Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 38+

It’s here: the final day of the season! Soon all the tinkering will stop and the rollercoaster ride will begin. Strap yourselves in! 

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 38+. Today’s deadline is at 15:00 BST, one hour before all ten matches kick-off.

The basics first: check the team news. Neale watches all the press conferences throughout the season and will have a sense for how each Premier League manager might approach their last game.

His predicted line-ups and notes contain the most up-to-date information about each team. Make sure your picks or potential transfer targets are included in his best-guess starting XIs. We might get some early team news but it helps to be prepared as much as possible beforehand.

There are a number of different ways to approach Gameweek 38+ and what you choose to do may depend on your overall rank and mini-league situation.

Mark Sutherns, for instance, hasn’t enjoyed his best campaign despite climbing the ranks since the resumption. And he revealed on the FPL show that Christian Pulisic will be his captain because he needs something different to break into the top 100k.

But this isn’t a recommendation that all FPL managers do the same, as Mark himself admitted a safe pick would be a Manchester City player such as Raheem Sterling or, perhaps, Kevin De Bruyne. In the conclusion to his Captain Sensible article, David wrote:

Sterling is clearly the most promising asset from Guardiola’s squad based on his last four performances. No Citizen can match him for big chances or shots on target during that period as he has rediscovered his clinical edge and an impassioned desire to hit 20 or more goals in the Premier League this season.

– David, Captain Sensible

Not only is Sterling in good form but he faces a team in bad shape. Norwich City have conceded 54 shots in the box over their last four matches; only Brighton have been worse. 

It’s easy to understand why so many are considering Pep Guardiola’s troops. To add fuel to the fire, Pep himself revealed that scoring goals will be a motivation for his players:

Every game there has to be a target, a focus, a desire to win the game, and maybe, scoring 100 goals is one of the reasons why.

– Pep Guardiola

The Citizens are currently on 97 goals for the season. So, is everyone tripling up on the former champions?

We’ve had five articles from our Pro Pundits this week: Zophar, Sam, Az, Holly, and Lateriser12 and they all have three City players in their teams.

Likewise Neale, who is preparing his Free Hit team, and Andy, who isn’t on a Free Hit but will have three City attackers.

using-the-top-10000-ownership-to-increase-your-fpl-rank-andys-article 9

On the Scoutcast, Az unveiled an alternative Free Hit team, one without Aubameyang, while both Joe and guest Aleksander will have two City attackers. Aleksander is currently third in the world and is debating whether he goes all out to win FPL – which means picking some differentials – or playing safe and trying to hold onto the bronze medal.

And in his regular review, TheFantasyFreÆK explained how he favours the City front three

It seems only Mark will have one City player as he considers swapping Willian for David Silva

Who knows where the points are going to go, it’s a bit of a lottery isn’t it?

– Mark Sutherns, FPL Show

But there are plenty of opportunities this week for captain and transfer options with a number of enticing match-ups. 

Newcastle, as Neale outlined on the Team News video, are down five of their recognised six centre-halfs, while David described them as being “among the most obliging defences of the last four matches”.

Good news for Liverpool and perhaps Mohamed Salah, who has, according to expected goals, been “the ‘unluckiest’ player in the Premier League from Gameweek 30+ onwards when we factor in both the quality of his chances and the execution of his shots”.

As Pro Pundit Holly notes:

[Salah’s] top for shots (21), shots on target (12) and shots inside the box (19), so ignore him at your peril.

– Pro Pundit Holly
 1

On the Breakfast Club, Neale explained that Mané’s aerial ability could lead to points against the Magpies. Steve Bruce’s side have conceded the most headed chances since the restart, which is consistent with their performance all season. 

There could be a lot of joy in the air for Liverpool.

– Neale, Breakfast Club

Crystal Palace are another side who are expected to struggle, with injuries across their backline. Good news for Harry Kane:

Not only are the Eagles giving up a host of high-quality chances, Spurs’ centre-forward has been steadily improving his total of big chances and shots on target over the last four.

– David, Captain Sensible

Kane’s teammate Son Heung-min was mentioned by Aleksander on the Scoutcast, and Johnny Orphan, currently 53rd in the world, has an interesting theory that the Eagles’ current right-back Joel Ward is a weak link in their defence.

Meanwhile, Watford’s recent poor form will give encouragement to those backing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette. The latter was selected by Pro Pundit Tom Freeman as one of his three differentials this week.

[The Hornets’] 13 big chances conceded over the last four matches is the same number as Palace and Norwich but means giving up one every 2.7 shots in the box.

– David, Captain Sensible

Seven of those big chances conceded were against Manchester City, it has to be said. 

Tricky Calls

We might feel reasonably confident in predicting wins for City, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal but a number of matches are much harder to call.

Take Chelsea v Wolves, for example. Both teams need to get a result to fulfil their European ambitions. The boldness of Mark’s decision to hand Pulisic the armband is highlighted when we consider the strength of the opposition defence: 

Five big chances conceded by Wolverhampton Wanderers since the restart, which is the lowest total in the division. No club has conceded fewer goals (four), shots in the box (16) or efforts in the box (41) than Wolves from Gameweek 30+ onwards.

– Neale, Big Numbers

And Manchester United’s trip to Leicester City is another game with a lot potentially riding on the result – a place in the Champions League could be at stake.

Their recent schedule afforded Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men very little time to recover between matches, which may well have contributed to some tired-looking performances. However, as Az warned on the Scoutcast, taking out United players could hurt given their huge ownership levels. 

But, equally, this could be a very cagey match as a draw will be good enough for both teams should Wolves beat Chelsea.

Go cheap at the back?

With many managers looking to invest in appealing attacking assets, identifying cut-price defenders with clean sheet potential could be key to Gameweek 38+ success.

So Chris Wood’s comments ahead of Burnley’s match against Brighton were music to our ears:

As a team, we’ll be fighting like hell for [Nick Pope]. He’s an outstanding goalkeeper. Hopefully, we can get him one more so he can get his hands on the Golden Glove.

– Chris Wood

Not only do Burnley offer several cheap defensive options but there’s also the chance they could produce some attacking returns too:

36 chances conceded by Brighton and Hove Albion from their right flank since the restart. Only relegated Norwich City have allowed more opportunities to be created from that zone than the Seagulls… Erik Pieters could potentially exploit that weakness when the two sides meet on Sunday, then.

– Neale, Big Numbers

Since replacing Bernd Leno in goal in Gameweek 30+, Emiliano Martinez has saved 83.3% of the shots on target he’s faced. At £4.4m, he could help enable more expensive options further forward.

And Southampton have the fifth-best chance of recording a clean sheet according to the latest odds supplied, as ever, by G-Whizz. Alex McCarthy, Jack Stephens and Kyle Walker-Peters are all sub-£4.5m options for our squads.

Enjoy the final day

Lateriser12 reminded us that we should try to have fun, and one way of doing that is by playing the game our way:

… you still need to make well informed decisions that are based on stats and the eye-test and on the correct side of probability. The point is that you have to be happy you made the right choice for your playing style, regardless of the outcome.

– Lateriser12

In his article this week, he quoted former community member Eunuch Jelly, who defined what made playing FPL so enjoyable for him:

If you keep your eye on the ball, you can set yourself up for hours of enjoyment at the expense of your rivals. I urge you to transcend points and find the true heart of the game, where those who take a different path can mock others for a few minutes on the weekend and be the real champions of the game.

– Eunuch Jelly

Whether it’s getting one over on a rival or reaching a certain rank, FPL is a game which unites us all.

And speaking of the Fantasy community, here’s your chance to get more involved with the site by joining the Scout Network.

Be it a cool tool, a video channel, amazing tech skills or anything else in between, we want to hear from you.

Community Competitions

For an update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions – including the winners of both the Head-to-Head league and Last Man Standing – please click here to read the latest round-up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38+ can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in (although you probably know by now!), follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

May your arrows be green!


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3,847 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ycfc
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Play one:

    A) Doherty
    B) Saka
    C) Stevens
    D) Egan

    Thanks!

    1. DandyDon
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 24 days ago

      c

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

    3. azamn013
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

    4. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

    5. Ycfc
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Thanks all

  2. MillsAU
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    If you knew all 4 were starting:

    A. KDB, Gomez
    B. Mahrez, Robertson

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      B

    2. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      B

    3. WALOR
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      B

    4. Vimes (No Arsenal Players)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      B only because I think Gomez is a terrible pick. KDB over Mahrez

  3. Vpan
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Help please:

    A) Vardy ➡️ Kane

    Or

    B) Bruno/Martial ➡️ Dilva

    Or

    C) Bruno/Martial + Vardy ➡️ Sterling + Nketiah -4

    1. Le _ Professeur
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      I personally think Kane will go big today .. so A for me

  4. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Hello guys. What would you do here?

    Foster
    TAA, Doherty, Digne
    Salah, Martial, Fernandes, Pulisic, KDB
    Wood, Jimenez

    Subs: Button, Nketiah, Lascelles, 3.9 --- 1 FT, 0.1 ITB

    A) Fernandes -> Mahrez/ Dilva
    B) Salah -> Sterling
    C) Salah and Jimenez -> Dilva and Kane/Jesus (-4)

    1. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A, Silva safer

      1. Trophé Mourinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Silva surfer?

  5. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Guys vardy to Kane tc for free? But kdb only as city cover..

    1. FPLGeezer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Sounds good. Kane I'm sure scored hat tricks on last game before.

      1. The Dance
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Won’t this time

    2. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      No

    3. Le _ Professeur
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      YES

    4. Brehmeren
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Yes

  6. maclrc
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Best TC choice without Sterling

    A) Dilva
    B) Salah
    C) KdB

    1. Catastrophe
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      a

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      C

    3. WALOR
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

    4. azamn013
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      C

    5. Limbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

    6. Neo-Viper
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      This particular comment feels so cold!

  7. FDMS All Starz
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Which combo?

    A) Auba - Martial - Jesus

    B) Ings - Mane - Mahrez

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

  8. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Repost.

    Hey guys, who do you think will get more points this week between Ings (SHU) or Antonio (AVL)?

    Cheers

    1. Guy Demel
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Antonio

    2. WALOR
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Sadly for me, Ings

    3. Catastrophe
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      ings! Villa toughened up at the back

    4. FPLGeezer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Ings

    5. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Neither

      1. john25
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Neither what?

  9. Catastrophe
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    So...do Bruno & Ederson -> Pope & Dilva now, or wait for potential leaks and/or FPL crash!?

    1. azamn013
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Now, D Silva seems to be about the most nailed on City attacker.

    2. WALOR
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Now

  10. Ruinenlust
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    So TAA will be benched right?

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      How do we know?

    2. Catastrophe
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      no one knows. He got benched already in 35+, I think (and hope) he will start

  11. Georgeyboy33
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Who is scoring more points?

    Jimenez
    Greenwood

    1. Trophé Mourinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Jimi for me, hard call tho can easily go either way. Flip a coin

    2. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Jimenez I think.

    3. Limbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Jimi

  12. FPLGeezer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Which pair scores more

    A) Rashford and Silva (C)

    B) Sterling (C) & Greenwood -4

    1. JohnBlack
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

  13. Disturbed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Taa Foden > pieters dsilva for a hit?

    1. yousunkmybattleship
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Sure

  14. Danno - Emre Canada
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Would you take out Martial for Son for a hit if slightly chasing and maybe even captain?

  15. HD7
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Is Fernandes to Laporte worth it -4?

    *Dont have anyone at the bench and Newcastle vs Liverpool

  16. Red Rock
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Midfield of

    KDB DSilva Foden Martial Bruno

    A) Bruno > Salah (-4) swap Doherty to Pieters

    B) KDB > Sterling +4

  17. Pukki Blinders
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Martial or Bruno --> Dilva... yes or no?

  18. Rainer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Virgil or Robbo?

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      VVD

  19. BurnMyBread
    1 month, 24 days ago

    A) Lamptey
    B) Pieters

    1) Antonio, Pulisic (3-5-2)
    2) Antonio, Auba (3-4-3)
    3) Pulisic, Auba (3-4-3)

  20. osceola31909
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    On bench boost. Which is the better option?

    A) Salah, Lascelles --> Sterling, Pieters (-4). Gives me 13 players.
    B) KDB, Bruno --> Sterling (C), D. Silva (-4). Means I keep Salah.

    Ryan - Button
    TAA - Doherty - Saiss - C. Taylor - Lascelles
    Salah - KDB - Bruno - Martial - Willian
    Jesus - Ings - Greenwod
    1ft, 0.7 itb

  21. LLoris
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Who should I bring in?
    A) Saiss to Aurier
    B) Doherty to Robo

    1. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A

    2. Bun Rab L4D2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      A.

  22. Deulofail
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Salah isn't unlucky, he's wasteful.

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Reminds me of the season Andy Cole scored all those goals for Newcastle. You wouldn't believe the number of chances he wasted that season, but he scored 40+ in all comps that year.

  23. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    At this point, surely you've decided what you're gonna do... Just waiting now on team news to see if you have to rip up your original plan.

    1. Deulofail
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Nope. What should I do?

    2. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      I have just waiting on city/ Liverpool news to change lineup from my bench. Transfers are done, too risk with fpl crashes

    3. FPLGeezer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Nope. Should I do Bruno & Rashford to Sterling and Greenwood for -4?

      Would captain Sterling and KDB other city player

    4. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      LOL. I wish.

  24. Loftus cheeky nandos
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Garcia or baldock to start?

  25. Kane Lane
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Hi All,

    Need Fantasy community advice.

    Should I just make minus 12 currently 12pts ahead I don't own Sterling my rival has him no doubt he will take out Vardy for Kane most likely cheeky cap Kane. Do I block him bring in Sterling and Kane and Pieters for KDB Ings TAA. Worried a year playing going to last game week.

    Thanks

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      That’s one hell of a risk

    2. Trophé Mourinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Dont take a -12 for sure, and try not to take a hit tbh. Whats your team?

    3. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Play your own game but -12 is silly, -4 at most...

    4. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      DO NOT TAKE A 12 pt hit if ur 12 points inhead of ur rival

  26. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Foden/Bruno/Martial/Vardy to Dilva/Salah/Son/Nketiah for a punty -12 folks?

  27. jaybradlights
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Any idea what % of the Top 10K have a chip left?

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      From memory (might be a bit out), I think 30 to 35%

    2. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      I think it’s 34% free hit
      Then like 12% tc
      10% bb
      And 5% wc
      There was a post earlier

  28. chaser123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Has FPL Rockstar suggested he might have some team sheets?

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      He suggested he won’t be tweeting anything GW 38

    2. Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      No

    3. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      He keeps saying no but in a way that’s there is hope he may, hinting at a release of city lineup

  29. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Nobody worried FPL will crash the last 5 minutes before deadline ?

    1. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Make ur transfers before

  30. marquinhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Start Alonso or Saiss?