Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Do I Not Like Orange
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Can just about field 11 as things stand - stick of take a hit for Antonio > Watkins?

    Rambo
    TAA Cancelo Alonso James
    Silva Salah Jota Foden ESR
    Wilson

    1. Do I Not Like Orange
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      *stick OR take a hit

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Hit.

    3. Francescoli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Bring in Watkins

  2. EffPeeEll
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Talking heads saying Bilva isn't worth taking a hit for if you're considering taking a hit to swap for Foden.

    taken off as a precaution it's being said.

    I watched him as an owner t'other night and he seemed to be dropping out of the back of the tv as the first half wore on.

    I'm swapping for Foden

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      It was a hard watch but still should have scored in the early minutes.

      1. EffPeeEll
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        yep missed a sitter.

        doubt he starts?

    2. Cheeky Onion
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Que Foden benching & Bilva haul

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Kind of what am thinking

      2. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Que?

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Bilva had the 2nd highest xG of all City players last match, only beaten KDB...

  3. dshv
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Taa James Cancelo reguilon
    Salah Foden Jota ESR
    Watkins

    Foster, Ronaldo, livra, davis, gallagher
    1ft 0.1 itb..

    Reguilon to cash ???

    1. Francescoli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Reguilon should play. Saka for Gallagher?

  4. Cheeky Onion
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you (C) and (VC) out of:

    Salah
    Foden
    Cancelo

    I'm leaning (F)oden with Salah (VC) since my Cup opponent doesn't have Foden and is fielding a full squad unlike me

    1. Francescoli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I’m going Cancelo this week. A good chance for a clean sheet and attacking return.

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Salah with Watkins VC, just in case.

      Captain Foden if you want but I'd have a Saturday vice.

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        This is certainly the wise move - not many inspiring picks for Saturday tho. Perhaps Watkins has it in him for another haul

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Salah has a goal or assist in his last 15 games. I think he outscores Foden.

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Tougher fixture, but with Spurs out of action for a little while they might be ripe for the picking

    4. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Really tempted to captain Foden

  5. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ooofff
    Just finished watching Swan Song.

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Sounds awful

  6. Francescoli
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    A -8 on the cards to get 11 players on the park. What would you do here (1.7 in the bank)?

    A) DDG and Livra -> Ederson and Cash
    B) DDG and King -> Ramsdale and Wood
    C) Steele and Livra -> Ramsdale and Targett

    DDG*
    Alonso Janes TAA Cancelo
    Salah Jota Foden Raphinha
    Watkins King*

    Steele* Pukki* Gallagher* Livramento*

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      DDG & Livra > Ram & Targett

    2. Drumandbaines123
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I would do DDG to Ramsdale and Gallagher to Mount

  7. King Kun Ta
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Chance of gametime for Bilva?

    1. bazbestos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      8%

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      50/50

  8. CRAZY TRAIN
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Chances of Bilva starting?

    1. bazbestos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      74%

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Fifty/Fifty

  9. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Option A seems silly right? Which one would you go for?

    A. Gilmour and Pukki to Foden and Watkins (-4) tonight (imminent price rises and exact funds)
    B. Gilmour and Antonio to Foden and Watkins (-4) tomorrow
    C. Gallagher and Pukki to Foden and Watkins (-4) tomorrow
    D. Priorities Foden or Watkins and play with 9 players

    1FT 5.4TB
    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo
    Salah Jota Bernardo Gilmour*
    Antonio* Pukki*
    (Foster* Gallagher* King* Livramento*)

    1. Drumandbaines123
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I would do option A

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      A

  10. Manani
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    which of the 2? bare in mind I still ahve WC, so dont need them for more than 3GW

    A. Gallagher -> Foden
    B. Antonio -> Watkins/Laca
    C. Livermento -> Cash/Diaz

    1. Surgical Attack
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I did A+B

      1. Manani
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        watkins I assume?

        1. Surgical Attack
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          yes, couldnt stretch funds

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      AB Watkins

  11. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Chances of Bernardo starting?

    1. bazbestos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      3%

  12. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    One simple choice this GW (got it wrong last GW getting Antonio over Watkins).

    A) Anronio, punt
    B) Watkins , safe choice

    Cheers!

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Since Antonio isn't playing this GW, I'll give it to Watkins by a hair

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        😳 should read Lacazétte

        1. Cheeky Onion
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          I'd take Laca this weekend, but Watkins medium term

          1. Pompel
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 5 months ago

            Difficult choice, as we don't know who'll be playing medium term

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Antonio isn't playing this weekend

  13. Surgical Attack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Sa
    White James TAA Cancelo Livra
    Gallagher Salah Jota Son Gilmore
    Antonio Dennis Wilson

    I did Antonio + Gallagher -> Foden + Watkins, didnt wanna lose Gallagher but this looks so much better after and can field 11. Maybe next week will see to downgrade Wilson to Broja and upgrade Gilmore to maybe Arsenal mid, Bowen or Gallagher back. I have kept Son for so long in the hope that he will play doesnt make sense to downgrade.

    Any fb?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Concern with Son is he was one of the players that tested positive for COVID. We don't know how he will recover if he was symptomatic

      1. Surgical Attack
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        you think its worth downgrading worth -4 right now?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          Probably not for a hit. Spurs have a game, just unsure the condition of the players that tested positive

  14. bazbestos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    A, bring in Watkins
    B, watch Nutty Professor 2: The Klumps

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      B

  15. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Captain Mo, Cancelo or Foden?

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      See my thread above

    2. Surgical Attack
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Mo for me

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Salah

    4. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      mo betta

  16. King Kun Ta
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Bilva or Cornet to Foden? Ta!

    1. bazbestos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Bilba only 22% to start

      1. Baron Penguin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        You should expand that to include decimal places. 22.237645% I think.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Cornetto

  17. HD7
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    1.5 ITB, 1FT:

    Lukaku to Watkins, Sissoko to Foden/Mount(-4) ?

    Any better ideas?

    Ramsdale
    Trent Rudi Cancelo James
    Saka Salah Bernardo Bowen*
    Antonio* Lukaku*

    Steele Livra Sissoko Scarlett

  18. Apollo Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Is this the best week for a FH or do we anticipate postponements in future GWs where City/Pool/Chelsea/Ars blank?
    Have 5 players out, 2FTs to play with.

    1. Lilac Breasted Roller
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      who's to say

      May be worth it unless you already have the big points targets

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Team dependant. Wouldn't even think of using it if you can get 9/10/11 out for free.

      1. Apollo Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Ramsdale
        James TAA Cancelo
        Gallagher Salah Jota Bilva
        Antonio Ronaldo Dennis
        Bench: Marcal and Brownhill

        Would do Antonio & Gallagher to Watkins & ESR

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I'm considering it. If I do I'll have Ronaldo next week and won't have changed my GK so can get DdG in. All my blanking players from this week will come back rested, ready to go and with future DGWs. I'm not sure why everyone is so against it

  19. Lilac Breasted Roller
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    From next GW on, which would you rather own
    A) Bowen
    B) Gallagher
    C) ESR

    1. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      B long term

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Probably B, maybe C

      1. Lilac Breasted Roller
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        thanks gents

  20. Hits from the Bong
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    A. Bernado+Steele to ESR+Ramsdale for free? (Leaves exact money for Locadia to Broja next GW)
    B. Bernado+Locadia to Ramsey+Watkins

    Sanchez*
    TAA James Cancelo Reguilon
    Salah Son Silva Foden Jota
    Antonio*

    Steele* Dennis* Livramento* Locadia*

  21. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ok so I can get Ronaldo back for a -4 so am thinking of doing Gallagher and Ronaldo to Foden/De Bruyne and Watkins.

    Best wait for tomorrow though right.

  22. Man Chest Hair United
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Sterling Captain a decent punt this week?

    Should start right?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Not guaranteed to start

  23. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Livra to White or Antonio to Laca ?

    1. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Depends on the rest of your team

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      White

    3. Man Chest Hair United
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Laca way more upside

    4. Lilac Breasted Roller
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      considering tierney over white

      1. No Kane No Gain
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        This

  24. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Pep fit for game tomorrow- only injury is Torres with rest of squad fit to travel

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Where’d you get that?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Report on Sky Sports- Pep COVID test negative

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          Sweet. Hope that stops all the Bilva questions.

    2. Man Chest Hair United
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Still can’t know who will start for sure.

      I bough sterling in last week for a 0 hoping he can start this week

      1. Fabreghastly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        You'd expect Cancelo, Sterling, Jesus and KdB but you never know with Pep

  25. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Chances of foden starting?

  26. Kaneyonero
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Free hit or use 2 FT to field 7?

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Wow! only 7. You need 7 transfers just to get one bencher

      The question always is with FH, what team you get back? so take a look at GW19. Is that the team you want or are you better taking a few hits towards where you want to go?

      People are talking of hits to get to 10 or 11. If you have a full squad at no cost you will start the week ahead and have 4 more players. I see plenty of gain in a FH, then, but it's often disappointing when you get your team back

    2. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      The fantastic 7 will sort it out for you. Save FH

      1. Fabreghastly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        This sounds like opportunity when everyone is saying it

        I remember the 'James never stays on the bench' mantra

  27. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Raphinha/Guita to Foden/Ramsdale -4?

    Y or N

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Someone else than Raphinha out

  28. as33
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Have only 7 players, should i do Bowen>Jota and King>Jesus for a hit?
    No goalkeeper
    Cancelo, Taa, James
    Salah, Bilva, Mount, Bowen
    Laca, Dennis, King

    1. Return of the FF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Watkins instead of Jesus?

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Not for Jesus

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      My god no

  29. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Currently fielding 11 players, have 1FT.

    A. Antonio > Laca (have Watkins, Dennis)
    B. Raph > Foden
    C. Livra > Targett
    D. Roll

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      D

    2. im1974
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      C

  30. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Will likely take a hit on Sanchez > Ramsdale tomorrow. Biggest owned player (except Foden) I don't have and only fielding 8 players at the moment.

    Ramsdale has good fixtures coming up too.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good and the right idea