FPL

Will Barco’s FPL price be locked if he is loaned?

As Valentin Barco‘s (£4.0m) temporary exit from Brighton and Hove Albion draws nearer, his owners in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) have mostly been asking two things.

One, who are the best replacements? That’s something Tom Freeman tackled in an article earlier this week.

And two, will Barco’s price be locked if he heads out on loan?

How the FPL market works is a bit of a mystery, with no clarity on what the requirements are for players to rise and fall. It’s linked to purchases and sales, of course, but the exact thresholds are known only by the games-makers themselves. A look at the leading price prediction websites underscores the uncertainty.

There’s nothing written about how player prices are treated after a departure from a club, either.

Some have speculated that prices are locked when a played is made ‘unavailable’. Others have suggested that the rises and falls merely slow, rather than stop altogether.

With that in mind, we thought we’d take a look at past precedents for any clues.

LAST 50 PLAYERS LOANED OUT IN THE WINTER TRANSFER WINDOW

Here, we’ve listed the last 50 loan exits. We’ve also documented when the red flags were added, the price at the point of departure and the end 2023/24 price:

PlayerClubDate of red flagPrice at the point of red flagEnd price
BergstromCHEMar 4£3.9m£3.9m
O’ReillyAVLFeb 5£4.5m£4.5m
BennettMUNFeb 5£4.0m£4.0m
WorrallNFOFeb 5£4.3m£4.3m
AguileraNFOFeb 4£4.5m£4.5m
NdiweniARSFeb 4£4.4m£4.4m
HodgeWOLFeb 4£4.4m£4.4m
SagoeARSFeb 4£4.5m£4.5m
MooreBOUFeb 4£4.6m£4.6m
VelizTOTFeb 4£5.4m£5.4m
BenrahmaWHUFeb 4£5.6m£5.6m
MangalaNFOFeb 4£5.0m£5.0m
CoulibalySHUFeb 4£4.4m£4.4m
AndreyCHEFeb 4£4.2m£4.2m
EbioweiCRYFeb 4£4.4m£4.4m
FrancoisFULFeb 4£4.4m£4.4m
CampbellEVEFeb 4£4.0m£4.0m
KilkennyBOUFeb 4£4.3m£4.3m
ZarouryBURFeb 4£4.6m£4.6m
SerikiSHUFeb 4£3.9m£3.9m
BuyabuSHUFeb 4£4.0m£4.0m
ViniciusFULFeb 4£4.5m£4.5m
GreenwoodBOUFeb 4£4.0m£4.0m
Egan-RileyBURFeb 4£3.9m£3.9m
RobertsBURFeb 4£4.3m£4.3m
HackfordSHUFeb 2£4.4m£4.4m
DahoudBHAFeb 2£4.8m£4.8m
PellistriMUNFeb 2£4.2m£4.2m
BrooksBOUFeb 1£4.7m£4.7m
OlakigbeBREFeb 1£4.5m£4.5m
McKennaNFOFeb 1£4.4m£4.4m
BeckLIVJan 31£4.5m£4.5m
GilesLUTJan 31£4.2m£4.2m
ObafemiBURJan 29£4.9m£4.9m
Ola-AdebomiCRYJan 29£4.5m£4.5m
MarshallWHUJan 29£4.5m£4.5m
GoreMUNJan 29£4.5m£4.5m
DendonckerAVLJan 29£4.9m£4.9m
AdaramolaCRYJan 29£4.0m£4.0m
VítekMUNJan 29£4.0m£4.0m
LukerLUTJan 25£4.5m£4.5m
MosqueraWOLJan 25£4.0m£4.0m
Peart-HarrisBREJan 24£4.5m£4.5m
MarcondesBOUJan 24£4.3m£4.3m
GoodeBREJan 24£3.9m£3.9m
ChurlinovBURJan 24£4.4m£4.4m
MarschallAVLJan 22£4.0m£4.0m
PerišićTOTJan 22£4.7m£4.7m
TraoreSHUJan 18£4.7m£4.7m
RothwellBOUJan 17£4.8m£4.8m

We could go on. So, then, a very long-winded way of saying there were no price falls after a red flag was added.

None of these players had the massive ownership that Barco boasts, of course.

A better example would perhaps be Joao Cancelo. The right-back fell so swiftly out of favour at Manchester City in 2022/23 that he went from well-owned FPL asset to Bayern Munich loanee in the blink of an eye.

PlayerClubDate of red flagPrice at the point of red flagEnd priceTransfers out after red flag
CanceloMCIJan 31£7.1m£7.1m1,112,751

The transfers out column doesn’t even include the 1,445,499 sales in the same Gameweek of his departure (he left midway through), as there’s no way of knowing how many occured before or after his exit. Most likely would have been after.

So, then, in the absence of anything official from FPL towers, the evidence does point to prices being locked.

This is only after the red flag is added, of course. Owners of Barco will be hoping that’s swiftly processed if and when he does exit, to protect against any possible price drop.



343 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Team Bobcat
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    Darwin, Gakpo

    I have the above pairing in a draft team. They are both forwards. I qm looking to move one. Which one??

    I have not seen any ofthem mentioned in articles or comment's. Not good i guess..

    0
    1. Team Bobcat
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      Before ye ask. They were auto picks 🙂

      0
      1. Runnerboy31
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 14 days ago

        Too early to tell, in practice for now you want neither tbh

        0
      2. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 14 days ago

        Darwin I recon

        0
    2. Rhysd007
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 13 days ago

      Probably Darwin of the two. Only have limited info tho

      0
  2. Ibralicious
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    Saliba - Porro* - Quansah* - Barco* - Johnson*

    Should I:

    A) Try to shift non playing 4.0 to playing one like Hardwood Bellis (FT)
    B) Save FT and hope for miracle

    Cheers!

    0
    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      A

      0
    2. Senecal
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 14 days ago

      Jesus, that defense is some bad luck to start the season with

      0
      1. I am 42
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 13 days ago

        not entirely bad luck, with 2x4m def, I will definitely opt for a regular starter 4.5m, eg Konsa instead of Quansah

        since you missed Quansah price fall, I will rather save FT and hope for miracle

        as the replacement you bring in is likely to score 1-2 points

        0
    3. JCFFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 13 days ago

      I am in a similar boat... Porro, Quansah, Barco...
      Hall (poor game)
      Zinchenko (limited minutes and was always a GW1-3 at best player before I WC)

      I am holding the FT and hoping that the 4.0m 4.5m alternatives don't deliver... minimising my punishment.

      Good luck.

      0
  3. Greg F
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    FPL Blackbox new video tonight.

    0
  4. jayzico
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    Bottomed. Sorry.

    So, I was all set on WCing for an infinitely better team (by the removal of Haaland). A team of absolute beauty. I could pick and choose whoever I wanted with ease.

    YES, Haaland is the go-to man for the triple up.

    Yet by just that is he REALLY WORTH IT?

    Please, discuss. Think I may have to go without. Ipswich or not. The players I choose CAN ONLY RISE. ONLY THEN, will I buy the blonde machine of a man

    0
    1. Runnerboy31
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      WCing Haaland out before Ipswich at home, yea I don’t like that. Why take the risk at all?

      0
      1. jayzico
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 14 days ago

        Because I am a (not very good) gambler. May bite the bullet and take Mo out. NO MO! NO!

        0
    2. Ausman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 14 days ago

      Why would you include Haaland in your initial team only to use WC after one game?
      There was plenty of discussion in the lead up to GW1 on the pros and cons of selecting Haaland. Personally I chose to go the Salah no Haaland route as it gave me a better balance in my team.
      For most of those who included Haaland, the appeal was the GW2 fixture, so why remove him now??

      0
      1. jayzico
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 14 days ago

        I'm an effing fool. Gutted. And I can't put it down to drink. 79 days no drink on AA. Perhaps my brain was damaged from those 2 70cl bottles of vodka I drank for so many years.

        +2
        1. BitTight
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 months, 14 days ago

          Well done for not drinking and going AA dude

          0
          1. jayzico
            • 14 Years
            7 months, 14 days ago

            It's tough man. My mate did it years ago and ended up taking his life. A young dude with everything going.

            And no being a 'heavy drinker' is much different to alcoholism.

            Hey, thanks brother

            0
            1. BitTight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              7 months, 14 days ago

              100 percent true. It’s how it affects YOU not the amount you have. If you surrender completely you’ll be fine. It might seem like you’re missing out with not drinking. You’re not. Get to meetings. HP of your understanding. Talk to others and don’t take yourself or fantasy football so seriously. Enjoy FF though. It’s great fun and a welcome distraction isn’t it ? Journey not a destination. Good work brother. Anyway this is a FF forum so enough of that for now.

              0
    3. I am 42
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 13 days ago

      "Yet by just that is he REALLY WORTH IT?"

      If you think he will be the highest scorer this GW, then he is worth it
      Did not have a good GW but thank god will Salah (C), every become a lot better

      0
  5. cruzex
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    Rogers or onana?

    0
    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      r

      0
  6. Crusher K-1
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    No Haaland this week for me as I was never able to fit him in.
    Muniz is a strong option this week and vs Leicester at home should do very well.
    Was keen on Son and he looked very well as did Maddison and Solanke.
    Was not able to hold any Spurs options but for the price Solanke will be my choice going forward. ( I have Porro)
    Squeezed out 86 points in week one. A very good start for me.
    May continue to ride Slaah as captain but I'm real tempted to go Muniz as it's still early to take a risk or two.

    Worried about no City (Have Gvardiol) but those weeks will continue to happen regardless of my teams roster as there will always be a great match up where you fall short on desired players.

    Good luck

    0
    1. Eze Really?
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      Good luck to you too.
      I think 3 weeks accumulated points will give a clearer indication of how everyone is doing.

      0
      1. Crusher K-1
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 14 days ago

        Agree
        100%

        0
  7. Dynamic Duos
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    Points prediction for Bruno and Foden?

    0
    1. Crusher K-1
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      Ha
      predictions are tough especially with that choice
      I would pick Bruno over Foden
      so Bruno wins 11-7

      0
    2. Emiliano Sala
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      2
      10

      0
    3. Ausman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 14 days ago

      6
      4

      0
    4. Skalla
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      I expect 20pts from Bruno this GW after he apologised to FPL owners and said he would make it up to us 🙂 Foden also a great option if he starts but it is that doubt that makes him a no-go for me atm

      0
  8. reto1989
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 14 days ago

    hall or livramento??

    0
    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      h

      0
    2. Crusher K-1
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      I think a healthy Livramento is a better option for the long haul (if he stays well)

      +1
    3. Flaming Flamingo
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 14 days ago

      Probably Livramento, but it's all guesswork until we have more info

      0
  9. I am 42
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 13 days ago

    Did Quansah Konsa Eze to TAA Barco Amad 5 mins before GW1 deadline

    dodged Quansah but end up with Barco

    0
  10. Green Jumper
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 12 days ago

    I'll replace Barco with Harwood-Bellis in due course, but it's not a priority.

    0
  11. Shark Team
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 8 days ago

    2022/23: New 6-1 Spurs, Isak 2 goals
    2023/24: New 4-0 Spurs, Isak 2 goals
    It might mean nothing but i think it means something

    0