Gameweek Guide

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for Double Gameweek 32

It’s another Double Gameweek, the sixth of the season, and an excellent opportunity to play the Triple Captain chip for those that still have it.

Golden Boot-chasing Harry Kane (£11.7m) will be aiming to go clear at the top of the goalscoring charts with two enticing games against Everton and Southampton. Tottenham Hotspur are the only side to be playing twice as Crystal Palace blank with the FA Cup semi-finals taking place.

There’s a Friday deadline for Double Gameweek 32 and you have until 18:30 BST deadline to make any last-minute changes to your side.

Mind the Gap

Gaining nearly 74 per cent of the vote in the Captain Poll – a whopping 60 per cent more than Son Heung-min (£9.5m) – Kane is the overwhelmingly popular choice for the armband.

The second most-owned player in Fantasy Premier League in over half of all sides, Kane’s effective ownership is likely to be huge.

Among those activating their Triple Captain chip is David, who, when remarking on Kane’s advantage in the poll, noted the risk of captaining anyone else:

So the gap even between Kane and Son is absolutely mammoth – you have to be so brave to go against Kane this week.

– David, Captaincy Video

Jan’s Captain Sensible article, so often essential reading, drew the obvious conclusion:

With Spurs coming into the round as the only team to play twice, I find making a case for anyone else redundant, as their assets would be high among the captaincy candidates even if they had a single fixture against either Everton or Southampton.

Neale and Sam both pointed out that the Saints have shipped 11 more goals than any other club from Gameweek 19 onwards (37 in 14 matches), 12 of which have come in their last four games.

This means that even if you discount the 9-0 drumming at Manchester United in Gameweek 22, they’ve still conceded more goals than everyone else since the halfway point of the season.

If there’s one small concern from a Tottenham point of view it’s that the visit of Southampton next Wednesday comes only four days before the League Cup final.

Although with more than 94 hours between kick-offs, there should be ample time to recover. And as Scout Network member Kareem from Fantasy Chat observed: 

Mourinho isn’t exactly blessed with a squad that allows him to rest his best players. And with Europa League qualification at risk, the simple fact is Tottenham need to win their league games.

Fantasy Football Scout founder, Mark, who looks odds-on to finish in the top 10,000 for the tenth time in his illustrious FPL career, has earmarked Son as his transfer this Gameweek despite injury and rotation concerns in this squad. 

Kareem pulled out the E-word when referring to the Tottenham duo:

Having Son Heung-Min and Harry Kane is as essential as it can get if you can afford to bench them in Gameweek 33 as their fixtures continue to be strong beyond that.

Their participation in the League Cup final entails a blank in Gameweek 33 but that is followed by an appealing run in which they face Sheffield United, Leeds, Wolves and Aston Villa. 

Tripling on Doublers

Lifelong Spurs fan Sam is intending to play her Wildcard in Gameweek 33, meaning that her Gameweek 32 transfer feels like something of a free hit. And, of course, there’s only one team to consider.

The Pro Pundit cast her eye over the potential candidates among Jose Mourinho’s troops.

Thanks to his ability to return points at both ends of the pitch Sergio Reguilón (£5.5m) is the top choice, with Sam noting that the full-back is second only to Son for crosses. 

His biggest points returns of the season have come against Burnley (10) and Fulham (8), both of whom allowed Spurs to play the counter-attacking football that they relish.

– Sam

However, on the Scoutcast, Live Hall of Fame No 2 – and Joe’s recent Meet the Manager guestTom Stephenson, proclaimed a preference for Lucas Moura (£6.6m) if he were to go for three Spurs.

An opinion backed up by Tom Freeman with the Brazilian headlining his differential picks.

Although when it came to his Scout Pick submissions Tom favoured Hugo Lloris (£5.6m), who was selected as the third Tottenham player in the Scout Picks.

Bullet-Proof Nachos

There were two fascinating reads on player form by a couple of our Pro Pundits this week. 

Former FPL Winner Simon March and serial top 10,000 manager Zophar considered the merits of red-hot duo Jesse Lingard (£6.5m) and Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.0m). 

A player’s body language, which I know is difficult to explain or quantify, is often the biggest tell for me. The likes of Iheanacho and Lingard have an air about them which reflects their optimal mental state. They’ve had it for weeks now.

– Zophar

Zophar examined the intangibles in football, aspects of the game that are impossible to measure, and it’s his belief that form is very much in the mind

Confidence plays a huge role in sport and a positive mental state can often contribute to what we call good ‘form’.

In his Scout Notes on West Ham’s victory over Leicester last Sunday, David Wardale highlighted the purple patch Lingard and Iheanacho are enjoying:

Nearly two thirds of [Lingard’s] attempts have been on target and he’s converting close to a third of his chances into goals … Crucially, [Iheanacho] has outscored Jamie Vardy by 52 points to 23 since Double Gameweek 26, besting him for 21 attempts on goal to nine during the same period.

Simon acknowledged the thinking behind buying in-form players:

If high confidence should help a player play well, playing well should continue to boost confidence, creating a self-sustaining virtuous cycle of positive form.

But very few players are able to sustain their form long term – a notable exception being Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) in the 2017/18 season. One reason, according to Simon, is that eventually teams get ‘found out’ by opponents.

… the teams that face these teams will be trying to exploit their known weakness and nullify their key strengths … This cycle between observation and adaptation is often a big part of what we are actually referring to when we talk about ‘form’.

To help us understand why West Ham and Leicester might be doing so well recently, Simon, a graduate in behavioural economics, cited a famous study from WWII to illustrate ‘survivorship bias’. He explained how bomber planes were reinforced based on where bullet holes were found after they had returned following a sortie.

The problem, however, was that the planes that made it back to base were the ones that hadn’t been shot down, therefore the bullet holes actually highlighted the areas where the plane could survive being hit and it was, in fact, the other areas that needed to be reinforced first.

Teams may appear unstoppable in attack or impregnable in defence but, frequently, this appearance is exaggerated due to the way teams play against them or, often, the way teams don’t play against them.

– Simon

As Neale reported in his recent Members only stats dive, West Ham have tweaked their playing style since Lingard joined, scoring significantly more goals from what Opta term “fast breaks”.

But could opponents soon start to cotton on to their new tactics?

As teams dominate, more data becomes available on how such teams play and how best to play against them. Sometimes all it takes is one tactical innovation; double-marking a certain player, surrendering space on the wings to pack the centre or exploiting an aerial weakness to bring a streak of dominance to an end.

– Simon

Lingard was a notable omission from Tom Stephenson’s Gameweek 31 Wildcard, and for the moment the high-flying manager will continue to go without him. 

Meanwhile Iheanacho may have a more difficult outing against West Brom than many expect, with Neale noting a marked defensive improvement in the Baggies: 

The impact of the excellent Okay Yokuslu and Ainsley Maitland-Niles in front of the back four has been key: since the former’s debut in Gameweek 24, only Manchester United have conceded fewer goals than the Albion.

– Neale

But when we make transfers we generally do so with more than one Gameweek in mind – and the fixtures remain encouraging for both West Ham and Leicester.

One player stands out in particular: Jesse Lingard. Not only are his expected goal involvement stats the highest, but West Ham also have some great fixtures to come, including Newcastle United, Burnley, Everton, West Brom and Southampton. He’s nailed, guaranteed to start and almost always plays 90 minutes.

– Andy

And Zophar will be putting his money where his mouth is by adding both in-form players to his side:

We need to acknowledge the purple patch and look to capitalise on it right away. Both Iheanacho and Lingard will be making their way into my squad this week. If you don’t own one, or both, I strongly suggest you make plans to do so.

– Zophar

On the Beach

As we enter the business end of the season, motivation often plays a bigger role for players and teams. 

It can boost the performance of those aiming to qualify for Europe or escape relegation, and similarly for players we can see improvement in those gunning for a new contract or move away, and with the Euros this summer, those looking to secure a spot in a national team squad.

Conversely, we can also observe a dip in performance for those who have nothing to play for

This means that we can conclude that teams that have little to play for at the end of the season perform significantly worse at the end of the season.

– Andrew Puopolo, Harvard study on Premier League team performance

Four Premier League teams are still competing in either the Champions or Europa League, and those players will be looking to catch their manager’s eye.

At Chelsea, Kai Havertz and Christian Pulisic (both £8.2m) have impressed of late:

[Havertz] needs to be in high positions, either half positions or the number nine position. This is not a big difference for me. He got a second chance to show up after Porto and he did that.

– Thomas Tuchel

While Pulisic has made the most of his opportunity, with Thomas Tuchel commenting “I think the half positions in the front three could be a perfect fit for him.

Elsewhere, Bukayo Saka (£5.1m) was picked out by Andy when he ran the rule over replacements for the injured Pedro Neto (£5.7m). The Arsenal youngster scored against Slavia Prague last night and the Gunners enjoy favourable fixtures to end the season.

But the Manchester United fan was less upbeat about the prospects for Bruno Fernandes (£11.6m), urging managers to reassess the Portuguese after he faces Burnley and Leeds United in Gameweeks 32 and 33.

Compared to his fellow premium-priced players, Bruno hasn’t been producing the underlying stats to warrant his inclusion in our squads:

Over the last six matches, Kane’s expected goal involvement (xGI) without penalties is 5.57; contrast that to Salah at 3.83 and Fernandes at 2.62. The biggest thing for me is that number for Fernandes is made up from just 0.85 xG. He’s had just three shots in the box over that time, compared to Kane with 14 and Salah with 16.

– Andy

Community Competitions and Head-to-Head Fixtures

Perhaps in the lull between the deadline and the first match of the Gameweek you might have time to take part in the Fantasy Football Scout Survey.

Put together by Az in his capacity as Members Strategy Manager, the survey is your chance to have a say on every aspect of the Fantasy Football Scout brand and should take around 20 to 30 minutes to complete. 

Five £50 Amazon vouchers are being offered as an incentive for filling out the survey, simply provide your email address to enter the draw.

As usual, RedLightning provided us with his comprehensive round-up of the latest Community mini-leagues and competitions and Neale reviewed the cup results

We have another David and Goliath clash in round seven of the FFS Open Cup as the lowest-ranked manager, ronaldez, Jarvish’s conqueror in the last round, faces Shuddahaddum, the highest-ranked manager. 

Finally, the Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 32 can be found below. 

The scores and tables update every night on the Head-to-Head Leagues main page so you can keep track of the action as the Gameweek unfolds. 

May your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

954 Comments Post a Comment
  1. XX SMICER XX
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I’m behind someone by 50 points.
    I’m certain they are TC Kane.
    Who do I captain?

    A. Kane
    B. Son

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kane.

      50 can still be clawed back without unnecessary risks.

    2. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If you don't have your TC, I would captain Son.

      1. XX SMICER XX
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks!
        I am torn, if Son blanks and Kane does well then I doubt I can catch them

  2. Jimmy Boy
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Do we reckon Lucas Moura starts both games?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      See my post below. Although it's not a confirmation.

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes.

  3. Catalan Rangers
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Save WC and play (-4)
    Fabianski
    Amartey, Stones, TAA
    Jota Salah KDB Mount Gundo
    Kane Watkins
    Forster Bamford Dallas Mitchell

    B) Play WC
    Lloris
    Holding, Sais, TAA
    Salah Lingard Son Jota
    Kane Laca Ibenacho
    Patricio, Dallas, Amartey, Saka

  4. FallingDuck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Start Stones or Rudiger?

    Mendy in goal

    1. Dr. Rog
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rudiger probably

    2. Ejaaz11
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Stones will probably not start anyway...

  5. Dr. Rog
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Martinez
    TAA Azpi Rudi
    Salah Bruno(v) Jota Mount
    Kane(c) Cavani Nacho
    Subs: Stones ESR Struijk

    Good to go...?

  6. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    On wc
    1) get reguillon and transfer to shaw next week
    2) get shaw

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      1 for me

    2. Utopsis
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      1

  7. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I don't know the source of this 'leaked team', other than from a comment in the Spurs forum:

    https://thefightingcock.co.uk/forum/threads/everton-a-friday-night-football-8pm-ko.40532/post-2815905

    352. No Moura.

    Obviously cannot claim validity, but for anyone interested.

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers Hazz. Guessing the first bit came from this originally

      https://twitter.com/pokeefe1/status/1383096423546298373?s=20

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I've also seen this:

        https://twitter.com/SecretPrem/status/1383099205112233987?s=19

        Although the bloke may have well got it from your link, not many followers.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Great call Hazz.

  8. PaulParker
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Forster - Vydra - stones - Dawson
    Bench boost?

    1. Sid07
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

  9. Alli
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Dunk/Stones, Gundo > Holding, Lingard (-4)?

    Martinez
    Rudiger - Dunk - Stones
    Salah - Bruno - Son - Gundogan - Jota
    Kane - Iheanacho

    McCarthy - Bamford - Dallas - Lowton

    1. The Artist
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      that's a tough one. on the face of it, you're trading rotation risk players with inferior fixtures for nailed players with superior fixtures. that suggests it would be a good pair of moves.

      but then, if pep starts both stones and Gundogan, you could be in trouble.

      depending on how much ground you need to make up, my gut feeling is to go for it and make the transfers.

      1. Alli
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thx

  10. Ejaaz11
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    My team
    Pope
    Stones, holding, wanb
    Gundo, jota, Salah, son, Fernandez
    Kane, nacho

    Is it worth bringing in Loris and lingard for gundo and Pope for a hit?

  11. McPollolocco
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    My starting XI:

    Martinez
    Coufal, TAA, Rüdiger
    Salah, Pereira, Greenwood, Mahrez, Maddison
    Ings, Kane

    Bench: Forster, Bamford, Holding, Digne

    what do you say? Who would you put on the bench and in what order?

  12. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any arsenal fans reckon saka starts vs fulham?

  13. TheDragon
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    If your question is:

    A) Is Kane a good TC idea this week; or
    B) Should I start TAA this week

    Are you trolling?

    1. el polako
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B)

      😉

  14. Neo-Viper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play Stones or Raph?

    Already got Dias in the 11

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Raph is injured, no?

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Touch and go as per his manager's comment.

  15. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Cresswell looking iunlikely to feature then?

    Cresswell + Antonio >> Iheanacho + Trent? 🙂

    Cheers guys.

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Look like good moves

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers VDF! Was my likely planned moves all week so not gonna deviate ow i guess haha.

        can afford exactly too taking price drops 🙂

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If not a hit, definitely

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        oh, forgot to mention, is for a hit mate, still gonna go ahead i think

        1. BrockLanders
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Probably still works tbf

    3. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Exactly what I did, so I approve!

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers man!! nice moves.

  16. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I've a feeling Lingard is blanking this week. It's an unfortunate side effect of everyone joining the party. Tempted to swap out for Havertz. Could be inspirational

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I mean... me winning the lottery would be inspirational, doesn’t mean it’s logical or likely

      You can’t remove Lingard.. surely?!

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I probably won't, but I'm tempted. I've a horrible feeling Bruce and Newcastle are going to ruin the Jesse party

        1. pingissimus
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Another 3-2 type of result quite likely imo - Newcastle keeping it clean another matter

  17. marcos11
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Holding or Philips til the end of the season?

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Philips

    2. el polako
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Both and invest I midfield

  18. Gooner Kebab
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Pick one out

    a) Holding
    b) Chambers
    c) Rudiger

  19. Only one Di Matteo
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    If I BB this week can I still roll a transfer or is it lost?

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Lost, ie you have one FT next week

  20. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Cresswell and Neto to Coufal and Lingard(-4)

    Leaves me with;

    Mendy
    Holding Rudiger TAA Coufal
    Saka Lingard Salah Son
    Vardy Kane

    Forster Dias Gundo Vydra

    Can't do Lingard without saving .6 elsewhere. Any thoughts on these moves?

    Could move Vardy out but Maddison being back should help him

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Dont fancy Coufal but I like the moves.

  21. DycheDycheBaby
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Gundo to who?
    a) Saka
    b) Bowen
    c) Traore

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      C easily

      1. DycheDycheBaby
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Even though he has only scored 1 goal and got 3 assists this season?

  22. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I've got Mendy and Rudiger... as has my ML rival, who I'm chasing, 25 points behind.

    If you were me, would you still start Rudiger or Holding?

    Thanks!

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rudiger

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Holding and hope Chelsea concede

      1. TheDragon
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Hope isn’t a strategy

      2. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rudiger. 25 points in nothing.

  23. kenzo.
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Do you think lloris will outscore Martinez by 4 this week?

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

      1. kenzo.
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

  24. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one?

    A Rudiger
    B Holding
    C Coady

    * Have Mendy as gk

  25. Muscout
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Martinez
    Cancelo Shaw Dier
    Salah Son Gundo Lingard Raph
    Kane Watkins

    McCarthy Dallas Rudiger Maupay

    5m itb, 2 FT, Bench order correct?

    A) Maupay to Nacho
    B) Gundo and Cancelo to Bruno and Phillips

  26. Baron Penguin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Pope or Martinez?

  27. leon77
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Pereira or Fofana? If I get Fofana it means I will have enough for Son

  28. Clintymints
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Need to play 1

    A. Raphina
    B. Cancelo
    C. Bamford

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

      1. Clintymints
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thx for the input

  29. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Last spot on wc
    1) jota ( have salah)
    2) mount
    3) Greenwood ( have Bruno)

  30. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Start who-
    A-Martinez
    B- Sanchez

    who to keep1st on bench-
    1-Phillips
    2-Dunk