Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Maupay to prosper against under-strength Arsenal defence?

We combine Fantasy football with a flutter in our weekly betting feature, which, like the Premier League itself, returns following a three-month break.

Wednesday’s FPL deadline has been and gone so there’s nothing we can do to influence our teams in Double Gameweek 30+, but we can put our Fantasy nous to some use with a punt on the weekend’s action.

As anyone who invested in David Luiz, John Fleck, Oliver Norwood, Sergio Aguero and/or Pepe Reina will confirm, there is plenty that can happen both on and off the pitch beyond our control.

However, we live in eternal hope that the data in our Members Area can narrow the odds in our favour – both in Fantasy Premier League and beyond.

So we’re turning to the vast array of player and team statistics available to Fantasy Football Scout subscribers to again inspire a bet or two ahead of the upcoming matches.

Those wishing to subscribe to our site to see more of the stats featured in this weekly feature should click here to sign up or upgrade your account.

Rolling monthly subscriptions are now available for £2.99, while annual memberships can be bought for £17.50 – this will not only see you through to the end of 2019/20 but gives you access for the whole of the 2020/21 campaign too. 

And please always remember with gambling: when the fun stops, stop.

FPL 2019/20 In Review Part One - Goalkeepers and Defenders

As anyone who saw Wednesday’s night match at Villa Park will attest, goals might be hard to come by at St James’ Park this weekend.

Sheffield United didn’t manage one ‘big chance’ in that Gameweek 30+ opener but, as they so often do, kept it tight at the other end.

Only Liverpool have shipped fewer goals on the road than Chris Wilder’s side, and in only two of the Blades’ 14 away games have more than two goals flown in.

No club has conceded fewer goals than Newcastle United on home soil in 2019/20, meanwhile, with the Magpies having kept clean sheets in six of their 14 fixtures on Tyneside.

And no team has scored fewer goals on their own turf than Steve Bruce’s troops, either.

A 0-0 draw is 13/2 with SkyBet, should the match go the way of the season-long form book.

If there is to be a goal, might it come from a set play?

Newcastle have conceded more headed opportunities than any other team this season and the second-highest number of attempts from set plays.

Centre-half John Egan, who has had more attempts from free-kicks and corners than any of this teammates, is a 33/1 punt with Ladbrokes and elsewhere to bag the first goal and break his Premier League duck.

Many of us will have flogged our Liverpool assets to fund a splurge on Double Gameweek players, so we all know what will happen next.

No team conceded more goals than Everton in their last six matches before lockdown and the Toffees are without a clean sheet since Gameweek 22.

Add this to the plethora of injuries that Carlo Ancelotti’s side currently have and their Merseyside rivals will fancy their chances of adding to the five goals they scored in the reverse fixture in December.

Andrew Robertson is 7/2 with Grosvenor to provide an assist: only three clubs have allowed more chances from their right flank than Everton since Ancelotti took charge and the Toffees looked very suspect down that wing in their 4-0 defeat to Chelsea in March.

Sadio Mane, whose joint-highest FPL score of the season came against Everton in December, is 7/1 to score two or more goals with BetFred.

Arsenal could well be down at least three or four centre-halves when they visit Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday and look set to be missing defensive midfielder Granit Xhaka too.

Less than 72 hours separate the Gunners’ two Double Gameweek 30+ fixtures, with Mikel Arteta’s troops having had to play much of the second half at the Etihad with ten men.

This could be an ideal time for Graham Potter’s struggling Brighton and Hove Albion to meet the beleaguered north London side, then, with questions being asked of Arsenal on and off the pitch.

Neal Maupay has had more efforts on goal this season than all bar two FPL forwards and, although he can be somewhat wasteful with those chances, his joint-highest score of the season came in the reverse fixture at the Emirates.

One of PaddyPower’s price boost bets this week sees Maupay priced up at 6/1 to be the first goalscorer against the Gunners.

974 Comments Post a Comment
  1. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Bruno + Pope + AWB

    OR

    B. Martial + DDG + Gomez

    Have Maguire.

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Boss Hogg
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

    3. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

    4. Whats the Huth
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A. Very easy choice

    5. Ian J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A - assume you have TAA so Gomez not required
      Double Man U defensive not required - they hope to be an attacking team, so keep spot open for 2nd attacker - Martial or Rashford

  2. Boss Hogg
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Wildcarding in 33 so looking at options for the next 2 weeks:

    Son, Rashford and Martial IN
    Grealish, Aguero and Mahrez OUT
    Worth -8?

    OR
    Do 2 of the the above for -4?

    OR
    Just do 1 for free?

    1. rdamjan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      -8 just before WC? nah

    2. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Kun to Rashford only

      1. rdamjan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        What about Mahrez -> Martial/Bruno. Kun will probably play against Chelsea...

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          This, but obviously depends on tonight.

    3. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Watch tonight's game and see. Depending on how you feel about the Rashy/Martial double up you could hold Grealish for 1 GW (vs Newcastle) and then upgrade next week. Definitely do 2, possible 3 will still be worth it.

    4. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Hits at this stage of the season are even more expensive imo

    5. Boss Hogg
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks guys. I’ll probably just go for one United, but the thought of Son running at that West Ham defence is very tempting.

  3. el polako
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    No players tonight but will watch Spurs - United hoping to spot nice differential ir two for my WC team.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      same here. Pogba and Kane on my watchlist 🙂

    2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Good luck. If anyone scores tonight it will be tomorrow's template

    3. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Can’t see many differentials coming out of that one. But it might help solidify the picks from those teams.

    4. The Mantis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Interested to see on Utd pens

      My watchlist for this game:
      Pogba / Williams / Bergwijn

  4. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    The only way I can upgrade Martial to Bruno on WC is to downgrade the bench. Is the below worth it?

    A) Bruno - Robinson and Guendozi
    B) Martial - Lascelles and Douglas Luiz/other 4.4

    Not the most exciting question admittedly!

    1. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I see Bruno as risky. But ownership will likely dictate you almost have to own him.

  5. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Morning all
    Any thoughts on my current wc draft?
    0.8itb not sure if or where to spend it, it’s a bit light up top but like the mid field.

    Pope
    Taa maguire Lascelles
    Salah (c) kdb Sarr son(v) Fernandes
    Jimenez Dcl

    Martin Nketiah boly Justin

    Thoughts appreciated cheers

    1. RVP 20
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I like it
      Just like you said we have similar team..
      Cant see much upgrades with 0.8 itb
      Maybe doherty for justin?

      1. RVP 20
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Sorry bout that, thought justin was 5.7
        Now that would be overpricing 😀

        1. In a Rush
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Cheers mate yeah that would of been a nice upgrade!

  6. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    The highs of wed will likely be undone with only Cantwell playing tonight.

    1. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      0 tonight for me

    2. Mr. O'Connell
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah I reckon weds was the peak tbh. Teams that weren't loaded up on the dgw are probably going to score points from here on in.

  7. RVP 20
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed

    Hi all, can i get some thoughts on my WC team?

    Pope (3.9)
    TAA Saiss Lascelles (Taylor Robinson)
    Salah KDB Son Bruno (Cantwell)
    Rashford Jimenez DCL

    1. In a Rush
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Nice similar to mine above I guess there’s a real template forming now

      1. RVP 20
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers

        Probably only guy missing from the "template" here is Doherty..

        1. In a Rush
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Yes I have boly would have to downgrade a mid to accommodate Doherty, not sure on that yet.

          1. In a Rush
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Current draft a couple of posts above

  8. Francescoli
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Wildcard good to go?

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Fernandez
    Mane Son Fernandes KDB
    Jimenez Rashford DCL

    Martin Lascelles Cantwell Taylor

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Great team!

    2. Ian J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Taylor to Robinson (Sheff Utd) will allow Mane to Salah?

  9. Rains of Castamere
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Duda train starts tonight - anyone else already on board? 😉

    1. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I've taken some Lomotil

    2. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yep, but I expect only to the next station.

    3. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yup

    4. Ian J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      No, not with Norwich defensive injuries - I fear for Norwich supporters

  10. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is it worth keeping both Salah and Mane (No Son) by changing the Man U and Burnley pair from Pope and Maguire to DDG and Taylor (0.7 saved)? also Rashford becomes DCL.

    DDG
    TAA, Doherty, Taylor
    KDB, Salah. Fernandes, Mane
    Jimenez, DCL, Jota

    Subs: Button, McCarthy, Lascelles, Robinson

    All opinions from the morning crew welcome.

    1. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      It's the switch of Rashford to DCL that lets this plan down imo.

      1. The Polymath
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Choice between (Mane and DCL) or (Son and Rashford). The first pair are proven points scorers, the second pair may not fire straight away.

        1. Tambling5
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Will be able to use the eye test tonight to see if Utd and Spurs look like got their attacking players in form!

          1. The Polymath
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            True, true.

        2. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          I'd much prefer Son and Rashford. It's not even close, especially if you're not going to captain Mane with Salah in the team.

    2. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      for me it doesn't make sense value wise
      12.5+ is too much for someone you won't captain

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Why do you want a MUN defender?

      Just go Pope + Taylor...

      1. The Polymath
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        MUN defence were playing well and have great fixtures.

    4. Union_Jacks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Hi mate, reckon Nuno rolls out same XI most weeks including Doherty, Jota?

  11. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on Ramsdale and Doucoure? Both have something to play for.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      i like doucoure.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        but for 0.6 extra you can have barnes or mount. doucoure has been in a few of my drafts though.

        1. TheTinman
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          I’m scared of Chelsea midfield. They have a wealth of options.

    2. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Like the Duke - think he's a very good left-field pick. Pearson has Watford playing well.

      Not too sure on Bournemouth defence personally.

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yea Ramsdale is maybe a step too far, think I might get Doucoure. Nice non template pick who is a big exciting

    3. Ian J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Doucoure is a good pick - I had him in my team during lockdown - on Barnes as 5th midfielder at mo

    4. POLSKA GOLA
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Decoure one yellow from a ban, check the hot topic

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        🙁 oh no

  12. Gunners in Haaland
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    WC activated!
    How is this team looking?

    Leno
    TAA Doherty AWB
    Son KDB Bruno Richarlison
    Tammy Rashford Jimenez

    Martin Targett Cantwell Cathcart

    0.0 ITB

    1. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Template as fooooork

    2. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      It's a great team. You will also have fun every week at trying to find a Richarlison replacement when he lets you down!

      1. Gunners in Haaland
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers both!

    3. POLSKA GOLA
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Main weakness is lack of Salah/Mane to captain this week

  13. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A abraham or mount
    b rashford or fernandes
    c kane or son

    thanks a lot 🙂

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A Abraham
      B Rash
      C Son

    2. In a Rush
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      For me Fernandes(but could be merit in having both)
      Son and Abraham but of course Kane could finish the season with a bang, all good options I feel

    3. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A
      Flip
      Kane

    4. Gunners in Haaland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I have Tammy, Rash, Bruno and Son in my WC team.

    5. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      thanks all 🙂

  14. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Any thoughts about maguire vs awb
    I was set on awb but is maguire less likely rotated?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Common consensus is Maguire for nailedness and goal threat. I went AWB for differential amongst active players, higher baseline baps and more chances of assists

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers mid wicket yep that all makes sense I’m on maguire at the moment on wc but like you may go for awb as a more exciting pick and differential.

    2. RVP 20
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Maguire imo
      Both are nailed but mag is more of a goal threat, while awb is not such a threat going up

      1. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Awb gets more bonus points and has been improving his crossing game in training

        1. In a Rush
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Cheers for your thoughts everyone

  15. Dacra
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    I have no players tonight.. Wonder how muck rank drop that'll give.

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      One of the reasons I haven't bothered to look at my rank yet. Said above that weds is probs the peak, so it's only downhill from here. Esp for myself as a Sterling (c) and Jesus owner who I don't expect to get many minutes v Burnley.

    2. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      The higher we drop tonight the higher we will bounce back over the weekend

      1. Babit1967
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Pukki for me, couple of goals would be nice

  16. onceuponatyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    I need a 4.7m - was thinking Cantwell, but maybe Saka??

    1. In a Rush
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Prefer cantwell or Duda myself

    2. The Mantis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah I think Cantwell, can see Norwich getting a few results

  17. Dacra
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Save FT?

    Pope (McGovern)
    TAA - Taylor - Soy (Williams, Egan)
    Kdb - Salah - Martial - Fernandes (Dendo)
    Auba - DCL - Vardy

    0.3itb

  18. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Can't wait for half my team to get ruled out in the press conferences now

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ha ha

  19. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Has anyone looked into which teams are more likely to be hampered by a 3 month lay off? I don’t see that it’s a level playing field here.

    5 subs makes a difference of course but the closest analogy we have there is friendly internationals. My impression there is that more subs simply interfere with patterns of play and team cohesion.

    Strikes me that teams who rely most on high energy pressing are perhaps most at risk.

  20. Mackans
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on my WC team? (0.0ib)

    Pope
    Trent Doherty AWB
    Mané KDB Son Fernandes Sarr
    Jiménez Jota
    Bench: Button, Lascelles, Taylor, Nketiah

  21. grennans2
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC team?

    Pope/Button
    TAA/Jack Robinson/Aurier/Doherty/Boly
    KDB/Bruno/Salah/Son/Cantwell
    Rashford/Jimenez/Nketiah 

  22. Zimo
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    1) Tammy, Fernandes, Wan-Bissaka
    or
    2) Vardy, Martial, Saiss
    (Have Doherty and Rashford too from Wolves and United)

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      1

  23. AlCapwnUK
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Can I get some thoughts on this early draft?

    Lloris, Martin
    Doherty, AWB, Lascelles, Holgate, Bardsley
    Mane, Son, KDB, Fernandez, Guendozi
    Rashford, Jiminez, DCL

  24. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Who is the best sub 4.8m GK?

    1. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Just try to find that 0.1 somewhere and get Pope. It will be worth it

  25. Rover
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Leno
    Doherty Lundstram Lascelles
    KdB Son Bruno Martial Grealish
    Vardy Jimenez
    (Reina McBurnie PvA Egan)

    Would you take a -4 to get to the above GW31+ team?

    Would you take another -4 to upgrade Lundstram? Either to a 5.4m defender (keeping funds for Abraham next GW) or to a 7.5m defender

  26. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Maybe something like this for my wc:
    Pope
    VVD - TAA - Doherty
    KDB - Son - Doucoure - Salah
    Barnes - Jimi - Rashford
    Garbage bench really, only Lascelles is any good.

  27. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is boly worth the extra .2 over Saiss as part of a rotating 3?

    1. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Id say so

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers have boly in my draft at the moment

  28. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Morning!

    Torn between these two options on WC! Help me out wise ppl:

    A) Saiss, Lascelles, DCL
    B) Doherty, Fernandez, Nketiah

    Pope, Martin
    TAA, XXXX, Maguire/ AWB, XXXX, Robinson
    Salah, KDB, Son, Bruno, Cantwell
    Rash, Jimi, XXXX

    I’m currently on A but the appeal of Doherty’s much higher ceiling and the fact that Arteta seems to rate Nketiah means B actually has quite a good bench.

    Cheers

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B for reasons you've stated.

  29. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Looking forward to seeing Brooks play again.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Def worth a look, especially since Fraser spat his dummy out.

    2. rjcv177
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Brooks and harry wilson

      Strange that Bou fell so bad this year. They always play good and positive football but this season something happened.

  30. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone tried a Kane WC? 🙂

    1. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yea I kinda want him but he does mess things up. I think I’ll forget him.
      Fact is he will be a differential, so if he hauls and I don’t have him it won’t really hurt me, not really worth the risk.

    2. rjcv177
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      😉
      If he shows any form or agility he will be a problem to solve, nobody is going for him and that might be tempting as differential

      I'm planning son for next week. But auba to kane is plan B

    3. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Depends if chasing or not. All WC teams I see look pretty much similar, so to climb OR , you need differentials.

    4. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Meh.

    5. Robson-Canoe
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      The choice for me is between Son, Fernandes & Rashford or Martial, Pogba & Kane (exact same price). Definitely prefer the first one.

    6. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      No WC, but hypothetically speaking, no. Too much for a punt, which is what he is at the moment (cue hattie against Utd)