Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. laoshi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    1. Saka out with -12?

    2. To who, 6.0 itb

  2. moz_1983
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Anyone sticking with Bamford or time to ditch? I know he has good fixtures coming up but without Raph they look weak. Considering Watkins for the double.

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Ditched. For DCL.

    2. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I'm still thinking of bringing him back next week. Raphina is probably going to be back by then - and it's important to remember they've had very tough fixtures. United, City and Liverpool in the last 4.

    3. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Time overdue to get rid - for either Watkins, or DCL if you can afford

    4. Sean
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Anyone reckons Leno plays both games?

      1. Sean
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        accidental reply

  3. Ohh1454
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Is no one worried greenwood could be benched on Sunday ?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I’ve just realised how close the games are. So it’s not a triple in reality

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Someone has to start over Cavani

      1. Ohh1454
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Rashford could play up top

        1. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          Then wing spot will be open for someone

          1. pingissimus
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 11 days ago

            Greenwood won't play 4 in 8 days

            1. Holmes
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 11 days ago

              I think he will get benched Vs Leicester and Liverpool.

              1. pingissimus
                • 5 Years
                3 years, 11 days ago

                Oh okay

                Misunderstood your point. Think he might get Villa and Pool myself but there again I suspect OGS may well just be fielding whoever is still fit by the Pool game. Rash and Cavani are hardly models of fitness.

    3. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Not a big isseu - he can come on as sub , and then you would think he should start the next two

    4. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Went with Rash,think he will be benched

      Pogba Cavani Rash front 3 imo

  4. Bad Kompany
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Need a cheap defender to play for 36. Are either Burn or Diop nailed?

    1. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Diop is

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        So ogbonna isn’t a worry? Or will they move to a back 5 when he’s back?

        1. WHUFCSmith23
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          Ogbonna is a worry but he is coming back from a Hamstring injury which he picked up after coming back from injury. I doubt they will throw him in. They gave Cresswell and Antonio extra time to recover I would expect they would sit Ogbonna for at least another week or so. So 36 should be Diops.

          I'm not a Brighton fan so don't know for sure but isn't Burn first choice left back, and Brighton are one or West Hams bogey sides

  5. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Sunday Tuesday Thursday

    Didn’t realise it was that! Looks horrible now

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Yes. I am going with just one.

    2. Burger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      That's nasty.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Brutal isn’t it. Does anyone get 3?

        1. GreennRed
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          Hopefully Shaw and Greenwood!

    3. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Following on from a Thursday game

      It’s actually ridiculous

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Zaha over Greenwood?

        1. ExpressoMySonny
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          I think it’s not a bad shout if you have double United?

  6. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Start one from Rudiger, Coleman, Lingard this week lads?

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Lingard

  7. All For One
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Guaita
    Castagne, Kabak, Shaw
    (C)Bruno, Lingard, Son, Mount, Jota
    Kane, Ineanacho

    Martinez, Lowton, Bamford, Dallas

    BB Active

    0 FT 2.9 ITB

    Gtg guys?

    1. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Not tempted to get in DCL or Watkins for a minus 4 from Bambam?

      1. All For One
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Not too fond of DCL but might have to lol.

  8. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Given James Rodriguez out is Lingard to Siggy -4 and play over Fofana worth doing?

    1. Maarrrr17
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      eh.
      so you were playing fofana over lingard?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Undecided but double made me think Fofana better option

  9. ManUtdFan977
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    start son or lingard

    1. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Son, son.

    2. dwain100
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Son

  10. andres
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Best keep for TGW 35, on Fh.

    Thanks

  11. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Anyone actually starting Lingz this week?

    Decent chance he gets 90 minutes to 60 from Jota. Everton are not exactly leak proof.

    Tempted.

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Definitely, but also have Harrison and Vyrdra so one of them will be benched

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I would start him if I had him

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Over Jota?

        I all but sold Jota last week so no real compunction here in losing him as a starter this time.

    3. Maarrrr17
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Yeah, could end up being a differential with how many people i see benching him

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I am benching. For El Ghazi.

  12. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Masuaku, Son and Vydra to Digne, El Ghazi and DCL (-8)

    Madness? Probably saves a hit next week (unless Masuaku recovers and plays)

  13. Maarrrr17
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Rudiger > Lindelof for a free?

    yes or no

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Yes

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      No

    3. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      No for me

    4. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Nope

  14. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Would you rather have Greenwood or Zaha and an extra player next week?

    Currently leaning towards Zaha even if he is a bit of a trap sometimes

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I was leaning towards Zaha. Then the TGW madness took over and i'm looking for another hit and going for nither

    2. clarkey_2000
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Zaha for me, a lot of palace goals go through him and they have good fixtures and imo will probably play more or similar mins

  15. clarkey_2000
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    G2G? no FT left but not 100% on the bench

    Pickford
    digne TAA Mitchell Shaw
    rashford fernandes JWP
    Kane Ihenacho Watkins

    B: Sanchez, Son Bowen Veltman

    1. LIARS POKER
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I would start Son ahead of Mitchell personally

    2. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Play Son, think Mitchell only gets one game

  16. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    It’s such a shame Palace are so crap! Great fixtures

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Against Sheffield United & Southampton defences they’ll Shirley get a few chances

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Zaha over Greenwood if it gets me an extra player for 36?

        1. LIARS POKER
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          In the same predicament and leaning towards Zaha, plus i'm chasing

        2. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          Going for both - but marginally prefer Zaha all things considered even with Greenwood’s “3” games

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        How many points does a missed chance get again?

    2. justaguy9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I got in ward. Lers hope for at least 1 cs

  17. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Bottomed

    GTG?

    1 FT, 0.0 ITB

    Martinez
    TAA, Rudiger, Castagne
    Salah (C), Bruno (VC), Saka, Jota
    Kane, DCL, Ihenacho

    Subs: Pope, Lingard, Coufal, Dunk

  18. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Salah (tc)?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Sure

    2. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Not a bad shout. No Bruno?

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Nope don't have him

        1. Boxwoods
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 11 days ago

          Go for it!

    3. Maarrrr17
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Could be absolute gold.
      As could Bruno tho.

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Sunday Tuesday Thursday

  19. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Who to get ?
    A- Coleman
    B- Ward

    1. Westfield Irons ⭐️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      A to cover Digne, who will be heavily owned.

  20. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Which Utd?

    A) Henderson
    B) Utd def (will have to skip Castagne)

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      A

  21. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    A) Bamford > Watkins
    B) Save FT - gives me 2 FTs in 36 to sort the 4 blank players.

    Team is:
    Martinez
    Digne, TAA, Castagne
    Greenwood, Bruno, Son, Jota, Lingard
    Kane, Iheanacho

    Fabri, Bamford, Dunk, Struijk

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Presumably you'd bench Lingard if you brought Watkins in?

      1. Mr_Barbs
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        Yep

    2. JoeSoap
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      A

  22. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Anyone going Salah(C) over Bruno? Those 3 fixtures are so close

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Yeah.
      2 weeks rest.
      Salah averaging 0.9 xG per game vs. Bruno 0.3.
      Bruno only worth it if you think he features in all 3 IMO.

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Did not even consider Bruno. It's a double for him. And one of those games will be a tired United team vs a fresh Pool team.

    3. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Would go Nacho if going differential, also due to small risk of game postponements

  23. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    BB team g2g?

    Mendy
    Taa castagne Shaw
    Salah Bruno(c) siggy zaha
    Dcl Watkins nacho

    Pickford Dallas lingard Ward

  24. justaguy9
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    C rashford or Greenwood??

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Wouldn’t cap either - just take the hauls if they come

      Salah, Bruno, Vardy the guys to be backing imo

      1. justaguy9
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 11 days ago

        I have none of salah bruno or vardy.
        Other options are nacho or shaw or trent

  25. JoeSoap
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Pick 3 (in order) that you feel would have highest points gain this week? On BB

    A. Son>Salah
    B. Gun>Zaha
    C. Gun>JWP
    D. Coady>Digne
    E. Wood>Watkins
    F. Wood>DCL
    G. Gun>Greenwood/Pogba

    1. Westfield Irons ⭐️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      G
      D
      F

  26. Il Capitano
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    0 FT 0 ITB

    Martinez
    Digne TAA Shaw Targett
    Bruno (C) Salah Jota Lingard
    Nacho Kane

    Fabri - Mitchell ESR Bamford

    Think I'm set, Hodgson's comments about being more bold in the shu game and managing Mitchell's fitness makes me think it'll be a SGW v Saints for him so I think I'll play Targett.

    Any other changes to consider?

  27. Plagued by indecision
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Fairly pleased with this FH now. What say you?

    Guaita (Forster)
    Castagne / Digne / TAA (Holding / Mitchell)
    Bruno / Aubameyang / Salah / Zaha (Bissouma)
    DCL / Watkins / Iheanacho

    1. space mercenary
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      I would have Mane over Auba with Laca back. In fact, without Laca back :-).

  28. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Pick one

    A- Digne+Rudiger+Greenwood+4 points

    B-Son+Rudiger+Greenwood+4 points

    C- Digne+Greenwood+Evans

  29. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    Salah and Nacho could be differential captains. Great home fixtures then the chance of facing a second string United. Both close to 180 minutes just like the United players.

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Yep both great shouts

      I’ve stubbornly backed Vardy last two & watched him waste chance after chance after chance so keeping armband on him

      But Nacho is a great shout - and it would be a very Salah thing for him to hattrick vs Southampton

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 days ago

      Agree

  30. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 11 days ago

    How many starts would you be happy with from this BB?

    Martinez/Guita
    Castagne/Holgate/Ward/Konsa/Rudiger
    Brino(C)/Pogba/Salah/Siggy/JWP
    Nacho/Vards/Watkins

    1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 days ago

      Whats your rank ??