Community

The Community Round Up

Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

2,519 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Feed tha Sheep
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Evans to?
    A. Smith
    B. Pieters

    1. Geezer
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

  2. osceola31909
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Is Rashford worth keeping, or should I swap for Deeney, Austin, or Wilson?

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Swap for Deeney or Austin. Austin has a great fixture this week, but I'm not sure how he'll do against City and Chelsea

    2. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Defoe

    3. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks.

    4. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I did Rashford>Austin yesterday. Just look at Austin scoring record with QPR 2 seasons ago. He scores against any team

  3. zizoo10
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    is walcott rising? not good at projections from fplstatistics

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      nope

    2. FPL Emu
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      dont think so

  4. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    How worried should I be about losing Capoue? Obviously never going to get him back again

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      not particularly

      1. FPL Emu
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        He has very good stats on the FPL site. That ICT stuff. Does that matter much?

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Not very. Just wait another hour before you do it.

      1. Twelve years a slave
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Dosent mean he wont score again, could be scenes if he knocks
        one in against Boro

        1. gwitbrock
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Based on his price trajectory to date, if he even thinks about scoring aganist Boro he's going up 0.9 million.

        2. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Ha scenes indeed! He's bench fodder for most people and theres cash in him that can be used elsewhere.

        3. gwitbrock
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Personally I have similar feelings towards those who brought him in this week as I do when I see a blind kitten finally find a teat when all the mother's milk has run dry.

          1. badgerboy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Hahaha! Good analogy! Milk those teats! 😀

  5. Seb Wassell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Robertson or Smith for the def?

    1. Geezer
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Smith

    2. DRAFTSNAKE
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Smith, Bournemouth have been ok defensively for them. Plus more attacking points. Hull are awful and the honeymoon period is over, they will struggle to keep a clean sheet against any team tbh

    3. Seb Wassell
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks both.

    4. Jersey
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Adam Smith

  6. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Worth downgrading Bellerin to Mustafi to have a 4.5 combo (Marshall) with Pickford or just go short-term with Bellerin and Grant?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      On WC that is

    2. DRAFTSNAKE
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Bellerin and Grant

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        thanks

    3. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Answered on you WC post.

  7. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Play Baines away at City, or McAuley at home against Spurs?

    1. Seb Wassell
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Baines

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Baines. Last 2 fixtures 0-0 1-0

  8. samaael
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    repost

    Heaton
    Walker/ Stones/ Evans
    Sterling/ Firmino/ Sanchez/ Remond
    Aguero/Lukaku/Defoe

    4.0/ Capoue/Williams/ Amat1FT 0ITB

    a) saving
    b) Francis (Bou) in for Evans.
    c) Targett (sou) in for evans

    seriously considering targett now deemed fit

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      a

  9. Prison Mike
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Evans & Antonio > Walker & Snodgrass

    Yay or Nay?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      You'll regret selling Antonio. Sunderland and Stoke at home in next 3 after this week

  10. deluca
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Who should I field this week?
    Pieters or Holebas? I have Pickford in goals.

  11. Lizard Lips
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Vertonghen Baines Evans Holebas Amat
    Alexis Firmino Sterling Antonio Fletcher
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    2FT, not sure what to do.

    Tempted by Sterling and Antonio to Walcott and Son.

  12. ViewsFromThePo6ba
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    ARS double def worth it?

    Already have Cech. Deciding whether to bring Koscielny with the FT.

    1. ViewsFromThePo6ba
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Baines -> Kos

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I'm keeping Baines and deciding next week

  13. DRAFTSNAKE
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Is Baines worth keeping for the whole season or should I be thinking of ditching him when fixtures get tougher? If he was guaranteed pens, FKs, corners I would play him all day long but he's not any more and also less marauding in open play. Thoughts?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Everton best defence atm behind Spurs stats wise

      1. DRAFTSNAKE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        I know but their fixtures were favourable gw2-7 so I'm not surprised and last two results were a bit meh, should have been 6pts but only 1. With Jagielka and Williams they should get enough clean sheets. If I were on a wildcard I'd probably go for Coleman tbh

  14. DameCorp
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Is Antonio to Walcott/Son too knee jerky?

    1. AceDeuce
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Nope. My plan as well

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I'm keeping Antonio but I already have Son. He's still near top for shots by mids and 2 plum fixtures in the next 4

  15. Rian23
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    best striker for 8.3? (already got defoe)

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      tekkers

  16. Ghost86
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    WC team thoughts?
    Grant
    Bellerin lovren smith
    Sanchez payet countinho son
    Aguero deeney Defoe

    1. Sess!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Payet > Walcott

      Use the spare cash elsewhere

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      You need another GK, 2 Def's and another Mid.

    3. gwitbrock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Do you have a spare 0.1? If so then quickly do Defoe to Austin and Lovren to Rose before prices go up. Payet good shout.

  17. SuperMario
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Wish I posted my WC team, far too drunk k

  18. Lizard Lips
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Best Stoke defender?

    (a) Pieters
    (b) Cameron

    1. Sess!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      B.....Pieters stats are non existent.

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        ^This

  19. Lizard Lips
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Vertonghen Baines Evans Holebas Amat
    Alexis Firmino Sterling Antonio Fletcher
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    Antonio and Baines > Walcott and Pieters

    Any wiser moves?

    1. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Any FT's money ITB?

      1. Lizard Lips
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        2 FT no money ITB

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Antonio and Baines > Son and Smith or maybe even...
      Lukaku, Antonio and Baines > Austin, Son and Bellerin for -4? Which will leave you 1.6 ITB to do Fletcher > Snodgrass with FT next week which then makes the 3-5-2 viable to rotate Austin with Snoddy for GW's 9 and 10 when Southampton play City and Chelsea and Hull have 2 good fixtures of Stoke and Watford...it's an idea and will give you much needed Arsenal defensive cover for next 3 which is something i think your team is crying out for the most?

  20. woody3260
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Sterling to Firmino for free?

    1. Sess!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Id want both.

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I'd rather Firmino but it is sideways

      1. woody3260
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        got mane and aguero. fearing Sane basically

    3. Goodricke
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      With the amount of tension between man u and Liverpool, i went Milner for his 100% penalty action! This game screams "red cards and penalties"

  21. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Hi, does anyone know the precise time that the price changes take place?

    1. Sess!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      There isnt a precise time exactly but it'll be around 10 mins

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      2.15ish

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      2:10-2:15am uk time

    4. Fingerspitzengefühl
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Not precise, but always between 02.15-02.30 I believe(GMT)

    5. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      thanks all

  22. united07
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    2 FT's to spend, What Should i do?

    A) Lukaku/Ibra & Capoue OUT for Deeney & Walcott IN.

    B) Evans to Adam Smith and save 1 FT.

  23. Fingerspitzengefühl
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Switching from Rashford to either Austin or Defoe now..who do you reckon?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I did Rashford>Austin yesterday. Had planned for 2 weeks

    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Wilson.

  24. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Are Antonio sellers looking forward to getting trolled?

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I didn't sell him but even if I had ... embarrassing post. *cringe

  25. andyd
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Hey peeps, before this typhoon hits me in Vancouver, I need to clean up this lot.

    Pickford
    Bellerin McCauley Valencia
    Sanchez firmino mane Antonio
    Ibra defoe benteke

    Foster Kingsley amat capoue.

    1ft. 0.5m itb. Can't seem to squeeze theo in there without getting rid of mane which I'm not happy to do with those fixtures. Valencia to rose/Walker/mustafi?

    1. DRAFTSNAKE
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Valencia>Smith gives you 1.5 ITB to upgrade Kingsley and Pickford later to a 5.0 keeper and a 4.5 defender, giving your team a better balance and more cover for suspensions/rotation/injuries

      1. DRAFTSNAKE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        or Valencia>Pieters and Ibra>Aguero for -4?

  26. DRAFTSNAKE
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Boruc
    Bellerin, Baines, Smith
    Sanchez(C), Walcott, Mane, Firmino
    Aguero, Deeney, Austin
    jakupovic; capoue; collins, amat
    How'm I looking? will probably do Collins>Holebas GW10

  27. Lizard Lips
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    What's with the Sterling fire sale?

    1. Goodricke
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      He is yellow flagged, and with CL matches coming up, he won't get a start this week. I believe that is the thinking.

  28. Lizard Lips
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Vertonghen Baines Evans Holebas Amat
    Alexis Firmino Sterling Antonio Fletcher
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    (A) Antonio and Baines > Walcott and Pieters
    (B) Sterling and Baines > Walcott and Mustafi

  29. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Sterling > Theo??

  30. woody3260
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    hahaha just swapped sterling to firmino. Game on!