Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Lacazette can match Aubameyang output

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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3,777 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Millie22
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    A) salah, b.silva, Kamara
    B) firmino, Sané, Richarlison

    Already have Mané

    Cheers

    1. Painter
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      SALAAAH

    2. Alexis Nonsense
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I like A

      Have Salah + Bilva myself

      Are we confident Bilva starts?

  2. Painter
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    The 4.5 battle. I only want one
    1 Daniels
    2 Cedric
    3 Jagielka

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      1

    2. Sharkytect
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Cedric

    3. PRENO
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      None. Kabasele 😉

      1. Painter
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Is he good? I already have foster

        1. PRENO
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 10 months ago

          Nailed at CB & Watford have a lot of Home games early on in the season against supposedly 'weaker' opposition. Would go Cedric but he is doubtful for GW1 & potentially GW2 so would rather not risk him not playing or losing value if people lose patience and transfer him out

    4. Marco Ni Motet
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Im going with S. Cook.

  3. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Which are the threats to:

    Stephens
    Gunnarsson
    McDonald

    1. Painter
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I like Gunn

  4. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Which combo?

    A. Lloris & Hamer

    B. Foster & Fab

    1. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      less risk of rorating at wrong time

  5. Where dahoud at
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Thank im sorted 🙂 im i gtg

    Ddg
    Keane, bertrand, mendy
    Erikson, salah, richarlison, jota
    Firmino, aguero, reid

    Bench, hamer, wan-bissaka, peltier, stephens

    1. Andrew
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Dont fancy Everton or Soton defence

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/

      Please post your RMT over on the RMT article.

    3. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Keane and Bertrand? Ouch

  6. aydeepee69
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Any reason why there is so little interest in Keita as a poss differential?

    1. A.T
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      As soon as he scores....

      1. aydeepee69
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Im taking a punt anyway!

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      3+ better Pool options.

      Until he scores ....

    3. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      he a Liverpool player so takes a slot and he did have a card addiction last season( one tackle even made Roy Keane look clean! ). I think that was more fustraction so can see him being less card happy this year

    4. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I think he will be a brilliant diff though so if you go for him you could be in the money

    5. roscola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Conversation about him here: https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/08/the-best-midfielders-and-forwards-to-sign-on-sky-sports-fantasy-2018-19/?hc_page=9&hc_sort_by=comment_date#hc_comment_18519737

      I was initially very keen, and I wouldn't be surprised if he does light it up. But he's had very little involvement in Liverpool's recent pre-season goals, and I watched a reel of all his touches in the last game where he barely crossed the halfway line. I think we need to wait and see.

  7. Afghanistanislas
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Which one would you pick from each:

    A)
    1. Bailly
    2. PVA
    3. Luiz

    B)
    1. VVD
    2. Robertson

    C)
    1. Zaha
    2. Arnie

    1. Pillson
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      121

    2. Cofinho
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Pva robbo arnie

    3. Painter
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      212

  8. Andrew
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Really struggling for a witty league name, suggestions please guys.

    1. Gazpilicueta
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Mané Mané Mané, Maaaané

    2. Pillson
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Bunch of Punts

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Return To Bendtner

    4. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      my League is crap.
      Vardy's Party Planners

    5. Mika-eel
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      A league with no name.

  9. caldracula
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Not sure if I can post this here, there is a cash league a few of me and my friends have joined, there's over 700 entrants now, £10 entry. Details are as follows if anyone is interested.

    https://www.backinamo.com/forum/topic/new-fantasy-footy-for-the-2018-19-season-tenner-buy-in-prizes-galore/

  10. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Currently have Costa as my 5.0m midfielder (plus Cairney)

    But are there more nailed attacking midfielders?

    Tempted by Moutinho...

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      He's not attacking.

      Think you've got the main 2.

  11. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Pickford and David Luiz or Kepa and Coleman?

    1. Pillson
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      ttough but kepa and coleman as more nailed

  12. Please Help I Don't Kn…
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Fosu-Mensah gonna be starting for Fulham? Good option at 4.5m?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I rate him but might not be ready tomorrow.

  13. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Best 6m option to complete this defence? Thanks

    ddg boruc
    vvd xxxxx boly peltier wan biss

    1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      PVA? Saves 0.5 million.

    2. Pillson
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      obviously mendy

    3. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      obviously robinson

  14. McSauce
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts?
    A) Sanchez & Richarlison/Jota
    B) Eriken & Benardo Silva

    1. Latch86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      A

  15. micol1873
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Mahrez - Too much of a rotational risk ?

    1. arndff_
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think so as City paid a lot money to sign him.

      1. micol1873
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        thanks bud, i just have the FEAR.............. 🙂 my team is set and I don't want to tinker any more, my worry is that i have no cash left and if he doesn't secure a starting 11 place, i have no cah to upgrade to KDB GW2 or GW3

    2. PRENO
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Should start first few games but then can see him warming the bench when Sterling, D.Silva & KDB come back

  16. kommissar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Final selection dilemma for me.
    Would you rather:

    A) De Gea, PVA, Robertson, Mane, McDonald, Mitrovic
    B) Patricio, Trent, Sanchez, Cairney, Firminho

    1. Latch86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      A

  17. KeepCalm
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Guys best 4.5m mid in your opinion please..

    1. Barbarians
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      just copy Marks team - Adam Smith

      1. Marco Ni Motet
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        How does Marks team look?

    2. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I'm going with Cook.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        they're defenders?

        4.5 mid - all pants.

  18. Latch86
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Starting to get jitters about Arnie’s fixtures and West Ham gelling with so many new players! So now playing around with 3 possible options. Which of A, B and C do you think works best?

    A:
    Fab / Foster
    Mendy / Robbo / Wan-Bissaka / Peltier / 5.5*
    Salah / Bilva / Richarlison / Stephens* / Mane*
    Aguero / King* / Arnie*

    B:
    Fab / Foster
    Mendy / Robbo / Wan-Bissaka / Peltier / 4.5*
    Salah / Bilva / Richarlison / Fraser* / Mkhitaryan (or Jota)*
    Aguero / Mitrovic* / Firmino*

    C:
    Fab / Foster
    Mendy / Robbo / Wan-Bissaka / Peltier / 4.5*
    Salah / Bilva / Richarlison / Stephens / Jota*
    Aguero / King / Auba*

    1. Barbarians
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      B
      GW3 - C

  19. Please Help I Don't Kn…
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Bailly gonna play today?

    1. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Yup

  20. Green Thunder
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    1. Auba + B Silva
    Or
    2. Frim + Marhez
    Or
    3. Mane + Morata

    1. Latch86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      1

  21. Henning
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Is Tarkowski a good 5m option or will i go with Boll and save 0.5 m?

  22. Cofinho
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Pick two
    BSilva
    Lucas Moura
    Richarilson
    Maddison
    Jota

  23. Barbarians
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    re goalkeepers

    a ) Fab + Foster = nice rotation
    b) Foster + Stekelenburg = extra 0.5
    c) Pickford + Stekelenburg = safe as same team

    ?

    1. Latch86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      a

    2. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      C for me

    3. castro
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      why is every1 over looking joe hart? pickford and heaton out.

      Hart + Foster for me

  24. Rate My Team reminder
    FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Please remember that if you want to post a RMT, then please post it in the RMT article: https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/

    It's going to be a very busy day on here today, so let's keep everything tidy!

  25. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on this team?

    Foster
    Mendy - VVD - Cook
    Salah - Mané - Bilva - Richarlison
    Aguero - King - Zaha

    Fabianski, Hughes, Wan-Bissaka, Doherty

    Thanks guys!

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      See post above

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Doh!

    3. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      😆

  26. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Wilson@6 anyone?

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Could be a great punt with those fixtures?!

  27. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Best 5.5 defender? Currently on Bailly for Man U defensive coverage.

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I've 2 5.5s Coleman & PvA, fearing Bailly missing wk1 &/or rotation. def United's best CB

      1. Danstoke82
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 months ago

        Thinking he’s the best bet in defence for United and at 5.5 is good value but I need to know whether he’s playing tonight!

  28. Little fekirs
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Last thing to decide my team,

    Mina or Bailly/other 5.5 man utd defender

  29. There's Always One!
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    So many options for 6.5m midfielders. I currently have Richardlison and Pedro.

    Who do you all think are the best options?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      Jota

  30. Andrew
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 months ago

    Best £4.5 not Tompkins as I have WB

    1. Mingo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 months ago

      I have Cedric but considering Boly.