Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 6

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 6. It’s the first Friday deadline of the season – you have until 18:30 BST to ready the troops!

Who to captain?

This week Jan Sienkiewicz, our sage of the armband, recommends Sadio Mané (£11.9m), Mohamed Salah (£12.3m) and Raheem Sterling (£11.6m) in his Captain Sensible article. Risk-taking often factors into our decision-making process, and in terms of popularity Salah is the safest pick:

“Backed by over 66% of our voters combined, Salah and Kane seem to be the safe choices for Gameweek 6, the heavily-backed Egyptian the safest of the two.”

– Jan

In the latest edition of The Review, BigManBakar also tips Salah ahead of an enticing encounter against Sheffield United:

He’s on penalties playing for a team that has the best xG this season. According to the bookies, Salah has the best odds of scoring a goal and Liverpool are the most likely team this Gameweek to score 2.5+ goals. No player in the league has recorded more shots in the box this season.

– BigManBakar

Meanwhile David, who returned to the Captain Video after successfully transferring out a wisdom tooth last week, brought more good news for those considering a Liverpool player. Pointing out the impact the now-departed Dean Henderson (£5.4m) had on the Blades’ defence, he noted:

Sheffield United last season, for all the clean sheets they kept, I think a lot of people … would have assumed their xGC (expected goals conceded) was often quite good, but actually it really wasn’t. They would give up lots of Big Chances, but Dean Henderson had the second-best xG Prevented in the whole division last year, i.e. he was making incredible saves to keep Sheffield United in games.

– David

And if you prefer a differential option – a tactic last week’s Meet the Manager guest Graeme Sumner advocates – Neale was on hand with a tasty stat in his Big Numbers piece.

79.4 minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI) recorded by Sadio Mane, the best figure in the division from any player who has started at least one Premier League match this season.

– Neale

At under 10 per cent ownership, the Senegalese could be the better option for those willing to move away from Salah.

High opportunity cost

With so many players performing well this year it’s impossible to have them all. One strategy is to switch between the premium assets for their best fixtures, to give yourself the best captain candidates. 

But, as Greyhead has found out this season, you will have to accept the high opportunity cost.

The Community scribe sold Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) before his unexpected Gameweek 3 hat-trick away to Manchester City, he then ditched a potentially-injured Son Heung-min (£9.4m) ahead of his brace in Gameweek 4, and even his Gameweek 5 transfer-out Che Adams (£5.8m) returned 11 points after leaving his team.

The topic was raised on this week’s Scoutcast, with all three of Joe, Az, and Lee holding differing opinions on how to deal with the season. Az in particular was against switching out expensive players:

I think you can build a team with these premiums and you don’t need to worry about switching them out every week to try and catch different ones, because we’ve seen how much that can hurt people.

– Az

Instead, Az prefers to identify blocks of fixtures rather than transferring out a player because he blanked. 

Pro Pundit Simon March offered a different perspective on opportunity cost when discussing loss aversion, a cognitive bias that describes our tendency to fear losses more than we value gains.

Arguably the number one source of anxiety among Fantasy managers comes from transferring a player out who you suspect might suddenly start scoring, something that always seems to happen.

– Simon

Citing Timo Werner’s (£9.3m) haul against Southampton’s high-line defence, Simon explained that “one of the key skill elements of FPL is identifying the contextual factors that influence whether a player will score or not.

Essentially, judge the decision not the outcome. Simon concluded:

Most importantly, although it might feel like it, a player did not start scoring because you transferred them out. That kind of ‘magical thinking’ can quickly sabotage a Fantasy manager’s season as it removes logic and objectivity and puts events firmly into the hands of chance.

– Simon

And fellow Pro Pundit Lateriser doesn’t expect the rollercoaster of a season to stop any time soon.

This season, variance is a lot higher than usual and I expect that trend to continue. Be prepared for it and remember that this is only a game, one which involves a fair amount of luck and unpredictability as well.

– Lateriser

Value Villains 

Several contributors have noted the value on offer in Aston Villa’s ranks, who have surprised us all with their excellent start.

Now is a good time to invest in [Villa] from an attacking standpoint. When it comes to their attackers, I get the feeling that you will get what you pay for. Jack Grealish (£7.2m), Ross Barkley (£6.0m) and Ollie Watkins (£6.0m) are all correctly priced in my opinion and could be good stick-and-forget options for a while.

– Lateriser

In his Scout Notes from Gameweek 5, David Wardale, the author of Wasting Your Wildcard, revealed that Grealish was the most advanced Aston Villa player against Leicester City. While Az also recommends the Villa talisman:

Looking at the numbers, Grealish seems the stand-out option. Turning attention to Mark’s “Top Penalty Box Dweller” table in the Premium Members Area also shows that no player in the league can better the number of touches that Grealish has had in the opposition box (38) over the last four Gameweeks.

– Az

Referring once more to Neale’s stat-dive article, we find that Dean Smith’s men could be set for more immediate returns:

2.8 direct attacks per game recorded by Aston Villa this season, the highest number in the Premier League. Leeds United, Villa’s opponents on Friday, have had the most direct attacks against per game so far this term (4.0). A direct attack is one that starts just inside a team’s own half, has at least 50% of movement towards the opposition goal and ends with a shot or touch in the opponent’s box. Aston Villa ranked 16th for this statistic last season (1.4).

– Neale

A change in attacking style this season that looks set to reap rewards again in Gameweek 5.

Are Premium Defenders Worth the Money?

– the black circles represent the defenders priced £5.5m and over

Lateriser is considering selling Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m), Magnus Carlsen has sold Trent Alexander-Arnold, and BigManBakar’s research finds that “Andrew Robertson (£7.1m) is beating Trent in almost every single underlying stat that matters – not only this season but post restart”.

The graphic above is taken from FPL Ted’s video analysing premium defenders. Alexander-Arnold stands out with nine shots and nine chances created, which would suggest attacking returns are imminent. But perhaps the numbers aren’t as impressive as they first appear:

Alexander-Arnold seems to have monopolised direct free-kicks, which may explain why all nine of goal attempts have been small chances.

– FPL Ted

Neale, too, paints a less-than-ideal picture of the Liverpool full-back:

50 minutes per chance created by Trent Alexander-Arnold this season, still a very reasonable figure but down on last season’s average of 37. His average number of crosses per match has dropped from 10.1 to 7.4, in no small part thanks to his rate of corner-kicks dipping (4.3 to 2.6); Robertson, indeed, has delivered more of those than the Liverpool right-back in 2020/21.

– Neale

Will he be making way in your team this week?

Finally, before confirming your starting line-up, don’t forget to check the latest Team News and Predicted Line-ups. In case you missed it, James Rodriguez (£8.0m) may make a miraculous recovery for Sunday’s game!

Community latest

Earlier today, the Best of the Community feature included a tactical analysis from Kroos Kontrol, a ‘keeper evaluation from El Estadístico, and Jaydutt’s list of potential transfer traps ahead of the weekend’s fixtures.

And finally, for those interested in the Head-to-Head Leagues, the main page can be linked to here. The fixtures for Gameweek 6 can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in, follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

Once the Gameweek starts, if you click on your opponent’s name you will be linked to their team on the FPL website.

May your arrows be green!


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TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.”

1,099 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The Handsome Hunk
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    GL to all of you!

    1. Flair
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Good luck mate

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      You too

    3. Little Red Lacazette
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Same to you.

    4. BarryManilows
        1 month, 8 days ago

        I hope you get 10 pts you do gooders

      • Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Let the green arrow be with us, GL!

    5. Dont_Win_Friends_With_Salah…
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Is anything worth a minus 4? I have 1.5 ITB for an upgrade

      Martinez
      TAA Saiss Lamptey
      Bruno(C) Son Pulisic James Podence
      Kane DCL

      Nyland Brewster Justin James

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        GET_SALAH_STUPID_ TO_GO_WITHOUT_SALAH_100

        1. Dont_Win_Friends_With_Salah…
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Very helpful. Thanks

      2. Tinkermania
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Can you afford Bruno to (S)alah?

        1. Dont_Win_Friends_With_Salah…
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Nope, unfortunately not

    6. Little Red Lacazette
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Good luck everyone. Who are you captaining? Kane, Mo or other? Mo here.

      1. Flair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Sadio.

        Good luck to you too

      2. Bobby Digital
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Mo, tempted by Son though...

      3. Arteta
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Kane again. Good luck to you as well!

      4. La Roja
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Harry

      5. AC Yew
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Mo though feeling punty and want to go Maupay!!

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I have Maupay too but ever thought of giving him the armband.

    7. Tmel
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      a) Jimi > Kane
      b) Werner > Kane

      1. jamesjoseph2770
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        A.

    8. Arteta
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Who else is giving Podence last chance?

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Two good home games to come

      2. BarryManilows
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Why would you even pick him from the start anyway

          1. Arteta
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            GW3 wildcard pick. He was quite popular back then.

          2. Guru Mediation
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Helpful

      3. PLerix
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Any news on Dier? Will he start, injured or out of contention?

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I'm starting him

      4. Flair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Good luck all. I'll be back when Mo wins 3 pens off Egan handballs

        1. how now brown cow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Here's hoping

      5. adstomko
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Choose one:
        A) Ings vs Everton (H)
        B) Aguero vs West Ham (A)

      6. Annie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        £15 to watch Villa tonight on BT, absolute joke.

        1. how now brown cow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Nowt to do with which team it is.

          £15 for any game is a joke. Not doing it.

          1. Annie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Didn't say it was. Of the mind to cancel Sky Sports altogether.

        2. BarryManilows
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Villa & Leeds fans will pay

          • It’s gonna Ben Mee
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Best defence in the league. Worth at least £15 😉

        3. _Ninja_
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Thinking of doing Barnes to Grealish, likely to backfire?

          1. how now brown cow
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            I would, but theres always a chance.

          2. Bobby Digital
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Giving him a chance

          3. wulfranian
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            I did it.

          4. Rinseboy
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            I would for longer term mate. Good move

            one of you who would you bench from
            Saiss Barnes or Lamptey?

            1. _Ninja_
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Tough one mate, i'm maybe selling Barnes as i think he'll blank.

        4. how now brown cow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Martinez
          Robbo Mitchell Chilwell
          Pulisic Hamez Son McGinn Salah (c)
          Kane DCL

          Steer Brewster Dallas Kwp

          Looking ok to save FT? Bench order right?

        5. wulfranian
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Would you take a hit or good to go?
          McCarthy
          Coady/Targett/PVA
          Salah/Trossard/Son/Grealish
          Werner/Kane/Jimenez

          0ft 0.0itb

          a)Werner->Dcl/Ings(-4

          1. ididnt
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            def not - gtg

            1. Hansel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Gtg

          2. wulfranian
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            thanks both

          3. lespaul
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            -16 needed

            1. wulfranian
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Why?

        6. ididnt
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Reece James to Reguilon -4?

          1. jamesjoseph2770
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Do it. Reece James isn't playing..

            1. Hansel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Who is your backup?

            2. Hazz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Bookmarked.

              1. ididnt
                • 9 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                what do you mean?

          2. wulfranian
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Tough call.Tottenham has only 3 good fixtures.I prefer Chilwell if you have the money.

            1. ididnt
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              I have the money for Chilwell, but prefer Spurs this week. Back-up is Mitchell

        7. manu4life99
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Start Chilly or Soucek?

          1. Kavorka
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Soucek

          2. BarryManilows
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Soucek

          3. AC Yew
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Would you take a hit for McCarthy---> Martinez?

            1. manu4life99
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              I would not.

            2. ididnt
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              no

            3. Kavorka
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Nah

            4. AC Yew
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Thanks guys. Probably should log off now!

          4. Jurgen Flopp
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Which one to play:

            A. Chilwell
            B. Mitchell
            C. Justin

            Cheers

            1. Traction Engine Foot
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              A

          5. Feed tha Sheep
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            A. Davies > Lamptey -4?
            B. Play Mitchell

            1. Art Vandelay
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              See my post below mate. It all depends on how likely you think Mitchell starting is.

              If no starts for Mitchell and Davies leaves you in trouble then a hit might make sense as the problem is not going away.

          6. Art Vandelay
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Do we think Mitchell gets one more game. Trying to decide whether to ditch Reece James this week as I could be struggling to get 11 out.

            1. Klaren
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              I think it’s more likely than not as you’d imagine PVA would get some minutes off the bench before starting, especially as Hodgson don’t tend to rush players back in. But there is still a risk.

              1. Art Vandelay
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                Cheers. Really tempted by Jame to Regulion.

                1. ididnt
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 8 days ago

                  seriously contemplating the same move

                  1. Art Vandelay
                    • 10 Years
                    1 month, 8 days ago

                    It would be a hit but am still considering it. However, now that it looks like James Rodriguez might be playing, I potentially have less of a squad issue than I thought so will probably leave it.

          7. Steirish
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Start Chilwell or Kilman? already have Saiss starting

          8. Will J 256
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Jimi to Kane (C) -4?

            1. RAFA THE GAFFA
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              No

          9. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Final decision is Justin or Davies (chance of a 1 pointer) as first sub?

            1. La Roja
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              They’ll both be benched I reckon

              1. RAFA THE GAFFA
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                Why would Justin be benched??

          10. lampsblues
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Grealish or Barkley?

          11. AMP
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            KDB to Mane for next 2 weeks??????

            1. Tinkermania
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Oh yess! Even forever. Kdb could be back to his injury ways of 2 seasons ago.

          12. lelou881
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Need to play one.... Mitchell, KWP, or Ayling?

            Thanks!

          13. Hansel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            1FT, 2.4 ITB

            McCarthy
            TAA Robbo Mitchel
            Salah Son Hamez* Podence
            Mitro Ings Jimi

            Steer Bissouma Justin Taylor

            A) Save
            B) Jimi -> Kane

            Will probably captain Salah

          14. gaet1112
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            What do u think about giving armband to TAA?

            1. Flair
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Has a lot of merit

            2. Hansel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Haha no

          15. Tmel
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Podence > Barkley for free or save FT?

          16. Hansel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Go

          17. AnfieldRoad
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            For GW6 and beyond:

            A) Sterling and Brewster
            B) Foden and Ings

          18. The Wizard of Ozil
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Best defender for 5.9 or less? Have Saiss

            A) Reguilón
            B) Chilwell
            C) PVA (with Mitchell as backup)