’t Look Back in Anger

Pro Pundits Simon March and Lateriser were both in reflective mood ahead of the season finale.Simon counselled on the perils of hindsight bias, while Lateriser rued his early season overconfidence.

“We are more likely to apply hindsight to negative outcomes than positive ones … The key to overcoming hindsight bias is learning to evaluate decisions based on their logic rather than their outcome. Rationally-speaking, the outcome should be irrelevant if the logic used in the decision-making process was sound.” – Simon March

And this is where Lateriser feels he let himself down at times, believing he could create whatever narrative he wanted and going against logic. He cited the example of ignoring Mohamed Salah in Gameweek 1 when Liverpool took on newly-promoted Leeds United.

All the same, the three time top 200 manager is still in love with FPL.

“I was actually very surprised by how much I enjoyed a green arrow despite the poor rank. It gave me genuine delight and that little bit of a good run I had in the past few Gameweeks.” – Lateriser

Community Competitions and Head-to-Head Fixtures

UEFA Champions League Fantasy Football is back - what you need to know 3

Following the quick turnaround of recent weeks, Neale recapped on the winners of our two cup competitions. Congratulations to Genovoze and Mohd Rodzi on their respective triumphs in the FFS Open Cup and FFS Members Cup.

And well done to Jambo17 who added a third-place finish in the FFS Open Cup to his 2018/19 runners-up spot in the Members Cup. Likewise Rossaldinho, who overcame SUNFLOWER to take the bronze medal in this year’s Members Cup.

RedLightning brought us his regular update on the community competitions, which included a look at the Grand Final of Last Man Standing.

The competition, run every year by TorresMagic, eliminates the lowest-scoring managers each Gameweek until just four managers remain to battle it out in the final round. 

The Hsuper One adds his name to the list of winners after overcoming Robert Tuck (aka COVID-CASUAL), Steven Schelk (aka The Suspended One), and Amit Sharma in Gameweek 37. Many congratulations to him.

And despite his cup success Callum Croal (aka Jambo17) will be one of the ten managers relegated from the top division in our Head-to-Head Leagues.

Gameweek 38 sees David Arblaster, in eleventh, take on Richard Clarke, in tenth, to decide the final relegation spot. Meanwhile Aleksander Våge Nilsen (aka AleksanderVN) will be hoping for a win or a draw to ensure he claims the ultimate prize of Head-to-Head League Champion. Ville Tuominen (aka Santigold) lies in wait should he slip up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38 can be found below. 

The scores and tables update every night on the Head-to-Head Leagues main page so you can keep track of the action as the Gameweek unfolds. 

For the last time this season, may your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.”

2,761 Comments Post a Comment
  1. McPollolocco
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Will mahrez play today?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Quite possibly for an hour or so.

    2. Fodderx4
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Really don't know but i have him as well and i'm not sure if i should start him or Greendwood.

  2. Miro
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Bruno to Auba, DCL to Firmino (c) worth a -4 ? Chasing 14 points in my mini league.

    1. Fodderx4
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      It could pay off and is worth the risk IMO.

    2. Salan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Go ahead. I did the similar.

    3. teknicolourfox
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Brave, like it... might as well go all in.

  3. thom830g
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Im 5 behind in mini league. To hit or not to hit?

    Team is
    Mendy
    Dias - Coady - Digne
    Son - Salah (C) - Lingard - Raph
    Kane (VC) - Iheanacho - Bamf

    (Areola - JWP - Shaw - Reguilon)

    Dont think Shaw will play and potentially not Dias either, so:
    A) Do nothing
    B) Shaw -> Dallas (-4)

    1. Miro
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      B

      1. thom830g
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 27 days ago

        Cheers. Then play dias - Digne - Dallas at the back?

  4. Mane Mane Mane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Greenwood to Mane for a hit?

    1. D1B
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      No, not if you have one bench player (anyone that will play)

  5. Jdpz
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Will Forster play?

    1. D1B
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      If Has keeps his two system rotation then yes. Wouldn't sell or buy though

  6. Mr Ozil
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Repost:

    Play Vydra or Rudiger (already playing Mendy)?

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Rudiger

    2. Miro
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Vydra

    3. CR7 is Home
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Rudiger

    4. D1B
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Vydra

    5. BERGKOP
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Rudiger

  7. Djemba-Djemba
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    any news on pereira?

  8. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Mendy Forster
    TAA Reguilion Shaw Holding Phillips
    Salah Son Mahrez Greenwood Lingard
    Kane DCL Antonio

    A) DCL + Mahrez > Bamford + Raphinha (bench Greenwood + Holding)

    B) DCL + Shaw > Bamford + Dallas (Play Greenwood + bench Mahrez)

  9. cigan
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Mount or Torres?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Torres

  10. tinear
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    TAA for -4 or play Digne?

    1. BERGKOP
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Same dilemma. Play Digne I think

  11. BERGKOP
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Start Digne or Shaw?

    1. tinear
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      My other dilemma too. Would play Digne over Shaw.

      1. BERGKOP
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 27 days ago

        Haha tough one. Good luck!

    2. Free Hat
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Im not risking a cameo, so going Digne myself

      1. BERGKOP
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 27 days ago

        Cheers!

  12. asdf_1
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Today's #mufc lineup

    Hendo

    Williams
    Bailly
    Jones
    Telles

    Matic
    Donny

    Amad
    Mata
    Greenwood

    Elanga
    https://twitter.com/markgoldbridge/status/1396443196503183362

    1. DA Minnion (Legendary manag…
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Would make sense.

    2. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Rumoured*

    3. mynameisq
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Isn't that just MEN's predicted line up, rather than a leak

    4. Miro
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      how reliable?

    5. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      I reckon Greenwood does start this as it'll be this front four in the final:

      Cavani
      Pogba Bruno Rashford

      Greenwood will come on for Rash/Cavani or another at some point.

      It's just not a great XI to line up in today. Mind, didn't stop him vs. Leicester. I'm taking a risk benching him.

      1. Andy_Social
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 27 days ago

        The prob for a Greenie-owner is not whether he starts - he will. It's whether he'll get more than 2 points with such dross behind him.

    6. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      wolves may score a few goals for once

    7. AC/DC AFC
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Greenwood still first on my bench!

    8. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Fabio Silva essential

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 27 days ago

        Could be, he’s improving. Someone said yesterday Neves and Saiss might get returns which sounds reasonable

  13. GoonerSteve
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Dcl to Nacho for a -4 worth it?

    Opponent has Nacho and I'm 7 ahead.

    Would mean benching JWP

    1. Hulk Smash
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      I think so.

  14. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Final final decision, bench one:
    A. Greenwood
    B. Lingard
    C. Iheanacho

    1. CR7 is Home
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      A

    2. Saka_me_sideways
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Lingard

    3. Catastrophe
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      B

    4. D1B
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      A then B imo

    5. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Thanks guys benching Greenwood it is due to the prospective minutes

  15. Weeb Kakashi
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    City Lineup would be a life saver.

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Let me know if you get one!

  16. Hulk Smash
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Willock or Foden?

    Bamford or Iheanacho?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Willock Bamford

    2. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Wilock and Bamford most reliable
      Nacho could do well though with Leicester going for a big win

    3. teknicolourfox
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Willock and Nacho

  17. Saka_me_sideways
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Start:

    A) Watkins
    B) Mahrez
    C) Mane -4 pts

    1. D1B
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Definitely not C. B imo

  18. endrent
    3 months, 27 days ago

    3p ahead in mini league. Do i go Maguire to Tierney or Maguire+Rashford to Holding+Mané for a - 4?

  19. Nemanja Vidic
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    1FT 0.0 ITB
    -14 behind rival in mini league

    Mendy
    TAA Rudiger Holding
    Salah Son Greenwood Raph
    Kane DCL Antonio
    Forster Regulion Ward Jota

    RIVAL: 1FT
    Mendy
    Philips Holding Dallas
    Fernandes Salah Son Greenwood Raphinha
    Bamford Kane
    Forster Coady Vydra Amartey

    a) DCL & Jota -> Firmino & Saka
    b) Greenwood & DCL -> ESR & Aguero
    c) Son & Jota -> Mane & ESR
    d) Something else

  20. sunzip14
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    One last confirmation before hitting the transfer button!!!

    Which one to bring in from the following three? Trying to protect 8 point lead at the top of my ML. I expect my rival in 2nd position to bring in one of Bamford/Antonio by selling Watkins.

    A) Antonio ( We both have Lingz)
    B) Bamford (We both have Raph)
    C) TAA ( I have Phillips), rival in 2nd has TAA

    1. CR7 is Home
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      C

  21. DycheDycheBaby
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Choose one:
    a) JWP --> Raphinha
    b) Digne --> Robertson
    c) both for -4

    1. tokara
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      B for me

  22. tabby98
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Mendy, Forster
    TAA, Dias, Shaw, Rudiger, Coady
    Salah, Bruno, Lingard, Saka, Raphinha
    Kane, Antonio, Vydra

    1FT £0.8m ITB

    What should i do here guys?

  23. MightyGar
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Season (nearly) over!

    Good luck everyone!

  24. Catastrophe
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Start DCL over Watkins with City leaking goals?

  25. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Is it worth it to do a -4 for JWP to Lingard? (Watkins will be benched instead of JWP)

    1. Catastrophe
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Doubt it. Lingard off form and JWP doing pretty well?

  26. yanky
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    a) robertson
    b) digne + 4

    who scores more??

    1. Daghe Munegu
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      A

    2. Bonus magnet
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      b

    3. FPL_Motty
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Not worth the hit. Play digne

    4. BERGKOP
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      B

  27. Dirty_Harry
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Quick vote?

    1. Play DCL
    2. Play Greenwood
    3. DCL > Bamford -4
    4. Greenwood > Torres/Pepe -4

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      2

    2. bros
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Defo 2

    3. BERGKOP
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      2

  28. RomeluAndJuliet
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Is DCL, Bruno and Jota -> Antonio, Raphinha and Mané worth it for a -4?

    1. sunzip14
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Probably yes

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Sure

    3. BurlingtonDriftersFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      yep

    4. Bench-Life
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 27 days ago

      I would - Bruno and Jota questionable to start

  29. Pall Mall
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    Meslier and Dubravka, does any of them playing today?

    1. Andy_Social
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Meslier confirmed no.
      I've got Dubby and BPF. I need one of them to start and am sweating on last-minute news.

  30. Bonus magnet
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 27 days ago

    is bruno 100% not playing a major part of the game?

    1. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Really think so

    2. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 27 days ago

      Well not 100 % but likely