Pro Pundits - Sam

The importance of not overreacting to a bad start in FPL

FPL Family’s Sam discusses not drawing too many conclusions from Gameweek 1 and keeping positive throughout the season.

Is investing in the Spurs defence?

When you are a dedicated FPL manager you tend to spend hours, days and even weeks pondering on your team for Gameweek 1. The summer is spent thinking about players, fixtures, budgets and pre-season. This can take over other aspects of your life. This year, I regularly found myself waking up with £4.5m defenders on the brain. So when you have committed so much time and headspace to FPL planning, it can be hard if Gameweek 1 doesn’t go to plan.

This season, I have started well. However, I am well aware that one good week doesn’t mean a good season. Likewise, one bad week doesn’t mean the year will be a bad one. I am also well aware that difficult Gameweeks hurt, especially if your mini-league rivals had a good start to the campaign.

A bad Gameweek 1 result, or even an average one, can make managers overthink all the decisions that they made this summer. Especially if those around you have done well. I would urge caution though.

FPL Planning: Learning from the past

Back in the 2022/23 season, I had the worst Gameweek 1 I have ever had. I remember looking at my team following an FPL Family live stream and thinking what do I do here? Do I cut my losses and hit the Wildcard? Do I hold the Wildcard and take some points hits? Do I remember that I built this team for a reason and stick with them? In the end, I decided to give them another week. Ninety more minutes of knowledge and understanding.

Coming out of Gameweek 2 with no changes to my team, I had one of the best single Gameweeks I have had in my history of playing FPL. The difference in my mood was marked!

What did I learn from this?

Well, the same players one week performed at opposite ends of the spectrum. After Gameweek 1, I was doubting everything. After Gameweek 2, I was thinking maybe, yet again, I don’t need to make a transfer. Honestly, the contrast was striking.

Those two weeks were a big learning point for me. I learned not to overthink a bad week, however hard that may be! It encouraged me to believe in my own decisions and that sometimes Gameweeks just go badly – regardless of how much time and planning had gone into it.

My rules

Fantasy Football is a huge part of my life. I make content, shows and podcasts every week and I am the General Manager here at Scout. I am even helping teach my son the intricacies of FPL by acting as his adviser! Fundamentally, I am just an FPL manager like everyone else but my job and life are so tied to the game that it comes with some pressures. Pressures I must say that I mostly put on myself.

This is why I have some rules to help maintain my enjoyment of the game.

Captaincy

I will not captain someone in the 12:30pm match. I know a lot of managers will think this is bonkers. But a captaincy blank in the first match ruins my weekend, so if I have the choice, I must prefer a Monday night skipper!

Chips

I try to avoid using my chips early, if only for the mental boost of knowing I still have a rank-boosting quick fix in the locker. It may be the sub-optimal play this season, of course.

A lot of managers will Triple Captain Erling Haaland (£15.0m) this weekend, for instance, but I’m not keen. For me, knowing that I still have my chips to play gives me comfort that later on in the season there might be the perfect week. I like to wait for the stars to align – great fixture(s), great player form, great team form. This early in the season, we don’t have enough data for me to play a chip. I also think that Man City aren’t fully up to speed after a disjointed pre-season and that puts me off.

Not listening to the noise

Since I started FPL, the content around the game has grown. Not only has it grown but it has become better and better. Even as a content creator myself I still read, watch and listen to a lot of content. In previous seasons, I think sometimes I have engaged with too much content. Now I pick my favourites. Neale’s team news stream for example is unmissable and I listen to that. By spending too much time listening to other people, I sometimes lose track of what I think. Having a team of Scout creators I trust for me is the best way to go.

No transfers on deadline day

Now people may think I am crazy for this. But the ‘who’s starting/who isn’t’ thing plays havoc with me. In a standard Gameweek, I lock my team in on a Friday night and don’t worry about team news after that. The only exception I make here is when I am on Wildcard – but mostly this is because I am still making decisions right up until that final morning. Locking the team in the night before means I can go on Sky, take my son to football practice or accompany my daughter to our gym class and be present. Not thinking about who might be starting at 12:30pm!



Sam FPLFamily <p>Fantasy Football Scout's General Manager. Half of the FPLFamily. Pundit on the FPL Pod, Fantasy Show and Sky Sports News&nbsp;</p> Follow them on Twitter

185 Comments Post a Comment
  1. HellasLEAF
    • 15 Years
    22 days, 13 hours ago

    Would it be Matthews to pair with Henderson then as next in line in case of?

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      22 days, 13 hours ago

      Johnstone might still be in the club (he's a better 2nd choice than Matthews), and there's a chance you'll want Eze + Munoz/Mateta at some point down the line

      I'd advise a 4.0 from a team not expected to do well enough in FPL to want a triple-up, like Soton or Leicester

  2. Brunsvigeren
    • 8 Years
    22 days, 13 hours ago

    No Haaland, need a bit of City cover, 0 ItB

    Gordon, Solanke - - > Foden, Armstrong?

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      22 days, 13 hours ago

      Would rather just go straight to Mateta

      Gordon hasn't done anything wrong (yet)

      1. Brunsvigeren
        • 8 Years
        22 days, 13 hours ago

        Im just a bit affraid City will explode

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          22 days, 13 hours ago

          That explosion doesn't make Armstrong a good striker

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 9 Years
      22 days, 12 hours ago

      -4 and Foden blanks ... will be painful

      1. Brunsvigeren
        • 8 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        Yes, probably just going Solanke - > Mateta then...

        1. Andy_Social
          • 12 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          I just don't see Southampton scoring anytime, anywhere. If I'm wrong, I'll punish myself by selling Nkunku for Brereton 'Sh1tho&se' Diaz.

  3. Wakanda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    22 days, 13 hours ago

    Which options will you prefer to start ?
    A) Gordon
    B) Doku
    C) nkunku

  4. lilmessipran
    • 12 Years
    22 days, 13 hours ago

    A wild Phil Foden has appeared in my team because of the Solanke injury..oh well

    1. yoyoyoyoyoyoyo
      • 11 Years
      22 days, 13 hours ago

      My plan was Solanke > Armstrong, then Gordon > Foden next week.

      Then I realised I was about to transfer in Armstrong so I got Mateta instead

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        22 days, 13 hours ago

        Lmao! This is the way

    2. Fellaini's Fro
      • 11 Years
      22 days, 13 hours ago

      Would be a decent captain pick I think.
      If I were making a transfer it's probably him.

  5. Zimo
    • 6 Years
    22 days, 13 hours ago

    Cant wait for my planned front 7 from GW4. 2 Transfers to get there. Robbo to Saliba/Gabriel in GW6.

    Hendo
    Robertson Muñoz Robinson
    Salah Eze Mbuemo Minteh
    Haaland Isak Havertz

  6. Valar(Keith)
    • 15 Years
    22 days, 12 hours ago

    Just planning out which direction to take my team with my next 2 transfers from GW 3

    Areola (Fab)
    Saliba Munoz Porro (Hall Myko)
    Salah Minteh Esr Nkunku (Winks)
    Haaland Isak Muniz

    2.0 in the bank

    A) Porro and Nkunku to Greaves and Saka
    B) Hall/Myko and Nkunku to Gabriel/Gvardiol and Eze
    C) Porro and Nkunku to TAA and Eze

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      22 days, 12 hours ago

      C looks the most straightforward to me. Should get the most points

      A will rely on Newcastle (rough fixtures from GW6) and Everton (rough start due to flags) defences. Could work out if you time transfers out, but leaves the team pretty imbalanced with 2 cheapies in the game's highest-value position: midfield

      B will leave you rotating a defender/cheap mid who should perma-start, when you could just get Trent

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        C still leaves you with two cheap mids, but at least Trent & Eze provide two high-scoring spots while Saka & 4.5 provide just one who you won't cap often over Haaland and Salah, hence the balance point

        1. Valar(Keith)
          • 15 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          Cheers. Somehow I am off this weird and lonely opinion that minteh will far outperform his price tag and is a cheapie only by name. And that rogers is an able similarly underpriced alternative to esr if he underperforms. So I'm not too worried about those 2 spots. Afree with you that taa and eze balances the team out better though since I can rotate my mid spot

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 9 Years
      22 days, 12 hours ago

      Why sell Porro ?

      Have I missed something ?

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        GW3 fixture turn

        He's fine

        1. Hotdogs for Tea
          • 9 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          Surely he is a keep no matter who Spurs play ?

          I benched Gvardiol last week and remember benching a City defender playing Liverpool in the 0-0.

          Will stick with the best players no matter the opposition

          1. Ze_Austin
            • 5 Years
            22 days, 12 hours ago

            See option C. Porro isn't better than Trent

            1. Hotdogs for Tea
              • 9 Years
              22 days, 11 hours ago

              He may match Trent and is a lot cheaper

      2. Valar(Keith)
        • 15 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        Porro was always a short term option for me. No longer on set pieces with maddison back(major draw last season was s3t pieces with Mads out) and with no good chance at clean sheets the way spurs play. Fully relying only on attacking returns from the outfield is just a recipe for frustration for me.

        1. Sharkytect
          • 10 Years
          22 days, 11 hours ago

          Porro could get as many attacking returns as other defenders get cleansheets!

        2. Hotdogs for Tea
          • 9 Years
          21 days, 4 hours ago

          Well that didn't age well 😉

  7. Mother Farke
      22 days, 12 hours ago

      a) TAA + Doku or b) Mazraoui + Foden

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        Trent + Szobo/Mitoma and look elsewhere to reach Foden

        Doku is like Diaz/Bilva in FPL, imo

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          Fun to watch; good player for his club; unlikely to outscore Rodri, Rice, or similarly priced talismans from worse clubs

        2. Mother Farke
            22 days, 12 hours ago

            OK, I'll have another look. Thanks for the reply.

            1. Ze_Austin
              • 5 Years
              22 days, 12 hours ago

              My pleasure. Good luck! 🙂

              Fwiw, I think Doku can explode in GW2, but I assume this is a long-term question

      2. Killug
        • 7 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        Who to start?
        A) ESR
        or
        B) Murphy?

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          ESR. Ideally, both

      3. Dr.Acula
        • 1 Year
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        top of the morning to all!

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          Good morning! 🙂

          1. Dr.Acula
            • 1 Year
            22 days, 12 hours ago

            what time isit there ?

            1. Ze_Austin
              • 5 Years
              22 days, 12 hours ago

              06:18 in Lagos, Nigeria. I'm about to head back to sleep, even

              What's yours?

              1. Dr.Acula
                • 1 Year
                22 days, 12 hours ago

                nice. 6am? its 130pm in Malaysia. the gameweek cant start any sooner

                1. Ze_Austin
                  • 5 Years
                  22 days, 12 hours ago

                  Yeah, AM 🙂

                  I hope the weekend's started well. Enjoy!

      4. niloh1
        • 9 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        Who is the best Solanke replacement? Can't afford Havertz without taking a hit

        a) Muniz
        or
        b) Mateta
        or
        c) anyone else below 7.5

        1. Eze Really?
          • 10 Years
          22 days, 11 hours ago

          Who is your 7th attacking player?
          Can it wait for the next GW?
          If so you will be able to get Havertz with a downgrade somewhere else.

      5. ragsyboys
        • 9 Years
        22 days, 12 hours ago

        Will Doku play regularly under Pep ? Who is his main threat ?

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          22 days, 12 hours ago

          Direct: Grealish
          Indirect: Foden, Bilva, Savinho

      6. Killug
        • 7 Years
        22 days, 11 hours ago

        Who to bench??

        Bruno, Saka, Jota, ESR, Murphy or Wood ?

      7. Full ham tragic
        • 2 Years
        22 days, 11 hours ago

        Will kovacic play each week? Who are his main threats ? Gundo?

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          22 days, 11 hours ago

          Kovacic is Rodri's backup

          Rodri is recovering from a hamstring injury, and might be ready to (perma-)start by GW3

      8. ArseneAllTheWay
        • 11 Years
        22 days, 11 hours ago

        Do Solanke > Mateta now or wait til after deadline to see if Mateta gets more minutes and monitor price drops ?

        Alternative is playing Mykolenko which I’m not a fan of

        1. ArseneAllTheWay
          • 11 Years
          22 days, 11 hours ago

          I also like Welbeck / Pedro as potential options, that Brighton attack is so good