FPL
18 November 2025 275 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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In an international break rife with injury scares, the most-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) defender, Gabriel Magalhaes (£6.6m), suffered a thigh problem while playing for Brazil.

Having added one goal, two assists and 13 bonus points to the many clean sheets collected by Arsenal’s watertight defence, in-form Gabriel finds himself in 84.3% of the top 100,000 Fantasy squads, according to LiveFPL.

That’s why even a short-term absence could cause chaos in FPL, with the fixture schedule is about to intensify.


Injury latest

Gabriel injury latest

Gabriel is not yet officially ruled out of Gameweek 12, with further word awaited on the severity of his injury. While a concrete update may not come from the taciturn Mikel Arteta, we could get a further heads-up from the press.

The latest comes from the usually reliable David Ornstein, who said on Tuesday afternoon that a 1-2 month absence is a possibility for the centre-back but that tests are ongoing.

It’s one to monitor as the week progresses. With Gabriel nowhere near a price drop, owners can perhaps afford to wait a day or two for more information.

But if a sale is needed, as seems increasingly likely, let’s see who we can best replace him with.

Note: we’ve not included Marcos Senesi (£5.0m) in this article, as he’s already owned by 73.3% of the top 100k. If you don’t own him, a decent run of upcoming games, huge DefCon potential and some goal threat make him arguably the go-to replacement. Indeed, our Rate My Team (RMT) tool projects him to be the top-scoring defender of the next six Gameweeks.


Another Arsenal defender

Arsenal's defence: An enduring obstacle or a false dawn

Firstly, you could always make the sideways move of bringing in one of his Gunners teammates. Before Gameweek 11, the unit didn’t concede in eight successive matches, across all competitions.

They’ve also barely allowed any big chances (BC, below) in the league. Which defender, though?

One of Cristhian Mosquera (£5.4m) or Piero Hincapie (£5.4m) will step in for Gabriel if he’s out. There’s too much uncertainty there to tip either up as a valid FPL pick, however.

Jurrien Timber (£6.1m) and Riccardo Calafiori (£5.8m) join Gabriel inside the four top-scoring FPL defenders. The latter has started all 11 outings and is the position leader for attempts (19), but his Italy withdrawal came from a hip complaint, which could bring Myles Lewis-Skelly (£5.1m) back in.

It’s worth noting that Calafiori has also had his minutes managed in the Champions League and indeed is the most-subbed-off defender in the league:

Could that also mean managed game-time when we get midweek Premier League games in December and January, then? Very possibly.

Timber, meanwhile, is the number one defender for expected goal involvement (xGI, 2.78). The Dutchman is also the only player in his position to hit double figures for both shots and chances created.

In terms of game-time, he’s started every league match since Gameweek 2. His opening-day benching was purely down to fitness.

We obviously can’t rule out an occasional Ben White (£5.3m) start in December, so William Saliba (£6.0m) may be the safest route into Arsenal’s rearguard. However, with the Frenchman mustering only two goal attempts and offering little DefCon potential (no Gunner bar Gabriel really does), is there that much of an upside? Particularly when Mosquera could easily step in to give Saliba’s legs a breather over Christmas, too.

Timber gets our vote, then.


Virgil van Dijk (£5.9m)

Liverpool's defence: Why they are struggling in FPL this season

Elsewhere, Liverpool have a bunch of stand-out fixtures coming up. However, before staving off a crisis with much-needed wins (and clean sheets) versus Aston Villa and Real Madrid, the champions entered Gameweek 10 as the leakiest backline for conceding big chances (28).

The comfortable defeat to Manchester City brings up a fair question about whether Liverpool coverage is even necessary, at either end of the pitch.

Still, van Dijk is their captain who plays every match, is the position’s second-best for defensive contribution (DefCon) actions (119), and offers a well-known goal threat.

Who are the best Liverpool players to buy in FPL – and are they even needed? 2

He hasn’t scored in 2025/26 so far but he did see one strike controversially disallowed at the Etihad Stadium. He next faces Nottingham Forest and West Ham United, the two worst teams at conceding from set pieces!

Maybe the imminent return of goalkeeper Alisson Becker (£5.4m) also kickstarts an improvement that FPL managers will want to be part of.

As for Ibrahima Konate (£5.4m), you can check out his credentials in the Gameweek 12 differentials article.


A Palace defender

Who are the best Gabriel replacements in FPL?

Another strong option is to grab flying wing-back Daniel Munoz (£5.8m), or cheaper Crystal Palace colleagues Marc Guehi (£5.1m), Maxence Lacroix (£5.0m) and Chris Richards (£4.5m). Any of those allows coverage of a defence who have secured five clean sheets, a tally only Arsenal can better.

If it’s attacking threat you want, Munoz is usually the go-to. The Colombian was last season’s best at the back for penalty area shots, expected goals (xG) and shots on target. He currently leads the way for the latter (six) in 2025/26 and has set up three big chances, too.

One thing to note is that he’s withdrawn from international duty “for family reasons”, so it’s maybe worth hanging on till Oliver Glasner’s presser for more information.

The same too for Guehi, who bowed out of the England squad with some heavy bone bruising. Guehi is an excellent all-rounder who offers DefCon potential and attacking threat. He’s even outcreated Munoz this season and is basically level for xG with the Colombian, so with the DefCon extras and lower price, there’s a strong case to go with the centre-back – if he’s fit.

As for Lacroix v Richards, they offer almost exactly the same stats: 117 v 118 defensive contributions (the best at Palace), 12 v 12 DefCon points, 5 v 4 shots and 2 v 3 chances created.

One caveat with Richards is that Oliver Glasner has mentioned recently about managing his minutes. He’s done that in the cup competitions this season, and the good news is that Richards didn’t go away with the USA over the international break. With Palace being the busiest Premier League team over Christmas and New Year, however, could the American centre-half drop out of a league XI here or there? Lacroix (Guehi if fit) might be the safer bet, then, despite Richards offering the saving.


Nico O’Reilly (£5.0m)

Who are the best Gabriel replacements in FPL? 1

It’s always risky picking a Man City asset. Especially one who plays in a position that, historically, Josko Gvardiol (£5.8m) has excelled at.

But the England international may have a clear run there once Rayan Ait-Nouri (£5.7m) goes to the African Cup of Nations (AFCON).

O’Reilly has actually started seven of Man City’s last eight league games, and they lost the other. His latest three starts have seen scores of 11, eight and 11, as no other defender has racked up more shots over this sample size.

Who are the best Gabriel replacements in FPL? 4

Above: The defenders with the most goal attempts between Gameweeks 8 and 11

Pep Guardiola’s side is enjoying a better run now than the stunning stutter of 12 months ago. After Saturday’s trip to Newcastle United, they’re second on our Fixture Ticker between Gameweeks 13 and 19.


Matthijs de Ligt (£5.0m)

Who are the best Gabriel replacements in FPL? 2

Across the city, a pick that’s mostly based on upcoming opponents and game-time security.

We can’t ignore the fact that Manchester United have kept just one clean sheet this season. But an improvement in form coincides with them topping the ticker during these next 10 Gameweeks:

Having played every minute of this campaign, de Ligt is the safest route into the Red Devils’ backline. He also scored last time, in the draw at Tottenham Hotspur.

Undoubtedly a differential pick, the 26-year-old boasts DefCon points from four of his 11 matches. He’s fallen one short of the threshold on a further two occasions.


Jan Paul van Hecke (£4.4m)

Who are the best Gabriel replacements in FPL? 3

Finally, those using Gabriel’s injury as an opportunity to raise money can find good value in van Hecke. He’s part of an improving defence, brings in good DefCon figures and is about to embark on some appealing fixtures.

A goal has helped him accumulate 29 points over his latest five matches. As a team, Brighton and Hove Albion are the season’s joint-fourth-best defence for conceding big chances (17) and shots inside the box (74).

It took until Gameweek 10 for the Seagulls’ first clean sheet to arrive. However, they’ve now kept two in a row, in time for an attractive schedule that only needs some rotation for their trips to Liverpool and Arsenal.

Van Hecke is now among the top 10 defenders for defensive contributions:

Banking DefCon points in five of his last eight starts, he was one contribution away from more in Gameweek 10.



defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

275 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    16 days, 22 hours ago

    Anybody got a learned opinion on whether it will be Mosquera or Hincapie that comes in?

    Reddit seems to suggest Hincapie but he’s back late from int duty.

    I play a couple of draft games so great opportunity to get a jump on the competition

    1. _Greg
      • 15 Years
      16 days, 22 hours ago

      Mosquera based on the season so far.

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      16 days, 22 hours ago

      I dont see why it would be Hincapie when its been Mosquera every time theres been a CB change so far this season.

    3. notlob legin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      16 days, 22 hours ago

      I disagree - I think it'll be Hincapie as he's also left footed - I could easily be wrong though.

    4. SINGH
      • 7 Years
      16 days, 22 hours ago

      Doesnt matter, league is for City to take now. Arsenal defence finished

      1. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        16 days, 21 hours ago

        Last week they were going to “walk the league” - they lose a single player (a CB no less) and now it’s City’s to lose apparently, do you think they’re that fragile?

        1. SINGH
          • 7 Years
          16 days, 21 hours ago

          It's 3 defenders out from their starting 4. Gabriel, Calafiori and Timber. I think they will have problems.

        2. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          16 days, 21 hours ago

          To be fair their success is like 90% based on their defensive prowess. I dont think Gabriel is that essential to their defensive stability personally but if he is then they are going to have to really step up their attacking game to keep distance to City

          1. Nightcrawler
            • 6 Years
            16 days, 21 hours ago

            gabriel isnt integral to the defence, the system is. Gabirel was repalced by kiwior and nothing really changed last season. he is however the main threat on set peices.

            1. x.jim.x
              • 11 Years
              16 days, 18 hours ago

              Exactly - there were riots when Lewis-Skelly didn’t get an England call-up, so how is that a drop-off? Timber’s not even confirmed to be injured, just being dramatic now.

  2. Pompel
    • 11 Years
    16 days, 22 hours ago

    If Gabby, Timber and possibly Calafiori out, maybe Raya finally will get some save points

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      16 days, 22 hours ago

      Raya owners in heaven.

    2. theplayer
      • 12 Years
      16 days, 21 hours ago

      And concede at the same time

  3. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    16 days, 22 hours ago

    Bottomed - thoughts on welbeck over thiago? BHA's next 4 fixtures are really good. any reason not to do this?

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      16 days, 22 hours ago

      I think it's probably 6 and 2x3 between them over those 4 weeks, and Thiago is slightly cheaper

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      16 days, 20 hours ago

      Can’t ignore him forever

    3. GCHILD2K16
      • 9 Years
      16 days, 20 hours ago

      Welbeck til wk 16 then thiago

    4. 1justlookin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      16 days, 19 hours ago

      True. Guess it depends if you want to plan longer term as BRE fixtures are better than BRI's from after the next 4 gw's

  4. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    16 days, 22 hours ago

    Anyone with news on Guehi and Semenyo starting next game?
    Cheers!

    1. SINGH
      • 7 Years
      16 days, 21 hours ago

      Guehi won't start as he still can't walk as of 2 days ago.

      Semenyo I have no clue but with Liverpool apparently linked now, he might go on strike till Jan lol

  5. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    Thanks mate

  6. tuturututu
    • 4 Years
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    What's the consensus, what to do with Gabriel? Is he confirmed out for 1/2 months? Have Calafiori, is Timber a sensible rational choice to get? He's gonna rise tonight

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      16 days, 21 hours ago

      I am selling. Keep single Arsenal right now and take advantage of teams with better fixtures.

      1. Qaiss
        • 9 Years
        16 days, 21 hours ago

        Arsenal will still keep more clean sheets than other teams

  7. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    If Semenyo is fit should I play the BB with Pope, Semenyo, Rodon and Mukiele?

  8. SINGH
    • 7 Years
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    Liverpool defender worth getting in for Gabriel?

  9. Nightcrawler
    • 6 Years
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    can do enzo > Cunha for free... (already have mbuemo)

    anyone considering him as a differential? shd be nailed for 80+ mins every week with sesko out for now then mebuemo/amad gone for afcon.

    high quality player with good finishing record, bound to come good surely

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      16 days, 20 hours ago

      Surely …. Famous last words!

  10. bobicek92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    Is WC 12 and FH 13 still the play if injuries confirmed. It seems way easier to set up for GW 13 without Gabriel and Semenyo

    1. Snoopydog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      16 days, 21 hours ago

      Yep. I'd go WC 13 if injuries confirmed (and if I had it) then go FH 13.

      1. Snoopydog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        16 days, 21 hours ago

        (typo: WC 12)

  11. pundit of punts
    • 12 Years
    16 days, 21 hours ago

    Gabriel ➡ VVD gives me -

    Raya
    VVD - Munoz - Cash
    Saka - Mbeumo - Semenyo - Sarr
    Haaland - Mateta - Woltemade

    Dubravka - King - Reinildo - Gudmundsson

    Some long term planning -

    GW 13 - Semenyo ➡ Foden
    GW 14 - Cash ➡ Konate
    GW 15 - Sarr ➡ Gomez
    GW 16 - Woltemade + Konate ➡ Thiago + Timber
    GW 17 - Mbeumo ➡ Cunha
    GW 18 - Foden ➡ Palmer

    Long term plans rarely work out but better to have one than none. 🙂

    1. BR510
        16 days, 21 hours ago

        Looks solid

    2. BR510
        16 days, 21 hours ago

        1. Cunha, Richards
        2. Rogers, Munoz

        Such a tough decision. I do have Bruno however

        1. Bggz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          16 days, 20 hours ago

          Don’t think you can go cunha yet

        2. GCHILD2K16
          • 9 Years
          16 days, 20 hours ago

          Buendia, munoz for now. Cunha in wk 16

          1. BR510
              16 days, 20 hours ago

              Thanks

        3. Snoopydog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          16 days, 21 hours ago

          Have Gabriel, Guehi, Calafiori, Semenyo - and one FT. Petrovic in goal. Esteve first on bench.

          Original plan was to sell Reijnders for Xhaka as 8th attacker, but that can wait.

          Looks like will have to sell Gabriel, but who for:

          A. Senesi
          B. Timber

          1. Leo14CFC
              16 days, 20 hours ago

              Senesi

              1. Snoopydog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Thanks. Thinking similarly - or maybe O'Reilly as a differential. Problem is need dependability right now and fancy Senesi to do well next few GWs.

          2. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            16 days, 21 hours ago

            McRonaldo 😯

            1. Jafooli
              • 13 Years
              16 days, 21 hours ago

              McBale, glorious stuff...

          3. BeaversWithAttitude
            • 7 Years
            16 days, 21 hours ago

            What a goal from McTominay – fantastic!

          4. Ian Davis
            • 15 Years
            16 days, 21 hours ago

            Calafiori or Saliba in for Gabriel (already have Timber) ?

            1. Snoopydog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              16 days, 21 hours ago

              Calafiori

          5. Ballito
            • 2 Years
            16 days, 21 hours ago

            would u play both Rice and Saka?

            1. Snoopydog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              16 days, 21 hours ago

              No

              1. Leo14CFC
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  Why not ?

                  1. Snoopydog
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 1 Year
                    16 days, 20 hours ago

                    For me, over investment in Ars attack.

              2. Bggz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Which would you buy ?

            2. davewg59
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              16 days, 21 hours ago

              If you have Richards can you have Munoz too?

              1. Snoopydog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                16 days, 21 hours ago

                Not for me

              2. Bggz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                No

              3. Leo14CFC
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  I got Guehi and Munoz and served me well !!

              4. Glasner Ball
                • 13 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Come on Denmark!

              5. Stranger Mings
                • 5 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Gabriel & semenyo to Senesi & bruno 2 FTs? Cheers

                1. Snoopydog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  Yep

                  Though also thinking of Gab to O'Reilly.

                  1. Stranger Mings
                    • 5 Years
                    16 days, 20 hours ago

                    Thanks i also likd chabloah

              6. Ask Yourself
                • 9 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Just announcing myself as your number 1 source for Semenyo based news:

                https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/27409113

                1. Stranger Mings
                  • 5 Years
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  Brilliant news

                2. Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  16 days, 17 hours ago

                  Thx bro! Tbh I had my doubts after reading your original info, but you and your friend have now proved to be reliable source, at least for me! We never trust anyone (in this country), before we see it with our own eyes.

                  1. Baps Hunter
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    16 days, 17 hours ago

                    Sorry that upvote is all I can do to show abbreviation.

              7. The 12th Man
                • 12 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Gabriel,Woltemade > VVD,Mateta with 2 FTs gives me this…

                Petrovic
                Senesi,Timber,VVD,Lacroix
                Saka,Semenyo,Sarr
                Haaland,Mateta,J.Pedro

                Dubravka,Ndiaye,Reijnders,Tosin.

                How does that look ?

                Or Gabriel,Ndiaye > Richards,Mbuemo

                1. Snoopydog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  Both good options. Really like Boomo and have him myself plus Mateta, but I'd probably go A out of the two.

              8. sentz05
                • 9 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                Want to FH 13 WC 14 Can I ride the storm GW12 with 1FT?

                Sanchez Dub
                Gabriel* Richards De Cuyper* Rodon Esteve
                Saka Ndaiye Semenyo* Kudus* Reinders*
                Haaland Mateta Pedro

                Looking at VVD in for Gabriel

                My gut is telling me that I’ve got 11 starters there

              9. gooberman
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                16 days, 20 hours ago

                That pen from Estavo was quality. Impeccable technique. Unsavable. Don't understand why he's not a starter for Chelsea. Incredible talent.

              10. BR510
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  1. Cunha, Richards
                  2. Rogers, Munoz

                • Bggz
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 15 Years
                  16 days, 20 hours ago

                  triple palace seems wrong but sarr has been a troll
                  pool are leaky
                  Bmouth have dropped off a cliff
                  Does that leave oreilly?

                • Leo14CFC
                    16 days, 20 hours ago

                    Who would you buy , Rice or Szobozlai ?

                    1. Stranger Mings
                      • 5 Years
                      16 days, 20 hours ago

                      Rice

                  • BR510
                      16 days, 20 hours ago

                      Rice

                      1. BR510
                          16 days, 20 hours ago

                          Reply fail to Leo14CFC

                      2. tuturututu
                        • 4 Years
                        16 days, 20 hours ago

                        What's the consensus, what to do with Gabriel? Is he confirmed out for 1/2 months? Have Calafiori, is Timber a sensible rational choice to get? He's gonna rise tonight..

                        1. Stranger Mings
                          • 5 Years
                          16 days, 20 hours ago

                          Timber seems sensible but idealy wait

                        2. Snoopydog
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 1 Year
                          16 days, 20 hours ago

                          Looks like Gabriel is gone. Timber perfectly rational if you want to keep double defence.

                          1. Snoopydog
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 1 Year
                            16 days, 20 hours ago

                            If the price drop matters, then sell. I'm holding till Friday partly because the 0.5 drop won't matter but depends on your own funds etc.

                            1. Snoopydog
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 1 Year
                              16 days, 20 hours ago

                              (Sorry if price rise matters... I'm fine with either)

                      3. el polako
                        • 8 Years
                        16 days, 20 hours ago

                        Apparently there is always a part of the crowd watching NASCAR who is only watching it waiting for crashes.

                        I feel the same every time I watch Scotland.

                        1. Glasner Ball
                          • 13 Years
                          16 days, 20 hours ago

                          🙂

                          1. el polako
                            • 8 Years
                            16 days, 19 hours ago

                            And here it is…