Gameweek Guide

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for Gameweek 38

The end of the most unusual season is upon us, and with it comes the final opportunity to climb the ranks or claim mini-league glory.

The usual mix of dead-rubbers and motivated teams is slightly diluted this season with the title and relegation places settled ahead of time, but the battle for the top four and the remaining European spots remains wide open.

And Gameweek 38 has a reputation for the unexpected. 

Take Theo Walcott’s 34-minute hat-trick against West Bromwich Albion at the end of the 2014/15 campaign, or the ten goals shared equally between the Baggies and Manchester United in Sir Alex Ferguson’s last game in charge.

This year, West Brom could be involved in another high-scoring affair when they visit a fan-filled Elland Road. The Leeds United faithful celebrating not only their first season back in the Premier League for 17 years but also their Championship victory from 10 months ago.

With the cricket season already underway, could we see a cricket score in the football?

The last round of matches all kick-off simultaneously, as is tradition on the final day of the season, handing us a Sunday deadline of 14:30 BST.

Celebration and Motivation

Just as they did in midweek, the home sides will benefit from playing in front of their supporters. Although, as Spurs discovered against Aston Villa, a poor performance can quickly change the mood. Boos ringing out at the Tottenham Hotspur stadium before half-time. 

But with Marcelo Bielsa’s side finishing the season strongly, Leeds United are not expected to suffer the same fate. 

Hotly tipped by Zophar, the Pro Pundit is backing Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) and co to push him towards his eighth top 10,000 finish. The combination of in-form striker against porous defence appeals:

Bamford tops the xG non-penalty numbers (1.73) for Leeds over the last four matches and has landed at least double the number of shots on target (six) compared to any other Leeds player. West Brom have conceded a massive 50 shots on target over the last six Gameweeks; that’s an average of over eight a game!

When selecting his shortlist of favoured armband candidates, Captain Sensible writer Jan put Bamford in third.

The Whites have only lost one of their last eight matches at Elland Road and put five goals past Sam Allardyce’s men the last time the two sides met. Since then, the Baggies’ fortunes have not changed, conceding at least two goals in six of their last eight league outings.

There was, however, a word of caution voiced for those considering Bamford.

Neale, the doyen of the team news, warned of reduced minutes for several of the Leeds contingent due to farewell appearances for long-serving players Gaetano Berardi (£4.0m) and Pablo Hernandez (£5.7m). 

I would not be shocked if [Bamford] got 60 or 70 minutes.

– Neale

Nonetheless three of Bielsa’s men are selected in the final Scout Picks of the season. 

The known absentees for the Whites are Illan Meslier (£4.8m) in goal, Mateusz Klich (£5.2m) and Diego Llorente (£4.4m). Meslier missing out has left many managers contemplating a hit for a goalkeeper, something Neale advised against, even if it meant going with ten men.

Across the Pennines, Manchester City’s line-up is, as ever, hard to predict. And this weekend they are joined in that respect by their local rivals Manchester United, who play in the Europa League final on Wednesday. 

Manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer promised to “make a few changes” with Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) among those not guaranteed a starting spot.

Going for Gold

All this means that Liverpool offer the best captain options. 

Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) and Sadio Mané (£11.8m) are not only Jan’s top picks but also those of Tom and Andy among our four Scout Picks selectors. 

Ahead of facing a side he scored 16 points against earlier in the season, Mohamed Salah is top among all midfielders for expected goal involvement (xGI) over the last four matches. Just two players have more shots in the box than him over the last six, suggesting he will be giving his all to win the Golden Boot race on Sunday.

– Scout Picks

And our Big Numbers article pointed to an encouraging statistic for Mané owners.

Seven – the number of consecutive Premier League games that Sadio Mané has scored in against Crystal Palace. In the league’s history, only Robin van Persie (against Stoke City) has scored in eight consecutive matches against an opponent.

– Big Numbers

What’s more, Liverpool need to win to ensure Champions League football for next season.

The Reds are currently level on points with Leicester City but are above them in the table thanks to their superior goal difference. However, a big win for the Foxes by five goals or more would put real pressure on on Jurgen Klopp’s side.

An unlikely scenario, perhaps, but Liverpool may want to bag a few goals against Crystal Palace just to be on the safe side.

And the Eagles have an abysmal record against their hosts, having lost their last seven matches against them by an aggregate score of 22 goals to five.

The one spanner in the works could be that this is Roy Hodgson’s final game in charge. 

Part of me thinks they are going to be right up for this and I don’t think they are going to roll over.

– David, Captaincy Video

However improbable, a repeat of the scoreline on Sir Alex Ferguson’s last day in the Old Trafford hot seat would be welcomed by Fantasy managers, with the obvious exception of Liverpool fans.

Anfield was also set to be the petri dish for David’s new ‘equal opportunities’ captain experiment.

Speaking on the Captaincy Video with Joe, David suggested the radical idea of handing the armband to the best candidate based on their qualifications alone. He highlighted a player who has scored in each of the last four Gameweeks, has had the most shots over the last six matches, and is up against the team that has conceded more big chances than anyone else.

However, that player, Christian Benteke, is now an injury doubt and has been left out of Neale’s predicted line-up. The experiment will, unfortunately, have to wait until the new season.

Must Win

The best Neto replacements and whether FPL managers should stick with Fernandes

As mentioned, Leicester City’s need not only to win but ideally by a big margin, thrusts Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.2m) into the spotlight. 

The Foxes forward has 11 goals in 11 matches and faces a Spurs side who conceded 20 shots in their home encounter with Aston Villa.

But the fact that Brendan Rodgers could instruct his team to go for it at some stage, may benefit Harry Kane (£11.9m) if it means Leicester leave themselves open at the back. The want-away Spurs forward has an impressive record against the newly-crowned FA Cup winners, scoring 14 goals in 11 Premier League meetings.

Encouragingly for those backing Kane, influential centre-half Jonny Evans (£5.6m) is set to sit out the King Power clash with injury. His presence at the back was sorely missed in the 4-2 home defeat to Newcastle United in Gameweek 35:

[The injury to Jonny Evans was] very disruptive. He’s a great talker. With Caglar and Wesley, they are both fantastic talents but Jonny is the brain in there and he organises them so for him to come out was a big blow for us.

– Brendan Rodgers, after the Gameweek 35 defeat to Newcastle

Elsewhere, Michail Antonio (£6.7m) boasts impressive underlying stats for West Ham’s clash with Southampton.

Over the last four matches, no forward has registered a higher xG non-penalty (2.52) than the Hammers forward.

– Zophar

And Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side have not done well on the road: 

Nine defeats for Southampton in their 10 away league fixtures this calendar year. The Saints, who travel to West Ham United this weekend, have conceded 30 goals in these nine defeats, scoring just seven in return. Their sole win on the road in 2021 was at relegated Sheffield United.

– Big Numbers

Don’t Look Back in Anger

Pro Pundits Simon March and Lateriser were both in reflective mood ahead of the season finale.Simon counselled on the perils of hindsight bias, while Lateriser rued his early season overconfidence.

“We are more likely to apply hindsight to negative outcomes than positive ones … The key to overcoming hindsight bias is learning to evaluate decisions based on their logic rather than their outcome. Rationally-speaking, the outcome should be irrelevant if the logic used in the decision-making process was sound.” – Simon March

And this is where Lateriser feels he let himself down at times, believing he could create whatever narrative he wanted and going against logic. He cited the example of ignoring Mohamed Salah in Gameweek 1 when Liverpool took on newly-promoted Leeds United.

All the same, the three time top 200 manager is still in love with FPL.

“I was actually very surprised by how much I enjoyed a green arrow despite the poor rank. It gave me genuine delight and that little bit of a good run I had in the past few Gameweeks.” – Lateriser

Community Competitions and Head-to-Head Fixtures

UEFA Champions League Fantasy Football is back - what you need to know 3

Following the quick turnaround of recent weeks, Neale recapped on the winners of our two cup competitions. Congratulations to Genovoze and Mohd Rodzi on their respective triumphs in the FFS Open Cup and FFS Members Cup.

And well done to Jambo17 who added a third-place finish in the FFS Open Cup to his 2018/19 runners-up spot in the Members Cup. Likewise Rossaldinho, who overcame SUNFLOWER to take the bronze medal in this year’s Members Cup.

RedLightning brought us his regular update on the community competitions, which included a look at the Grand Final of Last Man Standing.

The competition, run every year by TorresMagic, eliminates the lowest-scoring managers each Gameweek until just four managers remain to battle it out in the final round. 

The Hsuper One adds his name to the list of winners after overcoming Robert Tuck (aka COVID-CASUAL), Steven Schelk (aka The Suspended One), and Amit Sharma in Gameweek 37. Many congratulations to him.

And despite his cup success Callum Croal (aka Jambo17) will be one of the ten managers relegated from the top division in our Head-to-Head Leagues.

Gameweek 38 sees David Arblaster, in eleventh, take on Richard Clarke, in tenth, to decide the final relegation spot. Meanwhile Aleksander Våge Nilsen (aka AleksanderVN) will be hoping for a win or a draw to ensure he claims the ultimate prize of Head-to-Head League Champion. Ville Tuominen (aka Santigold) lies in wait should he slip up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38 can be found below. 

The scores and tables update every night on the Head-to-Head Leagues main page so you can keep track of the action as the Gameweek unfolds. 

For the last time this season, may your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.”

2,761 Comments Post a Comment
  1. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Robertson TAA start- no Benteke confirmed by Rockstar

  2. Tango74
      2 months, 14 days ago

      CRAP have u seen city confirmed line up#, must be fake

      1. sunzip14
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        confirmed but fake in same line?

        1. Tango74
            2 months, 14 days ago

            ignore me , shame u cant remove stuff. i just seen one , i hope its fake

        2. Pep bites Kun
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          What is it? Should I have played Digne? 🙂

      2. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        RMT - 000000001
        Mendy-Elliot
        Phillips-Coufal-TAA-Rudiger-Dias
        Havertz-Raphinha-Salah(C)-Cantwell-Son
        Pukki-Kane-Halland(VC)

        Will Pep start Jesus over Kane?

        1. Nomar
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Who signs Haaland and Kane?

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Real Madrid and Man United

          2. Freshy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Ole gets Halland
            Kane plays for MC

        2. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          No but Ole should start him over Cavani and Tony 😉

        3. Thomas Magnum
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Benching headache, too template, Kane C

        4. Kun Tozser
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          120m budget next season?

      3. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Salah, Mané, Bobby all start

        Jota & Hendo on the bench

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Robbo & Trent start.

          No Benteke

        2. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Was never in doubt.

        3. diesel001
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          As expected. Why change a winning team and risk Jota?

      4. Fudgy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Doubt I even have 10 this week 🙁

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Season over

        2. Pukki Blinders
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Season over one last time?

        3. Scholes Out Forever
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Should’ve got better players then

        4. Pep bites Kun
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Let's hope they're good 'uns or this could be season ending 😉

      5. Vertigo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Spoiling to know how many hits have been taken.

        1. TheSteel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I took a hit for the third time this season because of the United “leak” lol

      6. Old Boots
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Good luck everyone!

        I don't comment as much as I'd like to but appreciate all of the chat on here throughout the season.

        May your final 2020/21 arrows be green!

        1. Jack Burton
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          You too mate see you on the otherside

        2. Pukki Blinders
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I have reverse colours on so hoping for a red arrow

      7. Nomar
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Salah TC.

        1. Arteta
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Well done for keeping that chip for so long!

        2. Lecky Legs FC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Good luck he's my Triple VC

      8. Shultan
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Are any of Top 10 OR guys ffscout users?! Must be ****** themselves

      9. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        bamford not starting?

        1. Scots Gooner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Don't say that...

        2. Bubz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          ?

        3. Big Hands Barry
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Really?

        4. Balls of Steel
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Yikes

        5. Lecky Legs FC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Don't break my heart

        6. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          That would be painful given I’ve just brought him in! Was worried this might happen

          1. KAPTAIN KANE
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Trolling hopefully, brought him, Aguero and Gundogan in for a hit

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Seems to be legit.

        7. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Silly course he will

        8. jason_ni
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Confirmed

        1. TheSteel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          JIMENEZ

      10. Hazz
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Bowen haul about to come and nobody saw it coming.

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          That could happen.

          Rule for today is expect the unexpected

      11. Avery
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Alisson, Trent Phillips Williams Robertson, Fabinho Wijnaldum Thiago, Salah Firmino Mane

        https://twitter.com/thekophq/status/1396464992157904900?s=21

        1. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          3/3 lovely

      12. KAPTAIN KANE
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        “Goalscorer for Manchester City, number 10.....SERGIIIIOOOOOOO AGUEEEERRROOOO!!”

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Drama please!

      13. Arteta
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        When you're hoping that Spurs bottle it and finish below us, but at the same time kept their players in case they don't.
        Win-win whatever happens.

        1. Scholes Out Forever
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Has arsenal and Spurs just resorted to finishing above each other as trophies now?

      14. Pukki Blinders
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Bamford owners find a large sofa!

        1. Lecky Legs FC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Triple captainer here don't have one just gonna jump out the window if it happens

          1. Pukki Blinders
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Tragic luck mate

      15. Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Looks like bamford benched

      16. Champions League Varane
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        BAMbenched!

      17. tiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        No Bam Bam apparently...

        1. Hazz
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          That man has caused me nothing but pain this year.

        2. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Benching starts!!

          Bring it on.

      18. Daniel Jebbison
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Just got Bamford ouch ouch ouch

        1. Duke Silver ☑
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Mark in tears.

        2. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Same

        3. HashAttack
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Just got him and captained him 🙁

      19. Daniel Jebbison
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Please don't play at all Bamford if you are not starting and Jota you have the freedom to explode !!!

      20. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        no bale

        1. g40steve
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Good for Sonny & Kane

      21. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Bamford was my biggest differential. That benching has probably killed my season

        1. Hazz
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          He has over 40% ownership lol

          1. Scots Gooner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            I meant in my ML. I'm neck and neck at the top

      22. TomSaints
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Brace for carnage

        1. Andy_Social
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          This is why the deadline was pushed back half an hour.

      23. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        this season is just so bad

      24. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        My one transfer this week,

        BAMFORD IN

        1. Mighty Wings
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Season over?

      25. NateDogsCats
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Well I'm glad I brought Bamford in to captain

        • KAPTAIN KANE
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Aguero benched 🙁

          1. TomSaints
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Noooooooooooooo

          2. PogBruno
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Torres?

          3. djman102
            • 12 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Was afraid of that. Hope he gets at least 20-30 minutes

        • TomSaints
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Brought in Rodrigo as couldn’t afford bamford

          1. Pukki Blinders
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            City gone full strength what a joke